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Preliminary 2016 Wide Receiver Redraft Ranking Tiers

July 7, 2016 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

A.J. Green

Miss out on the top two RB in your draft? No worries. It might even be better to set your team up with one of these stud WR, including the Cincinnati Bengals A.J. Green.

The last two days we posted preliminary quarterback tiers and running back tiers for the upcoming fantasy football season. Today, the longest list at 70 players, our preliminary wide receiver tiers.

Note the players are only tiered, not ranked within their groups, so focus on the tiers as opposed to where a player is situated relative to other players in their own tier.

Expect detailed projections and rankings, plus some fantasy football player commentary in the coming weeks. Feel free to post your feedback in the comments below, or on Facebook or Twitter.

Tier 1

A.J. Green
Antonio Brown
Julio Jones
Odell Beckham Jr.

Tier 2

Allen Robinson
DeAndre Hopkins
Dez Bryant
Mike Evans
T.Y. Hilton

Tier 3

Alshon Jeffery
Amari Cooper
Brandon Marshall
Demaryius Thomas
Jarvis Landry
Jordy Nelson
Larry Fitzgerald

Tier 4

Brandin Cooks
Doug Baldwin
Eric Decker
Golden Tate
Jeremy Maclin
Julian Edelman
Keenan Allen
Kelvin Benjamin

Tier 5

Allen Hurns
DeSean Jackson
Donte Moncrief
Emmanuel Sanders
John Brown
Jordan Matthews
Markus Wheaton
Randall Cobb
Sammy Watkins
Sterling Shepard ®

Tier 6

DeVante Parker
Kendall Wright
Kevin White
Marvin Jones
Michael Crabtree
Michael Floyd
Stefon Diggs
Steve Smith
Tavon Austin
Ted Ginn
Torrey Smith
Tyler Lockett
Vincent Jackson
Willie Snead

Tier 7

Bruce Ellington
Corey Coleman ®
Jerome Simpson
Kamar Aiken
Kenny Britt
Laquon Treadwell ®
Michael Thomas ®
Mike Wallace
Mohamed Sanu
Pierre Garcon
Robert Woods
Terrance Williams

Tier 8

Brandon LaFell
Danny Amendola
Dorial Green-Beckham
Jamison Crowder
Josh Doctson ®
Nelson Agholor
Rueben Randle
Sammie Coates
Travis Benjamin
Tyler Boyd ®

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Pre-Training Camp Fantasy Football News and Notes

July 21, 2015 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

Here is a recap of key NFL news and notes from the last two weeks potentially impacting the fantasy football value of the players mentioned and their teammates. It’s been pretty quiet on the news front heading into the start of training camps later this week, but a few of these items will factor in to our next projections and rankings update.

Free Agents of Interest

RB Chris Johnson
WR Reggie Wayne
TE Jermaine Gresham

Potential Roster Cuts

RB Ronnie Hillman, Broncos
WR Josh Morgan, Saints
WR Justin Hunter, Titans
TE Andrew Quarless, Packers

Arizona Cardinals

We have Michael Floyd ranked fairly high at wide receiver, wondering if he is a “year too early” candidate from high expectations heading into last season. Now it seems the fantasy community is very bullish about John Brown, who admittedly is receiving positive reports from working out with QB Carson Palmer. This is a situation to monitor closely through training camp.

Atlanta Falcons

WR Leonard Hankerson could assume the third wideout spot ahead of rookie Justin Hardy, who could be eased into action. Hankerson is reunited with Kyle Shanahan from their days together with the Washington Redskins.

Baltimore Ravens

If the Ravens don’t add a veteran receiver, then keep an eye on the progress of rookie Breshad Perriman vs. Marlon Brown to be the starter opposite Steve Smith.

Buffalo Bills

Praise for QB Tyrod Taylor out of Bills camp, and given the questionable competition in front of him, these reports have some merit. What the heck, I just added Taylor in a deep dynasty league, dropping Texans QB prospect Tom Savage.

TE MarQueis Gray is excited about the offense for the tight ends. Who? Exactly, but if what Gray is selling has some substance, then it is a good sign for the fantasy prospects of teammate Charles Clay.

Chicago Bears

The Bears are apparently excited about rookie RB Jeremy Langford due to his speed and all-around ability. Expect a heavy workload for Matt Forte, but it’s always good to know a team’s main RB backup if the starter goes down. Langford could be it for the Bears ahead of Ka’Deem Carey and Jacquizz Rodgers.

Cleveland Browns

Some confirmation Isaiah Crowell is expected to be the starter, but reports are the Browns will ride the “hot hand” and Duke Johnson should be used as the primary third down receiving back.

Per Browns beat writer Nathan Zegura, WR Taylor Gabriel will push to be a starter in this offense, ahead of Brian Hartline, with Andrew Hawkins the third down and slot receiver.

Dallas Cowboys

RB Darren McFadden is expected to open training camp as the backup behind anticipated starter Joseph Randle. It should be a good training camp battle to determine the depth chart come Week 1.

WR Terrance Williams received positive reviews from his position coach, and looks like a good value at his current ADP. Second year player Devin Street is another name to keep in mind amongst Cowboys receivers. He worked with the starters in OTAs in place of an absent Dez Bryant.

Denver Broncos

Report: Cody Latimer is the third wide receiver. Fact: We already knew that.

Detroit Lions

The battle is on for … backup QB! Kellen Moore will challenge Dan Orlovsky for the right to back up starter Matthew Stafford.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Positive reports that RB T.J. Yeldon is picking up the offense quickly. The team appears keen to make him the lead back.

Miami Dolphins

WR DeVante Parker is on track for the active roster Week 1, per a Miami Herald report. He is recovering from foot surgery and appears likely to miss at least some of training camp and the preseason.

Minnesota Vikings

WR Jarius Wright is expected to play the slot in 3-WR sets, further reducing the value of Cordarelle Patterson.

New Orleans Saints

Free agent TE Jermaine Gresham was offered a contract, indicating low confidence in current options Josh Hill or Ben Watson. Gresham is also expected to visit the Arizona Cardinals.

New York Giants

The Giants indicate that training camp will provide clarity sorting out the roles for their backfield trio of Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen and Andre Williams.

Seattle Seahawks

There are positive vibes out of Seattle for rookie WR Tyler Lockett. Given the sketchy depth chart, it would be nice if someone established themselves as a reliable fantasy option at wide receiver on this team.

St. Louis Rams

WR Brian Quick is recovering from a pretty serious shoulder injury. He isn’t a lock to participate at the start of training camp, the ESPN report instead indicating Quick “could” be ready for Week 1.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rookie Kenny Bell is competing with Louis Murphy for the starting slot receiver spot in training camp.

TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins is a name with some building optimism in the fantasy community. Positive reports from OTAs, but there are already a bunch of mouths to feed in this offense.

Tennessee Titans

WR Justin Hunter was arrested July 20 for assault. As a result we’ve added him to the “potential roster cut” list at the top of this post.

Washington Redskins

TE Niles Paul is expected to start if (when?) Jordan Reed struggles with injuries again this year.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Initial 2015 Fantasy Football Projections Commentary, NFC East

June 23, 2015 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

Philadelphia Eagles QB Sam Bradford is set up for the best season of his career. That is, if he can stay healthy, something he had trouble with playing for the St. Louis Rams.

Philadelphia Eagles QB Sam Bradford is set up for the best season of his career. That is, if he can stay healthy, something he had trouble with playing for the St. Louis Rams.

Our initial 2015 fantasy football projections were released June 1. Even better, Draft Buddy is now available!

To accompany the initial projections, as we continue to review, research, analyze the projections, and create cheatsheet rankings, we provide the following commentary by division to give some insight into why we have players projected the way we do at this time.

Dallas Cowboys

  • Despite attempting 100 fewer passes in 2014 compared to 2013, Tony Romo increased his completion percentage by 6%, nearly matched his yardage, tossed three more touchdowns and one less interception. Less is more! Problem is they lost that nearly 450-touch guy, DeMarco something. We’re looking at projections much more in line with 2013.
  • Darren McFadden? Joseph Randle? A player to be named later? Pick your poison, but we do think it is McFadden to the extent he stays healthy. Yep, a pretty big IF there, but a higher profile veteran with the Arkansas connection is likely to be given the primo opportunity. The offensive line will provide a solid level of fantasy success if one does emerge as earning the bulk of the carries, either for the season or for a span of weeks in-season.
  • Romo’s pass attempts are up but numbers are similar for the receivers. In fact, the rush-pass mix is not that different from last season, with more plays overall. Think we need to ratchet down the runners a little, perhaps bump of Terrance Williams. Dez Bryant makes us slightly nervous with the contract talk impasse and talk of a holdout, but for now, have to project him as the stud he is.

New York Giants

  • A lot of talk about Eli Manning being more comfortable in the second year of Ben McAdoo’s offense and how he is going to light it up. I’m buying it. Odell Beckham Jr. from Week 1 and adding Shane Vereen helps quite a bit, too, even with Victor Cruz sidelined.
  • When he played, Rashad Jennings was decent for fantasy last season in his first season with the Giants. A sub-4.0 yards per carry and an injury history doesn’t put fantasy owners at ease he is long for the job though. Good thing he doesn’t have much competition for carries, but the Giants should use Vereen a fair bit, who likely feels he was underused in New England.
  • Beckham a sell high or setting up to be a perennial Top 5 WR? His hamstrings appear they will dictate the best answer. Our initial projections have him 7th at WR, 3-4 spots below his current ADP.
  • More was expected of Rueben Randle to this point of his career, and last year was a prime opportunity for him with Beckham out until Week 5, and Cruz out after Week 6. He disappointed. Continuing good opportunity for him starting this season. I’d draft him as a late pick with upside, but not holding out a ton of hope.

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Who is going to quarterback this crew? Its Sam Bradford until we are certain he can’t. And if Bradford can stay in for 16 games, he’s in line for the best season of his career. Mark Sanchez awaits in the wings.
  • 449 touches for DeMarco Murray last season, excluding the playoffs, he can still get a heavy workload in this offense, but not that crazy. Not with Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles needing to get their touches. But that is okay, as last season was Murray’s first playing 16 games. We have him at 300 carries, 25 receptions, still worthy of a high pick.
  • We have Mathews at half the carries of Murray, and Sproles less than half of that, but Sproles dominates the pass targets. All three get drafted but Mathews and Sproles only become reliable fantasy starters if Murray misses time, or the Eagles have a game where they run roughshod over their opponent.
  • By all accounts Jordan Matthews lived up to his rookie draft hype last year with a solid season, but whether he can improve on those numbers will be challenged by the new rookie addition, Nelson Agholor. While I may pass on drafting Matthews, I have a hard time projecting him behind Agholor until we see what positions Chip Kelly settles on for each come training camp.
  • We have modest improvements for Zach Ertz in this third season. There is still upside available there if he can become a red zone threat.

Washington Redskins

  • In a surprising bit of news, head coach Jay Gruden had numerous good things to say about Robert Griffin III. It is still somewhat baffling how fast RG3 fell from rookie sensation to subpar fantasy asset. Injury and work ethic were the problems. Injury must be over by now. Work ethic? Maybe he’s getting it, keeping a lower profile, and maybe it is time to consider buying low.
  • Alfred Morris keeps on chugging along. A classic underrated RB in fantasy circles because of his lack of catches, so short of a monster 1,600-12 line (which he surpassed in 2012), he won’t earn a 1st round grade, but don’t turn your nose up at 1,100-8 in the thick of the RBBC era. Rookie Matt Jones backs him up, but not expecting Jones to unseat Morris.
  • Griffin has good receivers. Makes you think more about RG3 being a value pick, doesn’t it? I’ve traditionally considered DeSean Jackon an every other year player, but he has now strung together two consecutive good seasons. Pierre Garcon needs more targets, especially with the 11.1 yards per catch he had last season.
  • A better third receiver and/or a healthy Jordan Reed would go a long way to helping this offense. Now I’ve come full circle. RG3 has good starting receivers, but not enough pass catching skill around him to be better than a bye week filler, unless he really ramps up the rushing yards again. Not sure the Redskins will push for that.

Initial 2015 Projections Release and Commentary Series

Projections | AFC East | AFC North | AFC South | AFC West
NFC East | NFC North | NFC South | NFC West

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

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