
Here is DeMarco Murray running through a huge hole against his current team, the Tennessee Titans, two seasons ago. Can he regain that 2014 form? We have him ranked much higher than his ADP.
We posted our initial fantasy football player rankings last week and one of the first things I wanted to do after the dust settled is compare them to average draft position data. This way I can see which players stick out as being ranked higher or lower than the consensus fantasy football community. These players likely require a little more analysis to determine if I can justify the difference.
After fussing with some database queries to convert ADP pick data to a position ranking, here are the results. Note the rankings are before the latest news on Le’Veon Bell that he could face a 4-game suspension for missing a mandatory drug test (which is equivalent to a failed test). Oh Le’Veon, you darn fool.
We will start with the tables, identify the players with the biggest discrepancies, and then come back later to add some commentary on those players as to why they are ranked where they are.
QB
+-------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Player | Tier | myRank | adpRank | Dif | +-------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Andrew Luck, IND | 1 | 1 | QB3 | +2 | | Drew Brees, NO | 1 | 2 | QB6 | +4 | | Aaron Rodgers, GB | 1 | 3 | QB2 | -1 | | Russell Wilson, SEA | 1 | 4 | QB4 | 0 | | Cam Newton, CAR | 1 | 5 | QB1 | -4 | | Ben Roethlisberger, PIT | 2 | 6 | QB5 | -1 | | Blake Bortles, JAC | 2 | 7 | QB9 | +2 | | Philip Rivers, SD | 2 | 8 | QB11 | +3 | | Tom Brady, NE | 2 | 9 | QB7 | -2 | | Eli Manning, NYG | 3 | 10 | QB10 | 0 | | Kirk Cousins, WAS | 3 | 11 | QB14 | +3 | | Carson Palmer, ARI | 3 | 12 | QB8 | -4 | | Ryan Tannehill, MIA | 3 | 13 | QB21 | +8 | | Matthew Stafford, DET | 3 | 14 | QB18 | +4 | | Jameis Winston, TB | 4 | 15 | QB17 | +2 | | Derek Carr, OAK | 4 | 16 | QB12 | -4 | | Andy Dalton, CIN | 4 | 17 | QB15 | -2 | | Matt Ryan, ATL | 4 | 18 | QB16 | -2 | | Jay Cutler, CHI | 4 | 19 | QB23 | +4 | | Tony Romo, DAL | 4 | 20 | QB13 | -7 | | Marcus Mariota, TEN | 4 | 21 | QB20 | -1 | | Tyrod Taylor, BUF | 4 | 22 | QB19 | -3 | | Brock Osweiler, HOU | 5 | 24 | QB22 | -2 | | Joe Flacco, BAL | 5 | 26 | QB24 | -2 | +-------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+
Ranked Higher
Ryan Tannehill
Ranked Lower
Tony Romo
RB
+-----------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Player | Tier | myRank | adpRank | Dif | +-----------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Le'Veon Bell, PIT | 1 | 1 | RB1 | 0 | | Todd Gurley, LA | 1 | 2 | RB2 | 0 | | Adrian Peterson, MIN | 2 | 3 | RB4 | +1 | | Jamaal Charles, KC | 2 | 4 | RB7 | +3 | | David Johnson, ARI | 2 | 5 | RB3 | -2 | | Matt Forte, NYJ | 2 | 6 | RB13 | +7 | | DeMarco Murray, TEN | 3 | 7 | RB20 | +13 | | C.J. Anderson, DEN | 3 | 8 | RB16 | +8 | | Lamar Miller, HOU | 3 | 9 | RB6 | -3 | | Devonta Freeman, ATL | 3 | 10 | RB8 | -2 | | Danny Woodhead, SD | 3 | 11 | RB21 | +10 | | Eddie Lacy, GB | 4 | 12 | RB9 | -3 | | Ezekiel Elliott, DAL | 4 | 13 | RB5 | -8 | | Doug Martin, TB | 4 | 14 | RB11 | -3 | | LeSean McCoy, BUF | 4 | 15 | RB12 | -3 | | Jay Ajayi, MIA | 4 | 16 | RB24 | +8 | | Jonathan Stewart, CAR | 4 | 17 | RB27 | +10 | | Mark Ingram, NO | 5 | 18 | RB10 | -8 | | Carlos Hyde, SF | 5 | 19 | RB17 | -2 | | Thomas Rawls, SEA | 5 | 20 | RB14 | -6 | | Melvin Gordon, SD | 5 | 21 | RB32 | +11 | | Ameer Abdullah, DET | 5 | 22 | RB29 | +7 | | Dion Lewis, NE | 5 | 23 | RB15 | -8 | | Frank Gore, IND | 5 | 24 | RB30 | +6 | | T.J. Yeldon, JAC | 5 | 25 | RB37 | +12 | | Jeremy Hill, CIN | 6 | 26 | RB28 | +2 | | Ryan Mathews, PHI | 6 | 27 | RB23 | -4 | | Rashad Jennings, NYG | 6 | 28 | RB36 | +8 | | Matt Jones, WAS | 6 | 29 | RB22 | -7 | | Justin Forsett, BAL | 6 | 30 | RB31 | +1 | | Latavius Murray, OAK | 6 | 31 | RB18 | -13 | | Giovani Bernard, CIN | 6 | 32 | RB26 | -6 | +-----------------------+------+--------+---------+------+
Ranked Higher
DeMarco Murray
T.J. Yeldon
Melvin Gordon
Danny Woodhead
Jonathan Stewart
Ranked Lower
Latavius Murray
Ezekiel Elliott
WR
+------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Player | Tier | myRank | adpRank | Dif | +------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Antonio Brown, PIT | 1 | 1 | WR1 | 0 | | Julio Jones, ATL | 1 | 2 | WR2 | 0 | | Odell Beckham Jr., NYG | 1 | 3 | WR3 | 0 | | A.J. Green, CIN | 1 | 4 | WR5 | +1 | | DeAndre Hopkins, HOU | 2 | 5 | WR4 | -1 | | Allen Robinson, JAC | 2 | 6 | WR8 | +2 | | Dez Bryant, DAL | 2 | 7 | WR6 | -1 | | Mike Evans, TB | 2 | 8 | WR11 | +3 | | T.Y. Hilton, IND | 2 | 9 | WR17 | +8 | | Amari Cooper, OAK | 3 | 10 | WR12 | +2 | | Jordy Nelson, GB | 3 | 11 | WR7 | -4 | | Brandon Marshall, NYJ | 3 | 12 | WR13 | +1 | | Demaryius Thomas, DEN | 3 | 13 | WR16 | +3 | | Larry Fitzgerald, ARI | 3 | 14 | WR28 | +14 | | Alshon Jeffery, CHI | 3 | 15 | WR10 | -5 | | Jarvis Landry, MIA | 3 | 16 | WR15 | -1 | | Brandin Cooks, NO | 4 | 17 | WR14 | -3 | | Keenan Allen, SD | 4 | 18 | WR9 | -9 | | Golden Tate, DET | 4 | 19 | WR22 | +3 | | Jeremy Maclin, KC | 4 | 20 | WR23 | +3 | | Doug Baldwin, SEA | 4 | 21 | WR24 | +3 | | Kelvin Benjamin, CAR | 4 | 22 | WR20 | -2 | | Julian Edelman, NE | 4 | 23 | WR18 | -5 | | Eric Decker, NYJ | 4 | 24 | WR31 | +7 | | Randall Cobb, GB | 5 | 25 | WR19 | -6 | | Allen Hurns, JAC | 5 | 26 | WR26 | 0 | | DeSean Jackson, WAS | 5 | 27 | WR37 | +10 | | Sammy Watkins, BUF | 5 | 28 | WR21 | -7 | | Markus Wheaton, PIT | 5 | 29 | WR40 | +11 | | Jordan Matthews, PHI | 5 | 30 | WR27 | -3 | | Donte Moncrief, IND | 5 | 31 | WR29 | -2 | | John Brown, ARI | 5 | 32 | WR33 | +1 | +------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+
Ranked Higher
Larry Fitzgerald
Markus Wheaton
DeSean Jackson
T.Y. Hilton
Ranked Lower
Keenan Allen
Sammy Watkins
TE
+-----------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Player | Tier | myRank | adpRank | Dif | +-----------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+ | Rob Gronkowski, NE | 1 | 1 | TE1 | 0 | | Greg Olsen, CAR | 2 | 2 | TE3 | +1 | | Travis Kelce, KC | 2 | 3 | TE6 | +3 | | Coby Fleener, NO | 2 | 4 | TE7 | +3 | | Jordan Reed, WAS | 2 | 5 | TE2 | -3 | | Delanie Walker, TEN | 3 | 6 | TE4 | -2 | | Julius Thomas, JAC | 3 | 7 | TE9 | +2 | | Tyler Eifert, CIN | 3 | 8 | TE5 | -3 | | Zach Ertz, PHI | 3 | 9 | TE12 | +3 | | Gary Barnidge, CLE | 3 | 10 | TE8 | -2 | | Jimmy Graham, SEA | 3 | 11 | TE11 | 0 | | Dwayne Allen, IND | 4 | 12 | TE15 | +3 | | Eric Ebron, DET | 4 | 13 | TE18 | +5 | | Antonio Gates, SD | 4 | 15 | TE14 | -1 | | Martellus Bennett, NE | 4 | 16 | TE13 | -3 | | Ladarius Green, PIT | 4 | 17 | TE10 | -7 | | Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TB | 4 | 18 | TE19 | +1 | | Jason Witten, DAL | 4 | 19 | TE20 | +1 | | Jordan Cameron, MIA | 4 | 20 | TE17 | -3 | | Zach Miller, CHI | 5 | 24 | TE16 | -8 | +-----------------------------+------+--------+---------+------+
Ranked Higher
Eric Ebron
Ranked Lower
Zach Miller
Ladarius Green