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Straight Cheese Week 21 Streaming Starting Pitchers – Sanchez, Suarez, Holland

August 23, 2018 By kopasetic Leave a Comment

Andrew Suarez, San Francisco Giants

Week 21 of fantasy baseball season! Keep plugging away! Chris has three pitchers for us to stream this weekend, including San Francisco Giants Andrew Suarez scheduled Saturday against the Texas Rangers.

Fantasy baseball owners, this is the place where you come to get the Straight Cheese on less than desirable, questionably talented, less than 50% owned starting pitchers you can use for a spot start. Streaming pitchers is necessary to get those all-important counting stats for your roto league without drop-kicking your ratio stats into submission.

Before we dive into the dumpster looking for week 21 streaming starting pitchers, let’s take a look back at my picks from last week.

Week 20 Review

Name Date GS IP ER H BB K Dec ERA WHIP
Kyle Gibson MIN 8/17 vs DET 1 7.00 3 8 3 5 W 3.86 1.57
Anthony DeSclafini CIN 8/17 vs SFG 1 7.67 1 6 1 5 – 1.17 0.91
Jake Odorizzi MIN 8/19 vs DET 1 5.00 4 4 2 7 – 7.20 1.20
Luis Castillo CIN 8/19 vs SFG 1 6.67 1 3 0 9 W 1.35 0.45
Total for Week   4 26.33 9 21 6 26 2-0 3.08 1.03
Running Total   58 339.00 124 283 108 339 26-12 3.29 1.15

Well, we stumbled a bit this week thanks to Odorizzi’s rough outing. But for the week overall, the numbers were effective.

Week 21 Streaming Starting Pitchers

The pitchers are listed in order of appearance as of Wednesday morning. Ownership info from Yahoo! (Y) and ESPN (E) and all 2018 stats are through Tuesday, August 21st.

RHP Anibal Sanchez, ATL
Owned Y55%/E46% – @ Miami Marlins – Saturday, August 25th

Its been a while since I’ve picked on the Miami Marlins but here we are. The fish are currently struggling against RHP at home to the tune of a 0.289 wOBA (29th) and 0.104 iso (last in mlb). They are only striking out 20.6% of the time (11th) but Sanchez is someone that should take advantage of this matchup.

Anibal Sanchez currently has a 3.13 era, 1.09 whip and 98 strikeouts in 97 2/3 innings. That’s a 9.03 k/9 and 24.7 k%. Away from SunTrust Park he has a 3.00 era, 1.08 whip and 54 strikeouts in 48 innings. That works out to a 10.13 k/9 and 27.8 k%.

LHP Andrew Suarez, SF
Owned Y7%/E6% – vs Texas Rangers – Saturday, August 25th

LHP Derek Holland, SF
Owned Y20%/E20% – vs Texas Rangers – Sunday, August 26th

On the road versus southpaws, Texas Rangers are posting a 0.275 wOBA (29th), 0.115 iso (26th) and are striking out 26.7% of the time (worst in mlb). They are the reason I write this weekly article. In fact, I’ve picked on the Rangers the most so far this season. In those 7 games my line comes out to 2.39 era, 1.33 whip, 4 wins and 37 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings. Most of the damage was done in the first two games. If you only look at the 5 games since Memorial Day you’ll see this: 0.63 era, 1.15 whip, 4 wins and 29 strikeouts in 28 2/3 innings.

The 25 year-old Andrew Suarez comes into the weekend series with a 4.68 era, 1.36 whip and 103 strikeouts in 119 1/3 innings (7.77 k/9 and 20.6 k%). At home he’s pitching better (3.79 era, 1.10 whip and 51 strikeouts in 59 1/3 innings). That’s a 7.74 k/9 and 22.0 k%.

The 31 year-old Derrick Holland’s overall numbers are better with a 3.75 era, 1.30 whip and 137 strikeouts in 134 1/3 innings for a 9.18 k/9 and 24.0 k%. His home numbers are slightly worse with a 4.18 era and 1.20 whip but he’s striking out batters at a 10.13 k/9 and 27.3 k% clip. For what it is worth his home xFIP sits at 3.13 so you could say that he’s been somewhat unlucky at home so far in 2018. I have a feeling that his luck will turn around this weekend against he Rangers.

Remember, these suggestions aren’t ludicrous. They’re @Roto_Chris.

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

MLB Daily Fantasy Lineups to Stack / Avoid Sunday July 1

July 1, 2018 By kopasetic Leave a Comment

Stack #1
Mets
·
Stack #2
Diamondbacks
·
Stack #3
Blue Jays

Stacking is a well-known DFS strategy. In an effort to identify stack worthy lineups I’ve been tinkering with the idea of looking at the opposing pitcher’s DFS points allowed. Similar to in fantasy football looking at the opposing defense’s fantasy points allowed to running backs to determine which one to start.

My approach is to look at a team’s DFS points per plate appearance and compare to the opposing pitcher’s DFS points per plate appearance. A “bad” pitcher could lead to an increase in production from the hitters and conversely, a “good” pitcher could lead to a decrease in production. It is important to note that due to the volatility of stolen bases, I do not include them when calculating ppa.

How to Read the Charts
The New York Mets are facing a RHP on road and in that situation they are currently putting up 2.27 FanDuel and 1.72 DraftKings points per plate appearance or ppa. The opposing pitcher is RHP Dan Straily MIA and he is currently allowing 115% more ppa in FanDuel and 113% more ppa in DraftKings than the current MLB average (2.094 on FanDuel and 1.598 on DraftKings). The modified ppa is simply 2.27 x 115% in FanDuel and 1.72 x 113% in DraftKings.

FANDUEL
MLB FanDuel average is 2.094 through yesterday

Advice Lineup Situation Situational ppa Pitcher Pitcher’s Effect Modified ppa
Stack NYM RHP on road 2.27 Dan Straily MIA 115% 2.61
Stack ARI LHP at home 2.37 Derek Holland SFG 109% 2.58
Stack TOR RHP at home 2.37 Jordan Zimmermann DET 107% 2.54
Stack MIL LHP on road 2.16 Matt Harvey CIN 114% 2.47
Stack LAA RHP on road 2.28 Kevin Gausman BAL 107% 2.45
— — — — — — —
Avoid BOS RHP on road 2.25 Luis Severino NYY 67% 1.51
Avoid COL RHP on road 2.02 Ross Stripling LAD 75% 1.51
Avoid SEA RHP at home 2.06 Brad Keller KCR 70% 1.43

DRAFTKINGS
MLB DraftKings average is 1.598 through yesterday

Advice Lineup Situation Situational ppa Pitcher Pitcher’s Effect Modified ppa
Stack NYM RHP on road 1.72 Dan Straily MIA 113% 1.94
Stack ARI LHP at home 1.81 Derek Holland SFG 107% 1.94
Stack TOR RHP at home 1.78 Jordan Zimmermann DET 106% 1.90
Stack LAA RHP on road 1.74 Kevin Gausman BAL 109% 1.90
Stack MIL LHP on road 1.63 Matt Harvey CIN 114% 1.85
— — — — — — —
Avoid COL RHP on road 1.53 Ross Stripling LAD 80% 1.22
Avoid BOS RHP on road 1.71 Luis Severino NYY 70% 1.20
Avoid SEA RHP at home 1.59 Brad Keller KCR 73% 1.16

Filed Under: Daily Fantasy Baseball

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