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Stock Watch—Buy Ponikarovsky, Sell Phaneuf

March 10, 2010 By John Leave a Comment

Now that most fantasy trade deadlines have come and gone, the only way to maximize your team’s production down the stretch is through the waiver wire. Based on trades, changes in ice-time, or simply recent NHL trades during the past week, we’ve compiled a thorough list of buys and sells.


Buy

Wojtek Wolski, LW, PHO—A sell candidate just a couple weeks back, a change of scenery could be good for Wolski, particularly with Chris Stewart emerging for the Colorado Avalanche as their main scoring threat. Wolski becomes one of Phoenix’s go-to offensive weapons and has already posted a pair of goals and an assist in two games since joining the Coyotes.

Alexei Ponikarovsky, LW, PIT – “Poni” is the best two-way winger the Penguins have now, and it’s only a matter of time before head coach Dan Bylsma tries the 6’4” Ukrainian on either Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin’s wing. He had an impressive six shots in his first game as a Penguin, one of which found the net.

Johan Hedberg, G, ATL—Hedberg’s recent play has made the Thrashers trade of former starter Kari Lehtonen that much easier to swallow. He’s 6-2-1 in his last nine starts and is the primary reason the Ilya Kovalchuk-less Thrashers are still contending for a playoff spot.

Brandon Sutter, C, CAR—Valuable in more than just keeper pools, Sutter is showing that, at 21, he’s ready to contribute at the NHL ranks. He has four goals and four assists for eight points during a current six-game point streak. With the Hurricanes out of a playoff contention, Sutter will get every chance to shine in Raleigh. He’s owned in just three percent of pools.

Joni Pitkanen, D, CAR—He’s a plus-minus liability playing for the lowly ‘Canes, but if points are all that matter in your pool, Pitkanen’s a steady option. His 38 points this season tie him for eleventh among NHL defensemen.

Carlo Colaiacovo, D, STL—The Blues are winners of five of their last six, scoring 26 goals over that time period. Colaiacovo’s benefitted from the team’s inspiring play, accumulating six assists and a plus seven rating over that span.


Sell

Dion Phaneuf, D, TOR—The Maple Leafs just aren’t going to generate enough offense for Phaneuf to be a worthy fantasy play down the stretch, especially if you’re in a pool that doesn’t value penalty minutes. A five point output over his remaining 16 games is probably his ceiling.

Alex Tanguay, LW, TB—When the Lightning managed to snag Tanguay for a measly $2.5 million for one season last summer, I thought it was the best free agent signing of the offseason based on value alone. Well, Tanguay’s lackluster play this season hasn’t even been worth the $2.5 million, and he’s bounced around all four forward lines as a result.

Jean-Sebastien Giguere, G, TOR—Leafs’ coach Ron Wilson plans on alternating starts between Giguere and rookie Jonas Gustavsson for the remainder of the season, so hopefully Giguere’s pair of shutouts in his first two games as a Leaf didn’t get your hopes up.

Bill Guerin, RW, PIT—Guerin’s currently battling back spasms and, at his age, the Penguins are likely to rest him for the postseason. With the Pens’ addition of Ponikarovsky, the fantasy value of veteran wingers like Guerin and Chris Kunitz take a definite hit.

Ryan Malone, LW, TB—Malone was on a torrid pace through December (35 points in 40 games) but has hit quite the wall in the second half of the season (nine points in 24 games since January 2nd). With the rising stock of youngsters Steven Stamkos and Steve Downie, the Lightning haven’t had to rely on Malone as much of late.

Filed Under: Fantasy Hockey

Week 19 Fantasy Hockey Stock Watch

February 3, 2010 By John Leave a Comment

Buy

Jean-Sebastien Giguere, G, TOR – The former Stanley Cup and Conn Smythe winner will get his second crack at a starting job this season, after failing to lock up the position in Anaheim. Fortunately for Giguere, he’ll be pressed for starts by the struggling rookie Jonas Gustavsson, as opposed to a rising star like Jonas Hiller. While the Leafs will probably lose more games than they’ll win down the stretch, it will likely be due to their inability to score, rather than their failure to keep pucks out of the net.

Jonas Hiller, G, ANA – Hiller had already played his way into the starter’s role with a consistent string of strong starts the last month or so, but with Giguere gone and Vesa Toskala now the backup, Hiller could get somewhere in the range of 20 to 25 of the Ducks’ 27 remaining starts.

Johan Franzen, RW, DET – He’s recovered from the torn ACL suffered October 8th, but still needs conditioning. He’s slated to return to the Red Wings’ lineup February 9th against the St. Louis Blues.

Matthew Lombardi, C, PHO – He’s in a contract year, and will be relied upon even more heavily now that the ‘Yotes leading scorer, Scottie Upshall, is out with a torn ACL.

Keith Yandle, D, PHO – The 23-year-old is on pace for a 15 goal, 28 assist and +15 season. The breakout blueliner has four goals in his last four games, with two of them coming on the powerplay.

Bill Guerin, RW, PIT – Make no bones about it, Guerin’s inflated numbers at the ripe age of 39 are mainly the benefits of playing with Sidney Crosby. Numbers are numbers though, and Guerin will help you in a variety of offensive categories.

Hold

Dion Phaneuf, D, TOR – Even a 40 point season for Phaneuf may be out of reach at this point, but his addition makes the Leafs’ powerplay infinitely more dangerous. Can you imagine Kaberle quarterbacking a powerplay with howitzer-like one-timer options in both Phaneuf and Phil Kessel? However, among the Leafs’ current forwards, they have just three 50 point seasons collectively, and they could have serious scoring issues over the remainder of the season.

Michal Neuvirth, G, WAS – Yes, he was just sent back down to the AHL, but he played quite well in his first stint in the “bigs”. If you have bench room, stash him – the Caps have had major injury issues between the pipes this year, and Neuvirth looks like a budding young star.

Ryan Malone, LW, TB – Started the season on a tear which carried right into December. He’s been largely ineffective the last month, and maybe you should have sold him a few weeks ago for peak value, but he’s known for being streaky and it could be just a matter of time before his shots start going in again.

Sell

Brenden Morrow, LW, DAL – While he hasn’t had a terrible season, he hasn’t exactly bounced back into a dominant role after last year’s knee injury, as many had projected. The Stars’ have better offensive weapons right now, namely Loui Eriksson, Brad Richards, James Neal, and Mike Ribeiro (when he returns from injury), so put Morrow on the trading block.

Jonas Gustavsson, G, TOR – The “Monster” will be among the most dropped players in pools this week, as Leafs’ coach Ron Wilson has already said that Giguere will get the bulk of the remaining starts. It will be interesting to see if the Leafs try to resign the oft-injured rookie netminder for next season, or whether they will let him test the free agent market this offseason.

Andy Greene, D, NJ – He experienced most of his early season success on the Devils’ powerplay, but hasn’t registered a point with the man advantage since December 21st. He had just one point in January.

Slava Kozlov, LW, ATL – The 37-year-old veteran, who is on pace for his lowest point total in years, could be nearing the end of his career. As an unrestricted free agent this coming offseason, Kozlov could test the market, but if there’s limited interest he’ll probably retire, or maybe even play a year or two in the KHL, in his native country, Russia.

Filed Under: Fantasy Hockey

2008-09 NHL Wrap-Up: Fantasy Busts

June 16, 2009 By John Leave a Comment

First off, congratulations to the Pittsburgh Penguins on their seven game Stanley Cup victory over the dynastic Detroit Red Wings. This was the most entertaining NHL playoffs I have had the pleasure of watching, featuring some close battles, fantastic goals, and likely and unlikely heroes (ahem, Maxime Talbot).

The 2008-09 NHL awards ceremony kicks off in Las Vegas in two days, and this past season’s stars will be rewarded for their efforts. However, as a fantasy hockey guru, I would much rather criticize this year’s fantasy busts – the players who were supposed to propel your team towards victory, but performed well below their projected standards. That’s why we have the “Busties” – the NHL awards for the biggest busts!

For the sake of identifying as many different underachievers as possible, no nominee or winner of a “Busty” will be eligible for an additional award. The “Busties” will be awarded parallel to several of the NHL awards, but commended for reverse results. For example, the first Busty award given will be the Art Ross Trophy (for the most points during the regular season) but will be awarded to a player who should have been in contention for the award, but fell far below expectations. Injured players are cut some slack such as Marian Gaborik. Without further ado, I would like to present to you this year’s winners of the 2008-09 Busties.

Art Ross Busty (most disappointing point total during the regular season)
1. Jason Spezza
2. Dany Heatley
3. Anze Kopitar

The Ottawa Senators have received little secondary scoring the past few seasons, but usually were able to stay in contention thanks to their dominant top line. When that line stopped scoring at will this season, the team went downhill quickly. And now Dany Heatley wants out of town. GM Bryan Murray will certainly have his hands full this offseason putting together a competitive team for 2009-10.

Maurice Richard Busty (most disappointing goal total during the regular season)
1. Vincent Lecavalier
2. Olli Jokinen
3. Henrik Zetterberg

Perhaps it was the shoulder surgery, or maybe the constant trade rumours, but Vincent Lecavalier wasn’t the same scoring threat in 2008-09 that we’ve grown accustomed to. While Jokinen and Zetterberg had mediocre campaigns, they too had trouble piling up goals.

James Norris Busty (most disappointing defenseman during the regular season)
1. Ed Jovanovski
2. Wade Redden
3. Dion Phaneuf

While there were several others who could’ve made this list (Braydon Coburn and Brent Burns), these three really stood out for me, as they’ve all been models of consistency in the past, when healthy. While 47 points may not seem like a bad year for a defenseman, Dion Phaneuf is capable of much more. Look for a bounce back year for him in 2009-10.

Georges Vezina Busty (most disappointing goalie during the regular season)
1. Chris Osgood
2. Marty Turco
3. Vesa Toskala

Though he shone in the playoffs, Chris Osgood had the worst regular season of his 15 year career in the NHL, losing the starter’s job to back-up journeyman Ty Conklin for much of the year. Marty Turco wasn’t especially sharp for the Dallas Stars either, as they missed the playoffs for the first time since 2001-02. Vesa Toskala was little more than a humanized sieve for the Toronto Maple Leafs, playing with an ailing groin for much of the season.

Chances are if you had more than one of the previous players, you didn’t fare too well in your pools. Which players drove you to the brink of insanity this year? Go ahead and share your frustrations with us.

Filed Under: Fantasy Hockey

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