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DFS Starting Pitchers Matchups – July 16, 2019

July 16, 2019 By Chris Spencer Leave a Comment

Here are projected scores for today’s DFS pitchers – July 16, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

King of the Hill – Plesac (CLE)
My Value Pick today is Plesac at home versus the Tigers
- Righty SP at home facing Detroit have averaged
  - 33.3 FanDuel ppg (2nd Highest in MLB – average SP is 26.2 ppg)
  - 18.3 DraftKings ppg (2nd Highest in MLB – average SP is 13.5 ppg)
- Detroit vs. RHP on the road have a:
  - 0.292 wOBA (5th worst in MLB)
  - 0.170 ISO (11th worst in MLB)
  - 26.6 K% (2nd worst in MLB)
Stackables (in order of my preference): Rockies, Dodgers & Astros
Followers Both Beeks (TBR) and Armenteros (HOU) will be following an opener.
Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Allen (SDP)
- Mills (CHC) – 2019 debut!
- Agrazal (PIT)
- Voth (WSN)
- Wilson (ATL)
- Wojciechowski (BAL)
- Young (ARI)
- Cease (CHW)
- Waguespack (TOR)
- Armenteros (HOU)

DFS Pitchers – July 16, 2019

Starting Pitcher	Opp
Starting Pitcher	Opp	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score
Zach Plesac CLE	vs DET	$7,200	109	34.93	$7,000	112	19.43
Logan Allen SDP	@ MIA	$8,300	114	34.37	$9,200	117	18.67
Jordan Yamamoto MIA	vs SDP	$8,700	109	33.55	$9,500	111	18.41
Alec Mills CHC	vs CIN	$5,500	105	33.60	$6,200	106	18.23
Brandon Woodruff MIL	vs ATL	$9,600	105	33.87	$8,700	105	18.08
Lance Lynn TEX	vs ARI	$9,800	99	31.65	$11,200	99	16.60
Walker Buehler LAD	@ PHI	$10,000	103	31.06	$10,200	103	16.87
CC Sabathia NYY	vs TBR	$8,200	103	30.06	$8,800	103	15.41
Jack Flaherty STL	vs PIT	$7,700	102	28.36	$7,400	102	14.60
Glenn Sparkman KCR	vs CHW	$5,700	106	27.78	$4,300	107	14.81
Michael Pineda MIN	vs NYM	$8,500	101	27.50	$9,200	100	14.09
Peter Lambert COL	vs SFG	$5,500	94	25.49	$4,900	97	14.44
Andrew Cashner BOS	vs TOR	$8,000	101	25.55	$8,300	103	13.54
Dario Agrazal PIT	@ STL	$6,300	101	25.53	$6,600	102	12.91
Austin Voth WSN	@ BAL	$6,600	100	24.63	$7,200	100	12.62
Bryse Wilson ATL	@ MIL	$6,100	100	24.74	$8,500	100	12.34
Asher Wojciechowski BAL	vs WSN	$5,900	99	24.33	$5,300	98	12.42
Jalen Beeks TBR	@ NYY	$5,800	100	23.83	$7,700	100	12.64
Alex Young ARI	@ TEX	$6,200	96	22.68	$7,600	96	11.51
Anthony DeSclafani CIN	@ CHC	$7,000	96	22.71	$8,900	95	11.01
Ryan Carpenter DET	@ CLE	$5,800	100	21.92	$4,700	100	10.57
Andrew Heaney LAA	vs HOU	$6,800	89	20.80	$9,300	86	10.31
Daniel Mengden OAK	vs SEA	$7,100	95	20.44	$7,800	95	10.47
Marco Gonzales SEA	@ OAK	$7,500	89	21.17	$8,100	87	9.98
Dylan Cease CHW	@ KCR	$6,700	97	19.05	$9,000	97	8.99
Jacob Waguespack TOR	@ BOS	$6,400	89	18.01	$6,800	88	8.65
Steven Matz NYM	@ MIN	$6,200	85	18.18	$6,000	83	8.39
Rogelio Armenteros HOU	@ LAA	$5,500	91	16.88	$8,100	89	7.91
Vince Velasquez PHI	vs LAD	$6,500	91	16.10	$5,900	89	7.74
Drew Pomeranz SFG	@ COL	$5,500	86	16.56	$4,500	85	7.16

My Method

Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:

The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
Home/away splits
Ballpark Factor
Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)

If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.

DFS Starting Pitchers Matchups – July 15, 2019

July 15, 2019 By Chris Spencer Leave a Comment

Here are projected scores for today’s DFS pitchers – July 15, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

King of the Hill – Plutko (CLE)
My Value Pick today is Junis (KCR) at home versus the White Sox
- White Sox vs. RH Starters on the road have allowed them to average
  - 30.0 FanDuel ppg (7th Highest in MLB and average is 26.2 ppg)
  - 16.1 DraftKings ppg (7th Highest in MLB and average is 13.5 ppg)
- White Sox vs. RHP on the road have a:
  - 0.298 wOBA (7th worst in MLB)
  - 0.143 ISO (3rd worst in MLB)
  - 25.5 K% (7th worst in MLB)
Stackables (in order of my preference): Rockies, Red Sox & Astros
Small sample size alert! Gonzalez (COL) has faced less than 100 batters this season.

DFS Pitchers – July 15, 2019

Starting Pitcher	Opp
Starting Pitcher	Opp	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score
Adam Plutko CLE	vs DET	$7,500	108	34.81	$7,800	111	19.51
Kyle Hendricks CHC	vs CIN	$8,700	109	34.61	$9,500	110	18.83
Clayton Kershaw LAD	@ PHI	$10,300	100	32.09	$10,700	100	16.80
James Paxton NYY	vs TBR	$9,000	104	31.70	$9,300	104	16.52
Blake Snell TBR	@ NYY	$9,400	101	30.75	$10,000	100	16.20
Jakob Junis KCR	vs CHW	$6,800	106	29.99	$7,500	107	15.73
Adrian Houser MIL	vs ATL	$5,900	102	27.72	$5,300	102	14.51
Luis Castillo CIN	@ CHC	$9,700	98	27.61	$11,800	97	13.98
Lucas Giolito CHW	@ KCR	$9,100	100	26.97	$11,200	100	14.30
Max Fried ATL	@ MIL	$8,000	99	26.23	$7,200	99	13.41
Miles Mikolas STL	vs PIT	$6,400	101	26.33	$8,000	101	13.06
Joe Musgrove PIT	@ STL	$8,300	102	25.96	$5,800	103	13.17
Rick Porcello BOS	vs TOR	$7,000	101	24.51	$6,300	103	12.71
Daniel Norris DET	@ CLE	$6,000	101	23.26	$4,200	101	11.78
Chi Chi Gonzalez COL	vs SFG	$5,600	94	21.69	$4,600	95	11.23
Griffin Canning LAA	vs HOU	$7,300	92	21.69	$9,000	90	10.69
Zach Eflin PHI	vs LAD	$8,100	93	21.75	$8,200	91	10.65
Trent Thornton TOR	@ BOS	$6,700	91	20.16	$6,800	90	9.85
** Framber Valdez HOU	@ LAA	$7,300	93	18.45	$4,600	91	8.49
Dereck Rodriguez SFG	@ COL	$5,500	86	15.16	$4,200	85	6.61

** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”

My Method

The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
Home/away splits
Ballpark Factor
Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)

DFS Starting Pitchers Matchups – July 12, 2019

July 12, 2019 By Chris Spencer Leave a Comment

Here are projected scores for today’s DFS pitchers – July 12, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

King of the Hill – Vargas (NYM)… I know right, man these are strange days indeed.
My Value Pick today is (against my better judgement) Vargas on the road against Miami
- Marlins vs. LH Starters at home have allowed them to average
  - 35.3 FanDuel ppg (Highest in MLB and average is 26.3 ppg)
  - 19.4 DraftKings ppg (Highest in MLB and average is 13.6 ppg)
- Marlins vs. LHP at home have a:
  - 0.270 wOBA (Worst in MLB)
  - 0.103 ISO (Worst in MLB)
  - 22.2 K% (17th worst in MLB).
Stackables (in order of my preference): Astros, Angels & Rockies
Small sample size alert! Lamet (SDP) and Clevinger (CLE) have each faced less than 100 batters this season.

DFS Pitchers – July 12, 2019

Starting Pitcher	Opp
Starting Pitcher	Opp	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score	Salary	Matchup Rating	Projected Score
Jason Vargas NYM	@ MIA	$6,800	115	33.17	$7,800	117	18.38
Jon Gray COL	vs CIN	$7,300	101	32.42	$9,000	102	17.54
Caleb Smith MIA	vs NYM	$8,000	105	31.86	$8,600	105	16.92
Robbie Ray ARI	@ STL	$9,400	100	30.09	$7,900	101	16.59
Mike Fiers OAK	vs CHW	$8,400	107	30.43	$8,500	109	16.18
Dinelson Lamet SDP	vs ATL	$5,600	101	30.60	$9,800	101	15.99
Danny Duffy KCR	vs DET	$7,900	109	30.78	$6,800	112	15.81
Gerrit Cole HOU	@ TEX	$11,400	95	29.46	$11,500	94	15.29
Kyle Gibson MIN	@ CLE	$7,100	101	27.87	$7,600	101	14.62
Domingo German NYY	vs TOR	$8,600	102	27.13	$10,100	103	14.92
Eduardo Rodriguez BOS	vs LAD	$8,100	95	27.66	$8,000	94	14.41
Adam Wainwright STL	vs ARI	$7,600	101	27.04	$8,100	101	13.68
Dallas Keuchel ATL	@ SDP	$7,500	104	26.91	$8,200	106	13.69
Yonny Chirinos TBR	@ BAL	$6,800	99	25.74	$8,400	99	13.49
Daniel Norris DET	@ KCR	$6,600	102	25.46	$4,600	104	13.49
Dylan Bundy BAL	vs TBR	$7,700	99	25.01	$7,200	99	12.57
Shaun Anderson SFG	@ MIL	$6,200	99	23.86	$4,800	99	11.69
Chase Anderson MIL	vs SFG	$6,500	105	22.98	$6,300	106	11.94
Sonny Gray CIN	@ COL	$6,800	92	22.90	$8,800	91	11.47
Kenta Maeda LAD	@ BOS	$6,800	91	22.31	$8,900	90	11.35
**Felix Pena LAA	vs SEA	$6,200	100	21.61	$6,700	99	11.39
Mike Clevinger CLE	vs MIN	$9,300	92	21.87	$9,600	90	10.90
Mike Leake SEA	@ LAA	$8,600	89	21.21	$7,900	88	10.20
Aaron Sanchez TOR	@ NYY	$5,700	93	20.10	$4,900	92	9.37
Ivan Nova CHW	@ OAK	$6,100	92	19.30	$5,400	91	8.86
Jesse Chavez TEX	vs HOU	$6,000	89	16.40	$4,000	87	8.03

** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”

My Method

The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
Home/away splits
Ballpark Factor
Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)