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Double Dipping Two-Start Pitchers, Week 24

September 13, 2010 By Rick Leave a Comment

Now is the time to prey upon unsuspecting owners if you are in a keeper league. If you are out of it or just want to get a better keeper for the 2011 season, now is your time to find that guy. While most owners are either fighting for their playoff lives or have turned their attention the beginning of the football season, you can find that key player to next year’s squad.

My favorite targets are pitchers experiencing the sophomore slump. I have a theory about young pitchers that come up and do very well in their first year, slump in their second year, then put it all together for strong careers starting in year three. That second year slump is a result of the hitters catching up to the pitcher who they now have game film on and have a better grasp on their stuff.

Rick Porcello is the perfect example of a very young player with a ton of talent who is on the wrong side of a learning curve right now that he will almost assuredly fix next season. His teammate Max Scherzer seemed to come out of his slump in the middle of the season, but his Major League timeline actually correlates to that being the beginning of the his third MLB year. Tommy Hanson is another young pitcher that will likely take that next step forward after a difficult sophomore season.

This week, Detroit and Texas will only play five games while Arizona, Cincinnati, New York (NL), Pittsburgh, San Diego, and San Francisco are all on the docket for seven. All others are scheduled for six games this week.

Now, the projected 2-start pitchers for this week. For those of you in leagues who require you to set your lineup at the beginning of the week, these are guys you should strongly consider:

American League
BAL Brian Matusz
BOS Jon Lester
CWS John Danks
CLE Josh Tomlin
DET none
KC Luke Hochevar
LAA Trevor Bell
MIN Francisco Liriano
NYY C.C. Sabathia
OAK Bob Cramer
SEA Doug Fister
TB David Price
TEX none
TOR Marc Rzepczynski
  
National League
ARI Barry Enright, Daniel Hudson
ATL Derek Lowe
CHC Carlos Silva
CIN Bronson Arroyo, Travis Wood
COL Jeff Francis
FLA Andrew Miller
HOU Brett Myers
LAD Clayton Kershaw
MIL Chris Narveson
NYM Dillon Gee, R.A. Dickey
PHI Joe Blanton
PIT James McDonald, Zach Duke
SD Cory Luebke, Jon Garland
SF Jaime Garcia, Barry Zito
STL Adam Wainwright
WAS Yunesky Maya


Rick’s Picks

Five best bets for double-start pitchers this week

1. Adam Wainwright. No explanation necessary at this point.

2. Derek Lowe is an innings eater who gives you a bunch of wins with a mediocre ERA and WHIP. He’s not an ace on his real team or your fantasy team, but he’s a great pick this week at home against Washington and at New York against the Mets.

3. Bronson Arroyo is in the Derek Lowe mold and gets the Diamondbacks at home and the Astros on the road. With his team trying to lock down a division title, they should be ready to beat up on a few teams just playing out the season.

4. C.C. Sabathia starts the week off against new arch-rival Tampa Bay. Because he finishes against Baltimore, he makes the list. If you can spot start your pitchers, it might be wise to sit him at the Rays.

5. Joe Blanton isn’t a guy I’d normally recommend as a Double Dipper, but when you are in the heat of the pennant race and get the Marlins and Nationals as opponents, you have to go with it.

Stay away from the Padres this week. They have been combustible in the last few weeks and are playing on the road against the Rockies (winners of 10 in a row) and the Cardinals. Their pitchers are likely to give up a lot of runs and their offense might struggle against two contending teams.

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

Double Dipping Two-Start Pitchers, Week 1

April 4, 2010 By Rick 1 Comment

As the season begins, don’t be caught jumping on the Tuffy Rhodes bandwagon. In 1994, Rhodes hit three homers on Opening Day and fantasy owners were running to the waiver wire to claim the next great power hitter. Rhodes hit only 10 more in his Major League career and never panned out to be mentioned in the same sentence as Babe Ruth.

Like Rhodes, other players will have a hot Week 1 and their statistics will seem overblown. After the first five games of 2009, Emilio Bonifacio was 14 for 24 with five RBI, nine runs, and four stolen bases. If you extrapolate that over a 162 game season, that’s a .583 average with 162 RBI, 292 R, and 130 SB.

You can’t expect anyone to continue that kind of production, but especially a guy who never hit that well in the minors. These guys make great early pickups to ride for a few games of production, but be ready to sell quickly if you want any return on your investment because, like a bottle rocket, they usually fizzle out just as quickly as they lit up the night sky.

Now, here are the projected two-start pitchers for this week. For those of you in leagues who require you to set your lineup at the beginning of the week, these are guys you should strongly consider. With the start of the season on Sunday night, this week’s double dippers cover Sunday through Sunday.

American League
BAL Kevin Millwood
BOS Josh Beckett
CWS Mark Buehrle
CLE Jake Westbrook
DET Justin Verlander
KC Zack Greinke
LAA Jered Weaver, Joe Saunders
MIN Scott Baker, Nick Blackburn
NYY C.C. Sabathia, A.J. Burnett
OAK Ben Sheets, Dallas Braden
SEA Felix Hernandez, Ian Snell
TB James Shields
TEX Rich Harden
TOR Shaun Marcum
  
National League
ARI Dan Haren, Edwin Jackson
ATL Derek Lowe
CHC Carlos Zambrano
CIN Aaron Harang
COL Ubaldo Jimenez
FLA Josh Johnson
HOU Roy Oswalt
LAD Vicente Padilla
MIL Yovani Gallardo, Randy Wolf
NYM Johan Santana
PHI Roy Halladay
PIT Zach Duke
SD Jon Garland
SF Tim Lincecum
STL Chris Carpenter
WAS John Lannan


Rick’s Picks

Five best bets for double-start pitchers this week

1. Roy Halladay, PHI—What better way can he start his journey through the National League than with games against the Nationals and Astros?

2. Dan Haren, ARI—Two home starts against the Padres and Pirates look like two easy wins.

3. Justin Verlander, DET—At KC and home vs. CLE look like a bunch of K’s and a couple of W’s.

4. Johan Santana, NYM—To start his rebound season, he gets the Marlins and Nats at home. The Ks won’t be as numerous as in the past, but the Ws will be.

5. Derek Lowe, ATL—Another bounce-back guy will get two mediocre opponents in the Cubs and Giants.

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

Double Dipping – Week 16

July 20, 2009 By Rick Leave a Comment

These pitchers should get two starts this week. For those of you in leagues who require you to set your lineup at the beginning of the week, these are guys you should strongly consider:

American League

BAL David Hernandez
BOS John Smoltz
CWS Gavin Floyd, Clayton Richard
CLE Cliff Lee
DET Armando Galarraga
KC Sidney Ponson
LAA Sean O’Sullivan, Ervin Santana
MIN Nick Blackburn, Anthony Swarzak
NYY Andy Pettitte, Sergio Mitre
OAK Gio Gonzalez, Dallas Braden
SEA Garrett Olson
TB David Price, Jeff Niemann
TEX Kevin Millwood
TOR Brett Cecil

National League

ARI Doug Davis, Max Scherzer
ATL Tommy Hanson, Derek Lowe
CHC Ted Lilly
CIN Micah Owings
COL Jorge de la Rosa
FLA Rick Vandenhurk
HOU Brian Moehler
LAD Jason Schmidt
MIL Mike Burns
NYM Livan Hernandez
PHI Rodrigo Lopez, Joe Blanton
PIT Ross Ohlendorf, Virgil Vasquez
SD Tim Stauffer, Chad Gaudin
SF Jonathan Sanchez, Ryan Sadowski
STL Kyle Lohse, Todd Wellemeyer
WAS Scott Olsen, John Lannan

Rick’s Picks (5 best bets for double-start pitchers this week):
1. Cliff Lee
2. Armando Galarraga
3. Derek Lowe
4. Jeff Niemann
5. Sergio Mitre

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

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