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Carolina Panthers IDP Team Report

July 16, 2015 By IDPManor Leave a Comment

In 2013, the Carolina Panthers rode one of the NFL’s most feared defenses to an NFC South title. The Panthers made it back to the playoffs last year, but the defense backslid from first in the NFL in sacks down to 13th.

Defensive Linemen

Much of that drop-off was due to the exile of Greg Hardy, and with Hardy now in Dallas it falls to ninth-year veteran Charles Johnson to anchor the team’s pass rush. As Joseph Person of The Charlotte Observer reported, the Panthers have been moving Johnson around in the formation in OTAs in an effort to generate favorable matchups.

“It’s something we’re looking at,” defensive coordinator Sean McDermott said. “I think you’ve always got to work on a contingency plan, and certainly the production off the left side the last couple years has been very strong. The spring is a time to work on some things. We wanted to look at that. We’ll see how it continues to develop.”

Johnson has racked up 52.5 sacks over the past five seasons, but the 28-year-old hasn’t exceeded 41 stops in a year since 2010. He’s an up-and-down DL2, but one with substantial upside.

Outside Johnson, there’s a lot of maybes, from ends Mario Addison and Kony Ealy to tackles Kawann Short and Star Lotulelei. With enough snaps and a bit of luck any of those players could emerge as a viable IDP option, but for now they aren’t much more than waiver wire watches.

Linebackers

The Panthers defense is led by middle linebacker Luke Kuechly, who once again had a fantastic season for IDP owners in 2014. Among linebackers, only Justin Houston of the Kansas City Chiefs had more fantasy points in than Kuechly thanks to Houston’s gaudy 22.0 sacks. If you don’t get a chance to own J.J. Watt in your IDP league this year, the 2013 NFL Defensive Player of the Year isn’t a bad consolation prize.

After signing a two-year extension, veteran Thomas Davis told Person he’s eager to get the Carolina defense back on top. “I’m extremely excited about being a part of this defense, Davis said, “and I’m looking forward to doing my part to make sure that we become the No. 1 defense in the league.” Despite finishing inside LB3 territory last year Davis is being drafted well outside the top 50 fantasy linebackers per ADP data at My Fantasy League, making the 32-year-old a great value pick late in IDP drafts.

The reason for that dip? The arrival of rookie Shaq Thompson, who will take Davis’ place on the weakside. However, Davis graded out first among all 4-3 outside linebackers in pass coverage per Pro Football Focus last year, so Thompson probably isn’t getting subpackage snaps – and the fantasy value that comes with them.

Defensive Backs

After 12 years in Chicago, cornerback Charles Tillman joined the Panthers in free agency, and Tillman told Ashley Mahoney of the Charlotte Post that he’s been sharing his wealth of experience with the team’s younger players.

“I’m here trying to do my small 1/11th and just do my small part,” Tillman said. “It’s a team style. I do what I’m told, but I think I have a little bit of freedom to be creative within the defense—if that makes any sense. I’m just trying to do my part—fit in and just contribute so that we can win some games.”

Tillman and veteran safety Roman Harper both have top-10 fantasy campaigns on their resumes. However, both also have recent durability issues and both are well past the age of 30. The old dogs may still have some fight left in them, but they’re late-round IDP fliers at best.

Also see: Carolina Panthers Team Report · Atlanta Falcons IDP Team Report

Filed Under: Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football IDP

Top Rookie Individual Defensive Players and IDP Primer—Eric Kendricks, Stephone Anthony LB Targets

May 21, 2015 By AskTony Leave a Comment

For fantasy owners that are bored of the typical 12-team, standard scoring fantasy football leagues, there are plenty of different league formats to try. One of that is becoming more popular, and my personal favorite, are leagues that incorporate Individual Defensive Players (IDPs). Instead of focusing strictly on one side of the ball, it requires owners to become familiar with the defensive side of the ball.

Here is a quick IDP primer. Players that produce a high amount of tackles are usually very valuable. Those players tend to be linebackers. Players that rely on turnovers and sacks, primarily defensive ends and defensive backs, can be inconsistent (except the freakishly athletic J.J. Watt who can seemingly do anything on the field). Knowing your league’s defensive scoring rules before going into the fantasy draft is crucial, and IDP scoring does tend to vary more from league to league than offensive scoring.

Knowing an NFL team’s defensive scheme (3-4 or 4-3) will help guide which positions should be getting more tackles, linebackers or defensive linemen. Teams with weak offenses will obviously have their defense on the field much more, which translates to more fantasy points. Matchups are key assessing which teams give up more points on average to opposing DL, LB and DBs.

As for rookies, some step right into an ideal situation due to lack of competition at their position. Some have to prove themselves before earning a starting gig, or a spot that has the opportunity to produce good defensive stats and fantasy numbers. Here are my Top 10 Rookie Defensive Players, for fantasy football, for the 2015 season:

1. LB Eric Kendricks, Vikings

Talk about an amazing landing spot for linebacker Eric Kendricks with the Minnesota Vikings. Kendricks should slide right into the middle linebacker position and play alongside veteran Chad Greenway and former college teammate Anthony Barr. Although a bit on the short end for a linebacker (6’0”), Kendricks makes up for it by being very athletic and a tackling machine. He is great in pass coverage and should immediately start as a three-down player. Kendricks is clearly the best IDP rookie prospect given his situation.

2. LB Stephone Anthony, Saints

The New Orleans Saints definitely needed to improve their defense and they took a giant step in the right direction by drafting Stephone Anthony. Anthony, like Kendricks, is very athletic and a great tackler. Although Anthony has struggled a bit in pass protection, he is great against the run. With minimal competition at linebacker, Anthony should start Day One and get plenty of opportunity for tackles.

3. LB Benardrick McKinney, Texans

The Houston Texans cannot seem to catch a break with linebackers. They either get hurt or continue to underperform. Benardrick McKinney is next up for the Texans as he should start immediately and make a name for himself on an already impressive defense. McKinney is an excellent pass rusher and run defender, but struggles in pass coverage, which may limit him early. With his physical play and persistence, McKinney will impress the defensive staff and his fantasy owners.

4. DE/LB Vic Beasley, Falcons

It is yet to be seen where Vic Beasley will play for the Atlanta Falcons, but either way, the Falcons need help on the defensive side of the ball. His best fit is at defensive end where he is a nightmare for opposing offensive linemen. He excels at the pass rush and he could push for 10+ sacks his rookie season, but he needs to improve his play at stopping the run. Beasley has great talent and is full of energy, so he should instantly improve the Falcons defense. Fantasy owners make sure to lobby for Beasley to be considered a defensive lineman in your league.

5. LB Denzel Perryman, Chargers

With Manti Te’o underwhelming in 2014, Denzel Perryman has the opportunity to step in immediately and prove he is a Day One starter for the San Diego Chargers. Perryman has the upside to be a three-down linebacker and a tone-setter, which is greatly missed in defenses around the league nowadays. Perryman is light on his feet proving he can move well side to side. With only Te’o standing in his way, it will not be long until Perryman is starting for the Chargers and he could hold onto that job for many years.

6. LB Jake Ryan, Packers

It is still unknown if veteran Clay Matthews will stay at linebacker (as the Green Bay Packers experimented with in 2014) or go back to defensive end. However, either way, he is a force to be reckoned with. Jake Ryan will immediately make an impact for the Packers. A Mid-Western native, Ryan is used to playing tough. He is a great tackler and athletic enough to play any linebacker position for the Packers. With no competition for a starting position, Ryan has a fantastic opportunity ahead of him for an elite team. He has sleeper appeal written all over him for IDP leagues.

7. LB Shaq Thompson, Panthers

Shaq Thompson is a great athlete and a turnover-forcing machine. Unfortunately, IDP owners may have to be patient with Thompson as he lands with the Carolina Panthers who already have elite linebackers in Luke Kuechly and Thomas Davis. With the addition of Thompson, that makes the Panthers’ linebacker corps one of the best in the league. Given Thompson’s athleticism, the Panthers will find a way to get him on the field, likely in a third-down role as he is a great pass defender. Give him some time to work his way into the defense and he will be a stud.

8. DE/LB Randy Gregory, Cowboys

Going into the 2014 season, all the talk surrounding the Dallas Cowboys was how bad their defense would be due to injuries and lack of depth. Well, they held their own and impressed the skeptics. For 2015, they added some defensive line depth by drafting Randy Gregory. Gregory is a small defensive end at 235 pounds, but is a great athlete. He has an opportunity to play opposite recently acquired Greg Hardy (once he comes back from suspension). Given his lack in size, Gregory has some room to improve, but has a bright future ahead of him on team that always seems to be in the spotlight.

9. S Landon Collins, Giants

The New York Giants defense had some huge holes in 2014. To start plugging them up, they drafted safety Landon Collins. Yes, defensive backs in IDP leagues are easy to find. However, defensive backs that play in the box and put up linebacker-type tackles are rare, and that is exactly what Collins is. He will instantly help the Giants. He is not a great pass defender, but that didn’t stop Bernard Pollard from consistently producing top 10 defensive back performances by racking up tackles. Expect Collins to do the same and become a top defensive back for fantasy.

10. OLB Preston Smith, Redskins

The Washington Redskins have a sneaky good linebacker corps. With the addition of Preston Smith, he joins Keenan Robinson, Ryan Kerrigan, and Perry Riley Jr. Smith should make an immediate impact as he is a natural defender. He might not rack up the tackles next to those other linebackers, but he will be a “big play” stopper. It will take some time for him to become fantasy relevant week in and week out, but he is a great stash for deep IDP leagues.

Two More To Monitor

DL Leonard Williams, Jets

Easily the best defensive linemen and arguably the best all-around player in the 2015 NFL Draft, Leonard Williams was taken by the New York Jets. Unfortunately for Williams, the Jets already have two really great defensive linemen in Muhammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson. Williams’ best chance for year one success is via a rotation. However, Williams is the next man up for the Jets and has incredible talent, so consider him a longer-term quality stash even if he doesn’t produce immediately.

OLB Alvin “Bud” Dupree, Steelers

A team that is desperate for a pass rusher, the Pittsburgh Steelers went with Bud Dupree in the 2015 NFL Draft. Dupree still needs time to develop his game, but given the Steelers history developing outside linebackers, Dupree is in the right place to learn and become very good. He could eventually become a good fantasy option, but will rely more heavily on sacks, so factor that into his value for your IDP leagues.

Top 2015 Rookies Series

Quarterbacks | Running Backs | Wide Receivers | Tight Ends | Defensive Players

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

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