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Fantasy Football Recommended Reading Mid-May

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Which TE got a huge market share of targets last season? That’s right, this guy, San Francisco 49ers George Kittle. Kyle Borgognoni expects that to regress.

Keeping up to date on football news and following fantasy football analysts on Twitter, one comes across many (many) articles about this hobby. This is not meant to be a comprehensive list or a best of, but here are a select few I want to share as fantasy football recommended reading.

Is Todd Gurley a Fantasy Season-Killer in 2019?
Gary Davenport, FantraxHQ

First off, credit where credit is due, the first fantasy analyst that I noticed as being adamant to not draft Todd Gurley for the 2019 NFL season is Smitty from SleeperU and his YouTube Fantasy Football Show. That video is from January. That said, this is (mostly) recommended reading and I always love Gary’s articles because he includes a ton of real-world quotes and sources to support his work. The Todd Gurley bust train is definitely building steam. Gary lays out the background information you should know to make your own assessment of the risk-reward whether to draft Gurley or not this season.

TE Targets & What We Know for 2019
Kyle Borgognoni, The Fantasy Footballers

This is the fourth part, but the first I came across, in a series about target market share by position. Kyle looks at the percentage of targets the TE position received for each team last season and over the past five seasons. He draws some notable comparisons between a team having a high or low TE market share versus other positions, depending on their personnel. Read the whole thing because he closes with some positive and negative regression candidates for 2019.

Super Bowl Party Quiz – Super Bowl LIII Prop Bets

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Super Bowl Party Quiz

I’ve done this 10 years, maybe more, here is my annual Super Bowl Party Quiz.

Wednesday already in the week leading up to Super Bowl LIII, but I won’t let you down as my annual Super Bowl Party Quiz is back for another year.

If you are hosting a party for Super Bowl LIII (a.k.a. Super Bowl 53) on Sunday, or know someone who is, then a fun addition is my 30-question multiple choice quiz about The Big Game™.

Prop bets are all the rage with endless talk on fantasy sports radio about them these days. Heck, this is at least my 10th year doing this. It appears that many different quiz files are on my computer, although it is late making interpreting Roman numerals difficult.

Super Bowl LIII Prop Bets

Download and print the Super Bowl Party Quiz sheet, and make your best guess for each question. It is multiple choice. Some questions are about the game, and some have nothing to do with the game on the field.

Predict who will win of course, New England Patriots or Los Angeles Rams, and the over-under of 57.5. Guess the first score of the game and which players will earn more passing, rushing and receiving yards. Who will win the opening coin toss? Heads or tails?

Also, how long will the U.S. National Anthem be sung by Gladys Knight? I placed a $1 bet at an online sportsbook on the under 110 seconds so I don’t have to rely on timing it myself. Guess Maroon 5’s first song at halftime. Will Gatorade be dumped on the winning coach?

I added a couple of new ones I found that will be fun to guess and predict. One is, what is the first animal to appear in a Super Bowl commercial after opening kickoff? Do you like horse, dog, cat, bird or reptile? I am leaning dog.

Another, what brand is the first beer commercial after opening kickoff? Since I will be watching Canadian broadcast I had to tailor this to my Super Bowl party audience, but for my American friends, adjust your options accordingly.

There are 30 questions worth 35 points. It is a compilation of popular prop bets for the Super Bowl which your party-goers and friends can fill in for fun or throw a little money in a pot to the winner.

Football knowledge is not a prerequisite to completing the quiz … and tends to have zero correlation to actually scoring well, based on history. Click the Super Bowl LIII graphic to download and then print the PDF. I will post the answers on our Facebook page on Monday. Enjoy the game!

Draft Buddy RotoBowl I – Week 15 Update

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RB Derrick Henry, Tennessee Titans

Drew Brees probably still wins the MVP award for Chris’ Draft Buddy RotoBowl I squad, but Derrick Henry is making a late push helping him crush the rushing categories the last month.

A roto scoring fantasy football league? You bet. Check the origin story, participants and league details and my Week 5 and Week 10 updates for some history about the league.

You’ve surely heard everyone’s sob story of their tough losses in Week 15. We hear it every year but this year it seems to be a little louder (recency bias?). My personal story is being down 6.06 points going into Monday night. He still had WR Samuel but I still had QB Brees… and I still lost… by 0.44 points.

While I’m focusing my blame, rage and sorrow on Brees in that league, I’m over here in the roto league preparing MVP campaign posters for him. That’s just one example of the difference between the two styles of leagues. Another is the fact that, unlike roto baseball, you can make significant moves in the standings in just two weeks (see: Derrick Henry over the last two weeks).

The standings through 15 weeks:

Draft Buddy RotoBowl I

Draft Buddy RotoBowl I standings through NFL Week 15

You can check the updated standings.

Passing Stats

My options: Drew Brees

  • Passing Yards – 4075 (7th down from 2nd in Week 10)
  • Passing Yards per Attempt – 8.2 (4th down from 1st)
  • Passing Touchdowns – 35 (2nd down from 1st)

He’s faltered a bit these last 5 weeks, but he’s still keeping me at the top. With only 6 interceptions, he is also keeping me at the top of the Turnovers category. With home games against Pittsburgh and Carolina and sights on the #1 Seed, I feel confident that he’ll bounce back with good games.

Receiving Stats

My WR options: Doug Baldwin, Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, Tyler Boyd, Dante Pettis and Taywan Taylor
My TE options: Jordan Reed, Vernon Davis, Vance McDonald

  • Receptions – 471 (7th down from 5th in Week 10)
  • Receiving Yards – 5427 (8th down from 5th)
  • Receiving Touchdowns – 35 (8th down from 7th)

I may have oversteered a bit in my quest to improve my rushing stats as I find my WR corps thin and banged up. There isn’t much out on the wire so I’m crossing my fingers and hoping for a Christmas miracle.

Rushing Stats

My options: Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Phillip Lindsay, Ronald Jones, Rex Burkhead and Justin Jackson

  • Rushing Yards – 3028 (5th up from 9th in Week 10)
  • Average Yards per Rush – 4.8 (2nd up from 12th)
  • Rushing Touchdowns – 34 (1st up from 6th)

Boom goes the dynamite. I’ve been laying waste to the league when it comes to rushing over the last few weeks.

  • Week 15 – 281 rushing yards, 3 TD
  • Week 14 – 449 rushing yards, 7 TD
  • Week 13 – 387 rushing yards, 4 TD
  • Week 12 – 243 rushing yards, 2 TD
  • Week 11 – 267 rushing yards, 4 TD

Nearly End-of-Season Observations on the Roto Format

Ladies and gentlemen, may I introduce you to the roto football poster boy, Derrick Henry. Many people had him on the bench in Week 14 because of his erratic week-by-week fantasy production. In roto all you care about is the end of the season, stat line… which is quite nice: 882 rushing yards, 5.0 yds/rush and 11 touchdowns. He even chipped in 78 receiving yards on 16 receptions.

Unlike, standard fantasy football in roto we play through all 17 weeks. That being said, I have two more weeks to hold off @Razzball_MB for the RotoBowl I Championship.

Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

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