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MFL10 Draft Recap From First and Sixth Overall Picks

August 17, 2015 By AskTony Leave a Comment

In a recent MFL10 draft, Mike selected Minnesota Vikings RB Adrian Peterson at 1.01, and Tony took Green Bay Packers RB Eddie Lacy at 1.06. Check out how the rest of their respective drafts played out.

In a recent MFL10 draft, Mike selected Minnesota Vikings RB Adrian Peterson at 1.01, and Tony took Green Bay Packers RB Eddie Lacy at 1.06. Check out how the rest of their respective drafts played out.

A great way to practice drafting for your upcoming fantasy football drafts, and to get a handle on Average Draft Position (ADP) for players (not to mention, they are a lot of fun) is to enter an MFL10 fantasy league, hosted by MyFantasyLeague.com.

The format is a redraft league with performance plus PPR scoring. The starting lineup is 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex (RB/WR/TE) and 1 DEF for 9 total starters, and 20 roster spots.

MFL10s are draft-only leagues – no trading, no free agency waiver add/drops – and “best ball” scoring. Due to the best ball scoring, NFL players with high weekly variance might get drafted a bit earlier than usual.

Fantasy owners benefit in weeks these players blow up, while the player is automatically benched in weeks they disappear. These riskier players do take up a valuable roster spot however, so all in all, MFL10s are still a good gauge on where players get drafted in our regular fantasy leagues.

Recently, Draft Buddy creator Mike MacGregor and I participated in an MFL10 draft with other industry experts. Let’s take a look at each of our teams, post-draft. Draft Buddy users can review all of the teams in a copy of Draft Buddy that Mike uploaded to our members area that he used during the draft.

Mike: 1.01 RB Adrian Peterson, MIN

It is hard to go wrong with the first overall pick in a redraft. I expect Peterson to have a monster year. I’m thinking “revenge” for 2014. He will be fed every game and no signs point to him slowing down any time soon.

Tony: 1.06 RB Eddie Lacy, GB

Lacy is among the top three running backs in the league, so for him to fall to me at sixth overall, I gladly scooped him up. He is young, he doesn’t have much competition challenging him, and with the best quarterback in the league throwing passes, what is there not to like about Lacy?

Mike: 2.12 RB Justin Forsett, BAL

Forsett was the 2014 breakout candidate of the year as he carried the Ravens backfield after the Ray Rice controversy. With the addition of offensive coordinator Marc Trestman, who helped Matt Forte earn the most receptions by a running back in a season last year, Forsett is in line for a bigger receiving role, which is gold for PPR leagues. Finally, according to Pro Football Focus offensive guard rankings, the Ravens have two in the top 10, meaning Forsett should see some big holes to run through.

Tony: 2.07 WR Calvin Johnson, DET

I will gladly take Calvin Johnson here. Last year, Johnson was the first overall wide receiver taken. Yes, injuries have limited him the past few years, but he is still a freak athlete on a team that loves to throw the ball. Johnson says he is the healthiest he has felt in years, and all signs point to a rebound year.

Mike: 3.01 WR T.Y. Hilton, IND

Hilton is the lead receiver for one of the best quarterbacks in the league, Andrew Luck. With the addition of running back Frank Gore to help keep defenses worried about the run, Hilton should see less defensive coverage. I expect him to finish with a career high in touchdowns, topping his 2014 total of 7.

Tony: 3.06 WR DeAndre Hopkins, HOU

Hopkins went into 2014 as a sleeper and he definitely lived up to that label. He finished as WR14, even with the questionable quarterbacking he had throwing to him. With running back Arian Foster out with a groin injury, Hopkins will see a ton of targets this year as the Texans will likely be playing from behind. I expect Hopkins to finish in the top 15 receivers again.

Mike: 4.12 TE Greg Olsen, CAR

I rank Olsen as my third overall tight end. He continuously produces for the Panthers. With a healthy running game and the addition of Devin Funchess on the outside, Olsen should find plenty of room in the middle of the field.

Tony: 4.07 WR Emmanuel Sanders, DEN

Sanders helped form one of the best wide receiver duos in the league in 2014. It helps that he has the great Peyton Manning throwing to him. With Demaryius Thomas continuing to demand double coverage, I expect Sanders to have another great year as long as Manning can continue to sling the ball.

Mike: 5.01 WR Jarvis Landry, MIA

Landry was one of the most underappreciated rookie wide receivers in 2014. He finished with 84 receptions on 112 targets, which is an insane 75% catch rate. That translates to a PPR machine. If quarterback Ryan Tannehill continues to take the next step forward, Landry is in for a big season.

Tony: 5.06 RB Shane Vereen, NYG

I have a lot of stock in Vereen this year. Come the end of the year, I expect Vereen to finish as the best running back for the Giants. Not only will he lead the backs in receptions, but, as training camp reports suggest, he will also split the running duties as well. With rookie phenom Odell Beckham Jr. earning double coverage and speedy Victor Cruz returning from injury, Vereen should have plenty of room to work.

Mike: 6.12 RB Doug Martin, TB

Martin gets another, and maybe his last, chance to be the lead back for the Buccaneers. He is their best running option. Training camp reports suggest he has lost weight and body fat in preparation for a major role in the offense. A motivated Martin could produce rewards at the flex option for fantasy teams.

Tony: 6.07 QB Ben Roethlisberger, PIT

Roethlisberger had back-to-back 6 touchdown games in 2014, which is unbelievable. His offensive weapons have only gotten better in 2015. Despite the two-game suspension for running back Le’Veon Bell, the Steelers will be one of the highest scoring teams in the NFL this year. I will gladly take Roethlisberger as my quarterback.

Mike: 7.01 WR Mike Wallace, MIN

Mike Wallace is one of my candidates for sleeper status in 2015, or very underrated if you don’t care for the term sleeper. All the hype in Minnesota is around Charles Johnson, but Wallace is not a guy to forget about. Teddy Bridgewater, who I expect to finish in the top 10 quarterbacks this year, has a healthy Peterson back to keep defenses honest, which means there should be plenty of room for burner Wallace to get open on deep routes.

Tony: 7.06 WR Roddy White, ATL

An oldie but a goodie, White, even though he has a slew of knee injuries the past few years, continues to produce worthy fantasy stats. He may not start the season healthy as his knee is still bothering him, but when healthy, the veteran can still play. In my opinion, a move to the slot may help White thrive as he winds down his career.

Mike: 8.12 RB Rashad Jennings, NYG

Jennings should rotate with Vereen as the lead running back, but as I stated about my 6th round pick, I like Vereen to assume more work than Jennings this year. I expect the Giants to do very well this year, providing adequate opportunities for both players.

Tony: 8.07 TE Martellus Bennett, CHI

Despite holdout talks during OTAs, Bennett has shown up to training camp and been blowing new head coach John Fox and offensive coordinator Adam Gase away. Bennett has proven he can handle a big workload. I like him to finish within the top five this year.

Mike: 9.01 WR Steve Smith, BAL

We have two great veteran choices here in the ninth round. Both Smith and Boldin should continue to lead their respective teams in targets this year. Smith is the lead receiver for the Ravens with only a rookie as the second option.

Tony: 9.06 WR Anquan Boldin, SF

Boldin now has Torrey Smith opposite him, which should help spread the coverage out, allowing Boldin to utilize his great skills.

Mike: 10.12 QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA

Another player with a lot of hype is Tannehill. He has great offensive weapons that should make 2015 a career year for him as long as he continues taking those steps forward.

Tony: 10.07 RB Roy Helu, OAK

I am drinking the Helu Kool-Aid this offseason. I loved him as a sleeper for the Redskins when he came out of college, but Alfred Morris broke out as the lead back. I am not a believer in the Raiders lead back Latavius Murray. I expect Helu to start as the pass catching back, but to make his way to the starter role by year-end.

Mike: 11.01 TE Delanie Walker, TEN

Walker is a very good backup to have on your fantasy team, and he could even suffice as a starter in deep leagues. The Titans are in a transition year with rookie franchise quarterback Marcus Mariota now driving the offense, and Walker could be utilized as a safety valve until the offense gets acclimated.

Tony: 11.06 WR Devin Funchess, CAR

Funchess will play opposite Kelvin Benjamin. Both receivers provide big, athletic targets for quarterback Cam Newton. With Benjamin warranting more coverage, Funchess could be a primary target, especially in the red zone, for Newton.

Mike: 12.12 QB Carson Palmer, ARI

Prior to tearing his ACL, Palmer was having a Pro Bowl season, with 62.9% completions, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions through six games. In 2015, he looks to finish what he started in 2014.

Tony: 12.07 RB Knile Davis, KC

If an injury were to happen to all top five running backs (boy do I not wish that to ever happen), the best backup to own is Knile Davis. He has proven he can carry the rock well in support of Jamaal Charles.

Mike: 13.01 RB Fred Jackson, BUF

Jackson is the oldest running back in the NFL today. It is undetermined what role he will have in the new Bills offense under head coach Rex Ryan as training camps report indicate rookie Karlos Williams is quickly moving up the depth charts, so Jackson may be in for a position battle all year.

Tony: 13.06 QB Joe Flacco, BAL

Flacco has consistently been a mid-tier quarterback, but a more than suitable backup for this format. With Trestman now the offensive coordinator, Flacco may be asked to throw more often, which could lead to big stats.

Mike: 14.12 WR Phillip Dorsett, IND

Dorsett has quarterback Luck and receiver Hilton showing him the ropes. So much so that he has passed sophomore Donte Moncrief on the depth charts. Dorsett may have a few big games in him this year.

Tony: 14.07 TE Larry Donnell, NYG

Prior to rookie Beckham Jr. joining the active roster last season, Donnell was the hottest tight end in the NFL, even posting a three-touchdown game in Week 4. Donnell will be a serviceable tight end for my bye week.

Mike: 15.01 WR Kenny Britt, STL

Britt has had an underwhelming career in the NFL and he hopes to improve with new quarterback Nick Foles. All Rams receivers are fast and athletic, so Britt may have some stiff competition on the field.

Tony: 15.06 DEF Houston Texans

Any defense with J.J. Watt is automatically a threat for a big scoring week. The man creates a ton of sacks and turnovers, which he converts into touchdowns himself sometimes. The Texans defense will rank in the top five this year again.

Mike: 16.12 QB Blake Bortles, JAC

Bortles struggled in his rookie year in 2014. He now has more offensive weapons and reports are he has taken great strides this offseason.

Tony: 16.07 RB Javorius Allen, BAL

Rookie running back Allen may threaten Forsett as the pass catching back, especially in Trestman’s offense. As I’ve already stated, we should expect to see this offense air the ball out more, so Allen has plenty of potential in PPR leagues.

Mike: 17.01 DEF New England Patriots

The front seven players for the Patriots defense should be dominant this year. It is the defensive backs that are questionable.

Tony: 17.06 WR Josh Huff, PHI

Personally, I feel Josh Huff will earn the number two WR position this year opposite Jordan Matthews. I know rookie Nelson Agholor is there, but Huff has been dominating camp and will come extremely cheap in all drafts this year.

Mike: 18.12 DEF Indianapolis Colts

The Colts defense provides some depth at the position and they will suffice as a backup.

Tony: 18.07 WR Allen Hurns, JAC

Hurns passed Marqise Lee to deserve the number two receiver designation opposite Allen Robinson. We saw Hurns handle the number one role in 2014 quite well, so if Bortles takes that next step in 2015, I expect some big weeks for Hurns.

Mike: 19.01 WR Robert Woods, BUF

With defenses focusing on sophomore Sammy Watkins, Woods may find some open spots on the field for the Bills. He has nothing but upside.

Tony: 19.06 DEF New York Giants

The Giants defense should take a huge step forward this year with their improved linebackers and defensive backs. Let’s just hope Jason Pierre-Paul makes it back quick from his offseason hand injury.

Mike: 20.12 DEF Jacksonville Jaguars

I personally think the Jaguars are the most underrated defense in the league. They have a great linebacker corps and improved their defensive backs. The defensive line still needs improvement. Do not be surprised if they finish in the top 15 this year.

Tony: 20.07 WR Danny Amendola, NE

As my last pick, Amendola is practically free. Over the first four weeks while Tom Brady is likely suspended, Amendola should be a safety valve out of the slot for QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

Below are the final rosters for each team. Which side do you prefer, and what would you do differently constructing your best-ball MFL10 team from either of these draft spots?

Screen Shot 2015-08-17 at 1.23.24 PM Screen Shot 2015-08-17 at 1.23.53 PM

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Indianapolis Colts Team Report

July 22, 2015 By Dave Leave a Comment

After a 10 year run with the San Francisco 49ers and having topped 1,000 rushing yards in eight of the past nine years, Frank Gore was signed in the offseason to lead the Indianapolis Colts rushing attack in 2015.

After a 10 year run with the San Francisco 49ers and having topped 1,000 rushing yards in eight of the past nine years, Frank Gore was signed in the offseason to lead the Indianapolis Colts rushing attack in 2015.

QB Andrew Luck

After a pair of solid if not spectacular seasons, Andrew Luck enjoyed a true coming out party in 2014 as he amassed career highs in completions (380), completion percentage (61.7%) and touchdown passes (40). And he continued to pad his fantasy stats with 273 rushing yards and three touchdowns, giving him 12 TD on the ground in three years. What’s in store for 2015? More of the same. While the Colts once again failed to adequately address the offensive line, Luck figures to be surrounded by even more offensive weaponry given the free agent signings of Andre Johnson and Frank Gore, the selection of speedy wide receiver Phillip Dorsett in the 1st round of this year’s NFL Draft and the return to health of tight end Dwayne Allen. And it is also nice that he gets six games against the Colts weak divisional opponents in the AFC South. It’s a two-man race between Luck and Aaron Rodgers to be the first quarterback taken in this year’s fantasy drafts and while we give Rodgers a slight edge, we wouldn’t criticize any Luck fans for grabbing him ahead of Rodgers.

RB Frank Gore

After a 10 year run with the 49ers and having topped 1,000 rushing yards in eight of the past nine years, Frank Gore was signed in the offseason to lead the Colts rushing attack in 2015. After splitting duties with Carlos Hyde last season, Gore could be in line for a workhorse type role in Indianapolis where he is joined on the depth chart by journeymen Dan Herron and Vick Ballard as well as rookie 6th round pick Josh Robinson. None of that trio have proven themselves as solid receivers out of the backfield, meaning Gore could once again emerge as a solid receiving threat after catching just 72 passes over the past four years with the 49ers. Of course, there are the not so insignificant issues of his advancing age (he turned 32 in May), his career workload (2,786 touches) and the Colts porous offensive line. While Gore’s situation and history of solid production signals RB1 status, we can’t ignore these three key issues. He rates as an upper tier RB2 who could sneak into RB1 territory if he gets enough use in the red zone, a possibility given his expected role as a receiver and Ahmad Bradshaw‘s six touchdown receptions in just 10 games in 2014.

RB Dan Herron

Released by the Bengals after being a 2012 6th round pick and unable to earn significant playing time with the Colts in 2013, Herron’s fantasy prospects entering the 2014 season were pretty much non-existent. However, an injury to Ahmad Bradshaw and Trent Richardson‘s ineffectiveness led to an increased role for Herron at the midpoint of last season and he proved reliable, gaining 351 rushing yards, averaging 4.5 yards per carry and scoring once. He also wasn’t half-bad as a receiver, gaining 173 yards on 21 receptions. And in his last six games, he averaged a respectable 8.4 PPG. If this sounds like a lukewarm endorsement, that’s because it is. The eye doesn’t lie. Herron is a middling talent whose only value comes as the leading candidate to emerge as Frank Gore’s main backup in 2015. However, we won’t be shocked if he loses that role by opening day. Monitor the Colts backup running back situation since whoever emerges as Gore’s backup is definitely worth taking a flyer on.

RB Vick Ballard

After posting 814 rushing yards as a rookie 5th round pick in 2013 despite not getting major touches until Week 7, Ballard missed all but one game of the 2013 season due to a torn ACL and all of 2014 due to a torn Achilles’. Not exactly a speedster or elusive playmaker before the injuries, Ballard will have a tough time cracking the Colts opening day roster. However, if he does, he could have fantasy appeal in 2015. Starting running back Frank Gore is 32, last season’s main backup Dan Herron is a middling talent and rookie 6th round pick Josh Robinson shapes up as a committee back. While Ballard’s injury woes may have zapped him of the talent necessary to compete in the NFL, he was productive as a rookie and he has an opportunity to emerge as the main backup on one of the league’s top offenses. That makes him worthy of keeping an eye on as the preseason progresses.

WR T.Y. Hilton

Mea culpa. Our read on Hilton last year was that he would struggle to reach the 138 targets he had in 2013 with both Reggie Wayne and Dwayne Allen back from injury and Hakeem Nicks having been added to the Colts receiving corps. Well, Wayne proved to be washed up, Allen couldn’t stay healthy and Nicks was a non-factor but Hilton still only managed 131 targets. However, he made them count, matching his 82 receptions from 2013 but increasing his receiving yards from 1,083 to 1,345 and his touchdowns from five to seven. Although Andre Johnson was signed in the offseason, Hilton is the Colts undisputed number one wide receiver whose target count should increase making him an even more consistent option than in 2014 when he reached double digit fantasy points in eight games. We like him as a low end WR1 whose only risk comes from his slender 5’10”, 185 pound frame.

WR Andre Johnson

After 12 years in Houston with the Texans, the 34-year old Johnson joins the Colts in 2015. Signed to a three-year, $21-million contract, he gets the opportunity to play with Andrew Luck, a far superior talent than the quarterbacks he played with in Houston. But will it add it up to a solid fantasy season? With a mid-July ADP as the 18th highest rated wide receiver being taken in the middle of the 4th round, fantasy owners seem to think so. We’re not so sure. Johnson caught just 58.2% of his targets last season while averaging a lowly 11.0 yards per reception, both figures his lowest since suffering through a 2-14 season with David Carr at quarterback back in 2005. The truth is that Johnson is little more than a possession receiver and red zone option at this point in his career making his fantasy value touchdown dependent since his upside is likely 900 yards receiving. And while Colts offense will outscore any of the Texans offenses that Johnson has played with in recent seasons, why exactly are we predicting a touchdown explosion for a player that has caught 14 touchdowns over the last four years? With a pair of solid pass catching tight ends and a wide receiver depth chart that runs six deep with legitimate NFL talent, Johnson rates as an upper tier WR3.

WR Donte Moncrief

Last year, we summed up Moncrief’s fantasy prospects as “right place, wrong time”. And that axiom holds true once again in 2015. Given precious little playing time as a rookie 3rd round pick, Moncrief put his outstanding physical prowess on display when given an opportunity, catching 32 of his 49 targets for 444 yards and three touchdowns. With solid size at 6’2″ and 226 pounds to go along with 4.4-40 speed and some run after the catch ability, Moncrief figured to be on a pile of 2015 breakout lists as this rookie season came to a close. Then the Colts signed Andre Johnson in free agency and used a 1st round pick on Phillip Dorsett. That pretty much ended any potential breakout opportunity for Moncrief. We love his potential in dynasty leagues but he has little value in redraft formats.

WR Phillip Dorsett

Ah, the rich get richer. Seemingly well stocked at the wide receiver position but facing a potentially tough contract negotiation with T.Y. Hilton as he enters the final year of his rookie contract, the Colts shocked the league by selecting Miami-Florida wide receiver Phillip Dorsett in the 1st round of this year’s NFL Draft. Possessing blazing speed (4.33 40 time), the 5’10”, 185 pound Dorsett is a replica of Hilton and figures to earn regular playing time as a slot receiver at some point during his rookie season. While we like Dorsett’s dynasty prospects, especially if the Colts fail to come to an agreement with Hilton, his fantasy appeal in redraft formats is low given the presence of Hilton and Andre Johnson in the starting lineup, as well as the team’s reliance on two tight end formations (although we expect more there wide receiver sets in 2015). That spells inconsistent usage making Dorsett little more than a late round flyer.

WR Duron Carter

After a pair of solid seasons in the CFL, Duron Carter will get a look in the NFL with the Indianapolis Colts in 2015. Pursued by several teams, the talented 6’5″, 204 pound CFL refugee appeared to have a chance to start as an NFL rookie with Reggie Wayne’s expected departure. However, the Colts added Andre Johnson and Vincent Brown in free agency before using their 1st round pick on Miami-Florida speedster Phillip Dorsett. To earn regular playing time, Carter will need to beat out impressive 2nd year player Donte Moncrief, Dorsett and Brown to emerge as the Colts main backup. His most likely role is as an occasional red zone threat which renders him not fantasy worthy in 2015. He has some value in dynasty formats.

TE Dwayne Allen

Despite missing three full games last year and not being targeted in three others, Allen still managed to produce 87.5 fantasy points (14th amongst tight ends) and average 7.3 PPG (9th best). While those numbers are impressive, there are three big risks with Allen. One is that he misses time (18 missed games over the past two years). The second is that he is occasionally left out of the Colts offensive game plan (in 28 career games he has had three or fewer targets 14 times). The third is that he is heavily reliant on touchdowns for his fantasy points (48 of his 87.5 points last year came from touchdowns). Nonetheless, Allen produces as a lower tier TE1 when healthy and in three years has been a touchdown magnet with 12 scores in 118 career targets. The other issue is the presence of Coby Fleener, a better receiver but much poorer blocker. Since we expect Allen to get the majority of playing time at tight end and given his red zone pedigree, we rate Allen as a bottom end TE1 who possesses some breakout potential.

TE Coby Fleener

Since being taken early in the 2nd round of the 2012 NFL Draft, Fleener has improved his target count, receptions, yards and touchdowns in three straight seasons, finishing last season as the 6th ranked fantasy tight end with 51 receptions for 774 yards and eight touchdowns. Playing in a Colts high powered offense led by Andrew Luck, what’s not to like, right? Well, let’s get on the brakes pretty hard. First off, of Fleener’s 125.4 fantasy points from a year ago, 59.5 (or 47.5%) came in the four games that Dwayne Allen missed or barely played. Second, with the additions of Andre Johnson, 1st round pick Phillip Dorsett and 6’5″ CFL refugee Duron Carter, Fleener’s place in the Colts receiving pecking order figures to take a big hit this season. Finally, with Allen healthy coupled with the plethora of receiving options, the Colts could very well decide that it makes more sense to have Allen, a far superior blocker, on the field than Fleener. While Fleener is an above average receiver, we expect his role to be reduced and his three year run of increasing productivity to come to a halt in 2015. He is worth taking a flyer on as a lower tier TE2.

Also see: Indianapolis Colts IDP Team Report · Houston Texans Team Report

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Initial 2015 Fantasy Football Projections Commentary, AFC South

June 5, 2015 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

Can Jacksonville Jaguars QB Blake Bortles take a big step forward in Year 2 of his NFL career? The Jags appear to be putting the right pieces in place to help him succeed.

Can Jacksonville Jaguars QB Blake Bortles take a big step forward in Year 2 of his NFL career? The Jags appear to be putting the right pieces in place to help him succeed.

Our initial 2015 fantasy football projections were released June 1. Even better, Draft Buddy is now available!

To accompany the initial projections, as we continue to review, research, analyze the projections, and create cheatsheet rankings, we provide the following commentary by division to give some insight into why we have players projected the way we do at this time.

Houston Texans

  • Don’t you hate projecting quarterback performance when you are virtually certain the expected starting QB for Week 1 is not going to be the same starting QB for Week 17? (Or if he is there will still be 2-3 switches in between.) The Texans are particularly bad this year. And I like Brian Hoyer as a player. Appeared to be a great leader and teammate with the Cleveland Browns. Hard to imagine Ryan Mallett not getting a chance to show his stuff at some point.
  • Dave pointed out in his early rankings series that Foster had the second most fantasy points per game last season. That is great, and worthy of a high draft pick, but two ways to look at his career in deciding to draft him this season. One, he’s missed time 3 of the past 4 seasons. Two, he’s played 13 or more games 3 of the past 4 seasons. This is one where I’d rank him a little lower than his projections, but don’t discount him too much.
  • Andre Johnson is gone to the Colts, leaving DeAndre Hopkins the heir apparent. He can fill those shoes. Looking at a 90-1,275-6 season on 144 targets, good for Top 12 in PPR. Uncertain QB situation is still okay here given they are veterans, and Cecil Shorts and a rookie won’t command nearly the targets of Hopkins.
  • Positive reports for C.J. Fiedorowicz recently, but the Texans just didn’t pass to their TE position very much at all last season. It would have to be a pretty deep league to draft any of these guys.

Indianapolis Colts

  • Andrew Luck or Aaron Rodgers as first QB off the board this season? We’ve got Rodgers slightly ahead, but Luck’s got a strong argument in his favour since we’ve projected him for 50 more pass attempts. They run about the same, too. Rodgers is more efficient but wouldn’t argue with you taking Luck.
  • Welcome to the Colts, Frank Gore. There are a lot of bullish opinions on Gore from fantasy players since the signing. Respect where respect is due, but lets not get too crazy over a 32 year old RB who shouldn’t be that far north of 200 carries. We’ve got him sub-1,000 yards, and if anything, I think our 8 TD projection is a little high. Never really a big TD guy, Gore has hit 8 TD five times, only once with under 258 carries. That said, there isn’t much behind him on the depth chart.
  • Is it still T.Y. Hilton’s show or Andre Johnson’s to take over? Luck and Hilton have a great rapport. Don’t see that changing. Johnson is a better receiver than he’s probably given credit for having played with some terrible quarterbacks in his career. If Luck can tap into that early, our AJ projections might be conservative at 77-925-7. Don’t automatically assume Donte Moncrief beats out rookie Phillip Dorsett as WR3.
  • Dwayne Allen is the preferred TE on the Colts, but will never excel as long as Coby Fleener is healthy, and even then it is tough with the receiver depth.
  • Overall, this is an offense you want a piece of on your fantasy team – even edging out Denver at this point – but many mouths to feed.

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Are we looking at something like a second season Ryan Tannehill or a second season … dare I say? … Blaine Gabbert, from Blake Bortles in 2015? The former. The Jaguars appear to be doing the right things putting talented skill players around Bortles, this offseason signing Julius Thomas and drafting T.J. Yeldon. Still modest projections, nothing that is going to help fantasy teams cruise to the playoffs this season, but one to watch for his progress.
  • It’s a pretty full depth chart at RB to keep track of, but signs indicate Yeldon will be the main ball carrier and someone else like hot prospect Bernard Pierce will be out of a job. Denard Robinson is a dynamic player who should catch a fair number of passes.
  • The wide receiver depth chart is perhaps worse than the running backs in terms or no one really stands out. Justin Blackmon would be but he is out of the picture. Allen Robinson, Marqise Lee
    , Allen Hurns – we’ve got Robinson the top dog but still projected 40th at WR.

  • Thomas takes a big hit in value losing Peyton Manning. His double-digit TD seasons are over but he could keep the receptions and yards up with a lot of targets in a 16-game season (something he’s never done, by the way).

Tennessee Titans

  • Not a lot to say about rookie QB Marcus Mariota. The projections are for redraft. He isn’t a draft consideration in all but the deepest leagues and ones that start two quarterbacks.
  • The Bishop Sankey experiment didn’t last long, as fantasy owners are ready to forget him and anoint rookie David Cobb, “the guy”. A player’s rookie season to second season can make a world of difference. Maybe Sankey falls in that category. We’ve got him projected ahead of Cobb, but its going to be tough for any RB to have sustained success on the Titans, because…
  • … the passing game looks potentially terrible. Rookie QB and young, questionable receivers. Not expecting any receiver to top 900 yards.

Initial 2015 Projections Release and Commentary Series

Projections | AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West
NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

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