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Final Fantasy Baseball Projections Update for Cheatsheet Compiler & Draft Buddy

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I am away for some rest and relaxation right now, but constantly connected and still updating ye ole website as possible and as needed. Today we were due for an update. I received a final fantasy baseball projections update from Steamer Projections Blog for the Steamer-Razzball projections. FantasyPros also updated their Zeile Consensus projections, and with Opening Day now officially in the books yesterday, I’m putting a cap on that and calling those the final projections as well.

The update is now available for the Cheatsheet Compiler & Draft Buddy. Each set of projections are updated, plus Average Draft Position (ADP) data from each of FantasyPros, Mock Draft Central and National Fantasy Baseball Championship.

The depth charts are taking a little more time than I’d like with all the final week changes, and my desire to not mess up the available players we already have in the Compiler & Draft Buddy. I updated the AL East so far, plus the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim so I could get Vernon Wells on the New York Yankees, and I’ll work away at the rest as time allows (and to not annoy the wife while on vacation).

Thanks once again to all the guys at FantasyPros, Steamer, MDC and NFBC for their contributions to the Compiler & Draft Buddy this fantasy baseball season. It is very much appreciated.

Thanks to all of you, our members, for continuing to use the CC/DB, or trying it for the first time this season. I hope you liked it, and will remember us again next year. Or, even better, if you play fantasy football make sure to try out the fantasy football version of the CC/DB.

Have a great season. Go Blue Jays!

Baseball Coming Soon! Projections Update Coming Sooner

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It is getting a bit late in the day here Monday (when I take into account hustling kids home from school, some other chaos going on in this household (don’t get me started), and the fact I play hockey tonight), so I don’t want to guarantee the next projections update will be done today. However, it looks like Steamer updated their projections and FantasyPros updated their Zeile consensus projections, so we are definitely due for an update heading into the final week before the start of the season. I wanted to post a quick Monday update saying that is what I’m working on, and for you guys to expect it shortly.

I’ll also hit the ADP which should be updated to reflect drafts from this past weekend, and whatever depth charts changes are needed, like Vernon Wells to the New York Yankees, assuming it gets approved. What a contract he got from the Toronto Blue Jays. Even after an unbelievable offseason of player acquisitions, shipping Wells off to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim may still rank as Jays GM Alex Anthopolous’ greatest magic trick.

If you have a minute, and you’ve had a good experience using the Cheatsheet Compiler & Draft Buddy this season, please add a testimonial. I’d really appreciate it.

Also like us on Facebook or follow us on Twitter, if you haven’t already. I’m not the most rah-rah social media butterfly around, but each of those sites do prove to be very good ways for us to communicate if you have thoughts or questions about the CC/DB or other features at the website. Okay, on to the update. I’ll be back as soon as possible.

BABIP Stats For Hitters: 2011

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Last year I posted BABIP stats for hitters. BABIP stands for Batting Average on Balls In Play. I still have the database queries sitting here in a text file which just need a minor tweak or two to update them for 2011. So let’s do it then. Check the prior year post for details about BABIP and why it is useful in your fantasy baseball analysis.

Here are hitter BABIP stats from 2011, starting with the top 38 BABIP results, minimum 400 at-bats. The AVG is the player’s 2011 batting average.

+------------------+------+-------+-------+
| Player           | AB   | AVG   | BABIP |
+------------------+------+-------+-------+
| Matt Kemp        |  601 | 0.324 | 0.380 |
| Adrian Gonzalez  |  630 | 0.338 | 0.380 |
| Emilio Bonifacio |  565 | 0.296 | 0.372 |
| Michael Bourn    |  656 | 0.294 | 0.369 |
| Michael Young    |  631 | 0.338 | 0.367 |
| Alex Avila       |  464 | 0.295 | 0.366 |
| Miguel Cabrera   |  572 | 0.344 | 0.365 |
| Hunter Pence     |  606 | 0.314 | 0.361 |
| Alex Gordon      |  611 | 0.303 | 0.358 |
| Dexter Fowler    |  481 | 0.266 | 0.354 |
| Jose Reyes       |  537 | 0.337 | 0.353 |
| Ryan Braun       |  563 | 0.332 | 0.350 |
| Jemile Weeks     |  406 | 0.303 | 0.350 |
| Joey Votto       |  599 | 0.309 | 0.349 |
| Andre Ethier     |  487 | 0.290 | 0.346 |
| Michael Morse    |  522 | 0.303 | 0.344 |
| Starlin Castro   |  674 | 0.307 | 0.344 |
| Victor Martinez  |  540 | 0.330 | 0.343 |
| Drew Stubbs      |  604 | 0.243 | 0.343 |
| Gerardo Parra    |  445 | 0.292 | 0.342 |
| Austin Jackson   |  591 | 0.249 | 0.340 |
| Jon Jay          |  455 | 0.297 | 0.340 |
| Freddie Freeman  |  571 | 0.282 | 0.339 |
| Howie Kendrick   |  537 | 0.285 | 0.338 |
| Peter Bourjos    |  502 | 0.271 | 0.338 |
| Jacoby Ellsbury  |  660 | 0.321 | 0.336 |
| Derek Jeter      |  546 | 0.297 | 0.336 |
| Casey Kotchman   |  500 | 0.306 | 0.335 |
| Jamey Carroll    |  452 | 0.290 | 0.332 |
| Melky Cabrera    |  658 | 0.305 | 0.332 |
| Cameron Maybin   |  515 | 0.264 | 0.331 |
| Matt Holliday    |  446 | 0.296 | 0.330 |
| Todd Helton      |  421 | 0.302 | 0.328 |
| Carlos Gonzalez  |  481 | 0.295 | 0.326 |
| Jhonny Peralta   |  525 | 0.299 | 0.325 |
| Dustin Pedroia   |  635 | 0.307 | 0.325 |
| Greg Dobbs       |  411 | 0.275 | 0.325 |
| Carlos Beltran   |  520 | 0.300 | 0.324 |

Here are the lowest 39 BABIP results from 2011, minimum 400 at-bats.

+---------------------+------+-------+-------+
| Player              | AB   | AVG   | BABIP |
+---------------------+------+-------+-------+
| Vernon Wells        |  505 | 0.218 | 0.214 |
| Alex Rios           |  537 | 0.227 | 0.237 |
| Mark Teixeira       |  589 | 0.248 | 0.239 |
| Evan Longoria       |  483 | 0.244 | 0.239 |
| Adam Dunn           |  415 | 0.159 | 0.240 |
| Ian Kinsler         |  620 | 0.255 | 0.243 |
| Kurt Suzuki         |  460 | 0.237 | 0.244 |
| Casey McGehee       |  546 | 0.223 | 0.249 |
| Russell Martin      |  417 | 0.237 | 0.252 |
| Dan Uggla           |  600 | 0.233 | 0.253 |
| J.P. Arencibia      |  443 | 0.219 | 0.255 |
| Orlando Cabrera     |  450 | 0.238 | 0.259 |
| Yuniesky Betancourt |  556 | 0.252 | 0.259 |
| Carlos Quentin      |  421 | 0.254 | 0.261 |
| Brent Morel         |  413 | 0.245 | 0.262 |
| Carlos Santana      |  552 | 0.239 | 0.263 |
| Adam Lind           |  499 | 0.251 | 0.265 |
| Logan Morrison      |  462 | 0.247 | 0.265 |
| Alfonso Soriano     |  475 | 0.244 | 0.266 |
| Mark Reynolds       |  534 | 0.221 | 0.266 |
| Martin Prado        |  551 | 0.260 | 0.266 |
| Carlos Pena         |  493 | 0.225 | 0.267 |
| Colby Rasmus        |  471 | 0.225 | 0.267 |
| Raul Ibanez         |  535 | 0.245 | 0.268 |
| John Buck           |  466 | 0.227 | 0.268 |
| Aaron Hill          |  520 | 0.246 | 0.268 |
| Miguel Olivo        |  477 | 0.224 | 0.270 |
| Aubrey Huff         |  521 | 0.246 | 0.271 |
| Ty Wigginton        |  401 | 0.242 | 0.271 |
| Justin Smoak        |  427 | 0.234 | 0.273 |
| Adrian Beltre       |  487 | 0.296 | 0.273 |
| J.J. Hardy          |  527 | 0.269 | 0.273 |
| David DeJesus       |  442 | 0.240 | 0.274 |
| Mark Trumbo         |  539 | 0.254 | 0.274 |
| Hideki Matsui       |  517 | 0.251 | 0.274 |
| Ryan Roberts        |  482 | 0.249 | 0.275 |
| Danny Valencia      |  564 | 0.246 | 0.275 |
| Jimmy Rollins       |  567 | 0.268 | 0.275 |
| Chris Young         |  567 | 0.236 | 0.275 |

Here are the 26 biggest positive differences between 2011 BABIP and 2008-2010 BABIP, minimum 400 at-bats in 2011 and 800 at-bats in 2008-2010. Did these guys exceed expectations last season so we might expect a correction in 2012?

+-------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+-------+
| Player            | 11_AB | 11_BABIP | 3year_AB | 3yr_BABIP | Dif   |
+-------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+-------+
| Adrian Gonzalez   |   630 |    0.380 |     1759 |     0.304 | 0.077 |
| Casey Kotchman    |   500 |    0.335 |     1324 |     0.262 | 0.073 |
| Alex Gordon       |   611 |    0.358 |      899 |     0.289 | 0.070 |
| Hunter Pence      |   606 |    0.361 |     1794 |     0.304 | 0.057 |
| Jose Bautista     |   513 |    0.309 |     1275 |     0.256 | 0.053 |
| Emilio Bonifacio  |   565 |    0.372 |      810 |     0.319 | 0.052 |
| Melky Cabrera     |   658 |    0.332 |     1357 |     0.283 | 0.050 |
| Matt Kemp         |   601 |    0.380 |     1814 |     0.334 | 0.046 |
| Jose Reyes        |   537 |    0.353 |     1398 |     0.309 | 0.043 |
| Edwin Encarnacion |   481 |    0.292 |     1131 |     0.251 | 0.042 |
| Michael Young     |   631 |    0.367 |     1842 |     0.327 | 0.040 |
| David Ortiz       |   525 |    0.321 |     1475 |     0.281 | 0.040 |
| Jeff Francoeur    |   601 |    0.323 |     1646 |     0.284 | 0.038 |
| Michael Bourn     |   656 |    0.369 |     1608 |     0.331 | 0.037 |
| Brandon Phillips  |   610 |    0.322 |     1769 |     0.285 | 0.037 |
| Victor Martinez   |   540 |    0.343 |     1347 |     0.307 | 0.036 |
| Andre Ethier      |   487 |    0.346 |     1638 |     0.313 | 0.033 |
| Miguel Cabrera    |   572 |    0.365 |     1775 |     0.331 | 0.033 |
| Seth Smith        |   476 |    0.320 |      801 |     0.290 | 0.030 |
| Carlos Ruiz       |   410 |    0.308 |     1013 |     0.281 | 0.027 |
| Jhonny Peralta    |   525 |    0.325 |     1738 |     0.299 | 0.026 |
| Jacoby Ellsbury   |   660 |    0.336 |     1256 |     0.314 | 0.022 |
| Ben Zobrist       |   588 |    0.310 |     1240 |     0.290 | 0.020 |
| Dexter Fowler     |   481 |    0.354 |      898 |     0.335 | 0.020 |
| Ryan Braun        |   563 |    0.350 |     1865 |     0.330 | 0.020 |
| Ronny Cedeno      |   413 |    0.313 |     1025 |     0.293 | 0.019 |

Here are the 35 biggest negative differences between 2011 BABIP and 2008-2010 BABIP, minimum 400 at-bats in 2011 and 800 at-bats in 2008-2010. Should we expect a reversal of fortune in 2012 for these players?

+------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+--------+
| Player           | 11_AB | 11_BABIP | 3year_AB | 3yr_BABIP | Dif    |
+------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+--------+
| Evan Longoria    |   483 |    0.239 |     1606 |     0.321 | -0.082 |
| Martin Prado     |   551 |    0.266 |     1277 |     0.338 | -0.072 |
| Alex Rios        |   537 |    0.237 |     1784 |     0.304 | -0.067 |
| Vernon Wells     |   505 |    0.214 |     1647 |     0.280 | -0.066 |
| Adam Dunn        |   415 |    0.240 |     1621 |     0.304 | -0.064 |
| Casey McGehee    |   546 |    0.249 |      989 |     0.313 | -0.064 |
| Ichiro Suzuki    |   677 |    0.295 |     2005 |     0.356 | -0.061 |
| Mark Teixeira    |   589 |    0.239 |     1784 |     0.296 | -0.057 |
| David DeJesus    |   442 |    0.274 |     1428 |     0.331 | -0.057 |
| Dan Uggla        |   600 |    0.253 |     1684 |     0.308 | -0.055 |
| Angel Pagan      |   478 |    0.285 |     1013 |     0.337 | -0.052 |
| Miguel Olivo     |   477 |    0.270 |     1090 |     0.322 | -0.052 |
| Ian Kinsler      |   620 |    0.243 |     1475 |     0.294 | -0.051 |
| Kevin Youkilis   |   431 |    0.296 |     1391 |     0.342 | -0.047 |
| Colby Rasmus     |   471 |    0.267 |      938 |     0.314 | -0.047 |
| Omar Infante     |   579 |    0.298 |      991 |     0.343 | -0.044 |
| Russell Martin   |   417 |    0.252 |     1389 |     0.295 | -0.043 |
| Mark Reynolds    |   534 |    0.266 |     1616 |     0.309 | -0.043 |
| Kelly Johnson    |   545 |    0.277 |     1435 |     0.319 | -0.042 |
| Raul Ibanez      |   535 |    0.268 |     1696 |     0.309 | -0.041 |
| Jayson Werth     |   561 |    0.286 |     1543 |     0.327 | -0.041 |
| Matt Wieters     |   500 |    0.276 |      800 |     0.317 | -0.041 |
| Jason Bartlett   |   553 |    0.292 |     1422 |     0.332 | -0.041 |
| Adam Lind        |   499 |    0.265 |     1482 |     0.305 | -0.040 |
| John Buck        |   466 |    0.268 |      965 |     0.306 | -0.038 |
| Orlando Cabrera  |   450 |    0.259 |     1811 |     0.297 | -0.038 |
| Kurt Suzuki      |   460 |    0.244 |     1595 |     0.279 | -0.035 |
| Albert Pujols    |   579 |    0.277 |     1679 |     0.311 | -0.034 |
| Josh Hamilton    |   487 |    0.317 |     1478 |     0.350 | -0.033 |
| Nelson Cruz      |   475 |    0.288 |      976 |     0.321 | -0.033 |
| Justin Upton     |   592 |    0.319 |     1377 |     0.351 | -0.032 |
| Cody Ross        |   405 |    0.279 |     1545 |     0.310 | -0.032 |
| Nick Markakis    |   641 |    0.300 |     1866 |     0.332 | -0.032 |
| Johnny Damon     |   582 |    0.284 |     1644 |     0.316 | -0.032 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera |   604 |    0.302 |     1256 |     0.333 | -0.032 |