
Here is Toby Gerhart back in 2012 facing his new team. We had to dig into the archives to find a pic of Gerhart running the ball he’s had so few carries, yet the Jaguars felt compelled to sign him to a three-year, $10.5-million contract. We’re skeptical to say the least. Photo: Icon Sportswire
Player | Tier · Rank | Passing | Rushing | Receiving | FPts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
QB C. Henne
|
7 · 31st |
155-260-1,650 10 TD 7 INT
|
19-70 0 TD
|
– |
129.5
|
QB B. Bortles
|
NR |
160-290-1,750 6 TD 8 INT
|
35-95 0 TD
|
– |
121.0
|
RB T. Gerhart
|
5 · 27th | – |
200-800 5 TD
|
40-250 1 TD
|
141.0
|
RB J. Todman
|
NR | – |
95-375 2 TD
|
25-200 1 TD
|
75.5
|
RB D. Robinson
|
NR | – |
10-55 0 TD
|
10-100 0 TD
|
15.5
|
RB S. Johnson
|
NR | – |
22-100 0 TD
|
0-00 0 TD
|
10.0
|
WR C. Shorts
|
5 · 29th | – | – |
70-880 5 TD
|
118.0
|
WR J. Blackmon
|
NR | – | – | – |
0.0
|
WR A. Sanders
|
NR | – | – |
35-400 1 TD
|
46.0
|
WR M. Lee
|
NR | – | – |
35-400 2 TD
|
52.0
|
WR A. Robinson
|
NR | – | – |
15-175 1 TD
|
23.5
|
WR M. Brown
|
NR | – | – |
10-100 0 TD
|
10.0
|
TE M. Lewis
|
4 · 21st | – | – |
50-550 5 TD
|
85.0
|
TE C. Harbor
|
NR | – | – |
20-225 1 TD
|
28.5
|
QB Chad Henne
The Jaguars indicated Henne will enter training camp as their starting quarterback and will likely open the season in the starting line up. We fully expect rookie 1st round pick Blake Bortles will wind up under center early in the season. Henne was decent last season, throwing for 3,241 yards with 13 touchdowns and 14 interceptions in 15 games, most of which involved a depleted receiving corps. If you end up needing an early season fill in, Henne could be worth the call. We don’t expect he will be on many fantasy rosters by midseason.
QB Blake Bortles
With the 3rd overall selection in this year’s NFL Draft, the Jaguars grabbed their quarterback of the future, selecting Blake Bortles from Central Florida. A strong armed, 6’5”, 232 pound passer, Bortles showed an ability to run the ball a little in college as well as avoid oncoming rushers. He will begin the season on the bench learning behind Chad Henne. However, with the Jaguars not exactly looking like title contenders in 2014, we expect Bortles will take over under center sooner rather than later. But it will be later rather than sooner before he becomes a solid fantasy option. Grab him as a mid-tier selection in rookie only drafts but let him languish on the waiver wire in redraft formats.
RB Toby Gerhart
In one of the more curious moves of the offseason, the Jaguars signed former Minnesota Vikings backup Toby Gerhart to a three-year, $10.5-million contract. Given his salary, Gerhart will assume the lead role in Jacksonville but there are plenty of reasons to question this signing. One, why would the Jaguars offer Gerhart a more lucrative deal than the one Ben Tate signed with Cleveland? Two, what evidence exists that suggests Gerhart can be successful as a lead back? Sure, Gerhart averaged a ridiculous 7.9 yards per carry last season but it was on the small sample size of 36 carries. And it is worth noting that his career yards per carry average of 4.7 and yards per reception average of 7.8 were inflated by playing against plenty of soft defenses on third and long. This has disaster written all over it for the Jags. Don’t expect Gerhart to be anything more than a mid-tier RB3 in 2014.
RB Denard Robinson
Reports out of minicamp indicate Robinson is having a solid offseason and the Jaguars have big plans for him for the coming season. Tell us if you’ve heard that before. While a lingering hand injury limited him in his rookie season, Robinson was ineffective running the ball, gaining just 66 yards on 20 carries. At 5’11 and a pumped up 210 pounds, Robinson has solid size but is probably best suited for a change of pace and receiving role. However, Jordan Todman will likely enter training camp as the leading option to earn that job. If Robinson provides some razzle dazzle in the preseason, he could be worth a late round flier given that we aren’t sold on Toby Gerhart’s prospects to develop into a workhorse back.
RB Jordan Todman
After bouncing around the league for a couple of seasons, Todman carved out a decent role for himself with the Jaguars in 2013, gaining 256 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 75 carries and catching 14 passes for 116 yards and another score. Todman returns to Jacksonville for another season and he will enter training camp as the lead backup to free agent signee Toby Gerhart. While that sounds promising given that Gerhart did little to distinguish himself during his four year stay in Minnesota, the new Jaguars brass brought him in and will almost certainly afford him every opportunity to succeed. That being said, we’re not sold on Gerhart but we’re also not sold on Todman, Denard Robinson or rookie 6th round pick Storm Johnson for that matter. This depth chart looks ripe for a veteran free agent addition at some point. If that fails to materialize and Todman beats out Robinson and Johnson for the lead backup spot, feel free using a late round flier on him.
WR Cecil Shorts
After a solid coming out party in 2012 when Shorts caught 55 passes for 979 yards and seven touchdowns, he crash landed last season as injuries, the loss of Justin Blackmon and subpar play at the quarterback position caused his production to plummet. The Jags 2011 4th round pick played through a nagging sports hernia before finally landing on injured reserve in Week 15, finishing the season with 66 receptions for 777 yards and three touchdowns. Blackmon’s loss seemed to put a real damper on Shorts’ ability to generate big plays as his yards per reception dropped from 17.8 to 11.8. However, he did post 411 receiving yards during his first five games before the injuries began taking their toll. In 2014, Shorts figures to be the team’s leading wide receiver despite Jacksonville having used 2nd round picks to acquire Marqise Lee and Allen Robinson. In fact, Shorts has bargain written all over him for 2014. If your fellow fantasy owners place too much emphasis on his injury plagued 2013 season and the acquisition of Lee and Robinson, feel confident scooping him up as a low end WR3 with upside. At just 26 years of age and coming out of tiny Mount Union college, Shorts is still an ascending player.
WR Marqise Lee
After a dynamic 2012 season, Lee chose to return to USC and ended up watching his draft stock plummet with a subpar campaign. The Jaguars happily grabbed him with the 7th pick in the 2nd round of this year’s draft and he could end up being one of the draft’s top bargains. A knee injury apparently caused some teams to take a pass on Lee but he could quickly take over as Jacksonville’s top receiver, a role currently held by Cecil Shorts. While Shorts has been productive, he lacks Lee’s upside as an outside threat. A lingering ankle injury caused Lee to miss time in OTAs but he will be ready for training camp and has a solid chance to start on opening day. Barring a solid preseason, he rates as waiver wire material in standard leagues but is a solid dynasty league prospect.
WR Allen Robinson
With Justin Blackmon suspended indefinitely, the Jaguars used a late 2nd round pick to acquire Robinson. At 6’3” and 220 pounds, Robinson has the size to replace Blackmon as the team’s key target in the red zone and on short, chain moving passes. While a hamstring injury limited him in OTAs, he is expected to be ready for the start of training camp and has an opportunity to emerge as the team’s key threat at wide receiver early in his career. Given his size, Robinson is expected to line up outside opposite fellow rookie Marqise Lee with veteran Cecil Shorts working both out of the slot and outside. Consider Robinson a solid dynasty league prospect but waiver wire material in redraft formats given the Jaguars depth at wide receiver and issues at quarterback.
WR Ace Sanders
Former 4th round picks entering their second year in the league who caught 51 passes as rookies don’t usually have to battle for their roster spots. However, that seems to be the case with Jaguars wide receiver Ace Sanders. The 5’8”, 175 pound South Carolina product totaled just 484 yards on those 51 receptions, averaging a paltry 9.5 yards per reception. With Jacksonville having used 2nd round picks on Marqise Lee and Allen Robinson, there is a solid chance that Cecil Shorts could take over as the team’s primary slot receiver. The saving grace for Sanders could be that neither Lee nor Robinson has proven able to stay healthy through OTAs. Regardless, Sanders is only worth owning in PPR formats or deep leagues provided he emerges as the Jaguars main option out of the slot.
WR Justin Blackmon
It looks like it is over and out in Jacksonville for the 5th overall selection in the 2012 NFL Draft. The Jaguars added a pair of wide receivers in the 2nd round of this year’s draft, almost certainly ending Blackmon’s two year stay with the team. Suspended indefinitely for his third violation of the league’s substance abuse policy, Blackmon would need to ask the league to be reinstated but it doesn’t appear that will be happening anytime soon. Since word out of Jacksonville is that he isn’t even communicating with his teammates, we don’t expect that he will be reinstated during the 2014 season.
TE Marcedes Lewis
Owed $13.35-million over the final two years of his contract and coming off an injury marred season in which he appeared in 10 games, catching 25 passes for 359 yards and four touchdowns, Lewis was a candidate to be released in the offseason. However, he received a stay of execution as a closer look reveals that the Jaguars were a respectable 4-6 with him in the line up and 0-6 when he was injured. It also helps that the depth chart is almost completely bare behind him and that he is an exceptional blocker. While we can’t be certain what his role will be in the passing game in 2014, we do know he showed some chops as a receiver over the final five games of the season, catching 16 passes for 242 yards and four touchdowns. Of course, Justin Blackmon missed all of those games due to a suspension and Cecil Shorts wasn’t available for three of them due to injury. Projecting Lewis’ performance in 2014 is difficult but he is probably worth a late round flier in 12-team leagues given the youth the Jaguars will be using at wide receiver this coming season.