DraftBuddy.com

Fantasy Baseball and Fantasy Football Draft Tools

  • Member Login
  • Register

     

  • Fantasy Football
  • Fantasy Baseball
  • Draft Buddy
  • Rankings
  • News
  • Stats
  • Draft Buddy
  • Rankings
  • News
  • Stats

Post-NFL Preseason Week 1 Projections and Rankings Update, Team Notes

August 11, 2014 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

Cleveland Browns QB Brian Hoyer and Johnny Manziel; Photos: Icon Sportswire

Rankings and projections updated, including a note on the Cleveland quarterback competition between Brian Hoyer (left) and this other guy (right). Photo: Icon Sportswire

NFL.com, NFL Network and everything officially associated with the shield can’t mention Johnny Manziel‘s name enough right now. I hate when they do that, when they pick a player and focus 200% attention on said hyped up player of the moment, virtually ignoring the rest of what is going on.

Week 1 of preseason games are in the books, and our fantasy football rankings and projections are due for an update. We’ll mention the Cleveland Browns starting QB competition, plus everything else that impacts our forecasts to get your ready for your upcoming fantasy drafts.

If you are looking for a custom cheatsheet and draft tracking tool, look no further than the tool that gave this website its name, Draft Buddy. For current Draft Buddy users, I will update a copy of Projection Pal with our projections to import into Buddy.

Atlanta Falcons

  • Rookie RB Devonta Freeman is getting plenty of reps with the first-team while Steven Jackson sits with a hamstring injury. If Freeman is a quick study on his pass protection, he’ll contribute even with a healthy SJax to try to keep the veteran healthy for the season.

Baltimore Ravens

  • Early reports indicate RB Bernard Pierce is doing well in Gary Kubiak’s zone blocking running scheme. Could he unseat Ray Rice if he performs well in a two-game audition while Rice is out with suspension? I’m going to leave that question hanging for now as food for thought.

Buffalo Bills

  • RB Bryce Brown received rave reviews from the head coach after a nice preseason game performance. He was just picked in an ongoing draft of mine in the 13th round, which seemed early since regardless of the reviews, Brown continues to be third in the pecking order behind C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson. I drafted Spiller so I took notice. Then I realized I inadvertently already took two handcuffs of the guy who drafted Brown, so maybe the pick was intentionally early.
  • Is it WR Robert Woods or Mike Williams to play second fiddle to Sammy Watkins? Well, we thought it was Woods in a landslide back in June but now it appears a lot closer contest. Woods moves down our rankings and my suggestion is leave both for someone else to draft.

Carolina Panthers

  • QB Cam Newton missed the Panthers preseason opener to prevent risking damage to his surgically repaired ankle. His ankle injury doesn’t seem to be factoring into his current ADP. We obviously have Newton ranked considerably lower than that as a clear avoid pick in fantasy drafts.
  • RB Jonathan Stewart is missing preseason and doesn’t appear close to returning to game action. It seems no matter where we rank this guy it is too high. Now he’s in our “not ranked – on the radar” section. Just, avoid.

Chicago Bears

  • TE Martellus Bennett is away from the team currently after being indefinitely suspended and fined by the Bears. He body slammed rookie CB Kyle Fuller. Anger issues Martellus? I’m not dismissing the seriousness of the crime, but the length of suspension is catching my attention. It happened August 4th. Today is the 10th. Small red flag here. The only reason Bennett is (was) inside our Top 12 TE is because of the lack of receiving options on the Bears (especially with third WR Marquess Wilson out for a while), but he sure doesn’t excite me adding him to my fantasy team. Moving him down.

Cleveland Browns

  • I said at the top I would mention the QB battle between Brian Hoyer and that other guy. Truth be told, there isn’t much to tell that changes anything. Both performed decently in the preseason opener with no clear winner or loser. Hoyer is still the favorite to start the season on our board, but as I mentioned on ESPN 1450 in State College, PA radio last week (plug, plug), if and when Manziel starts, his value shoots up inside – perhaps well inside – the Top 20 at QB based on his ability to accumulate fantasy points with his legs. It would be a rollercoaster ride each week, but he could be worth a speculative add now as a third QB, even if just for his trade value in-season.

Dallas Cowboys

  • I mentioned Cole Beasley as a late round flier option in our last update. Dave tells me the Cowboys are committed to giving Gavin Escobar more time in 11 formations which will limit playing time for Beasley.

Denver Broncos

  • RB Montee Ball had his appendectomy surgery and no one seems too concerned he is going to miss starting Week 1 of the season. It isn’t the worst thing in the world for a running back to miss preseason games. We didn’t change his projections or ranking when this news first broke.
  • RB C.J. Anderson suffered a concussion in the Broncos preseason opener, helping Ronnie Hillman secure his grip as the primary backup. Hillman’s biggest problem is securing his grip on the football, and we’ll need to see more game action to believe he can do it.

Green Bay Packers

  • Packers running backs coach Sam Gash compared Eddie Lacy to Jamal Lewis and Curtis Martin, two former fantasy stud backs that Gash blocked for in his career. Lacy doesn’t have Gash blocking for him, but the more I read about Lacy and consider his situation and performance as a rookie, the closer I have him to Tier 1 than Tier 2 at RB. In fact, I’m making that change. I would take Lacy 5th overall in non-PPR and PPR leagues.
  • Rookie WR Jared Abbrederis tore his ACL and is out for the season. While he was down the depth chart, it is worth noting that fellow rookie Davante Adams has less competition for the fourth WR spot, from which one injury above him can pave the way to fantasy relevance on this team. See: Boykin, Jarrett (2013).

Houston Texans

  • Case Keenum has a small edge over Tom Savage for the backup QB job. Uh… this was a small news item prior to their preseason opener in which they lost 32-0 to the Arizona Cardinals. We don’t want to read too much into preseason, and neither Arian Foster or Andre Johnson played, but all three quarterbacks looked bad. I’m downgrading Foster and AJ in the rankings. They are already dinged and the early signs for this offense are not good.

Indianapolis Colts

  • This is more a from the gut prediction than anything, but I feel like a healthy Hakeem Nicks becomes the Colts top receiver. He’s a value buy where he’s going in drafts, while T.Y. Hilton is a sell at his current price, IMHO.

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • RB Toby Gerhart is missing preseason action with a hip injury. While, “it isn’t the worst thing in the world for a running back to miss preseason games”, it isn’t ideal for a player on a new team in his first starting gig. Regardless, anyone working off of our rankings before this news isn’t drafting Gerhart anyway.
  • WR Marqise Lee received some harsh criticism from head coach Gus Bradley following their preseason opener. Serious red flag or light a fire under the kid? I think more the latter, or it wouldn’t be done is such a public manner.

Kansas City Chiefs

  • It was a coming out party for Travis Kelce in the Chiefs first preseason game. Talent wasn’t in question, but whether he can he stay healthy, is. Right now he is, so I moved him into the TE rankings as an upside backup selection.

Miami Dolphins

  • RB Knowshon Moreno is still out recovering from knee surgery. To be honest, we probably have him a little too low in the rankings now, but it would be nice to see him back in action before giving the green light to draft this guy.

New England Patriots

  • It is a new week, and a new Patriots receiver is getting some positive press. This time it is free agent acquisition Brandon LaFell. LaFell is a big target for Tom Brady, he’s got that going for him. I’ll move him into our On the Radar section, but it would need to be a 32-team league before I envision drafting LaFell until such time we see and hear more good news out of Pats camp.

New Orleans Saints

  • Rookie WR Brandin Cooks is looking good per early reports. If he falls to reasonable levels, he is worth the risk-reward, even in re-draft leagues. He is going pretty high right now on average, but that ADP is sure to vary quite a bit from league to league. If the decision comes down to Cooks vs. a sure but average starter in a blah passing offense, then put some trust in Saints head coach Sean Payton.
  • At the point where Cooks is getting drafted, you want to put more emphasis on upside picks at the position. To that end, I shuffled a bunch of picks in Tier 8, moving some young upside choices ahead of guys who made the most of their situation last year – Jarrett Boykin, Marvin Jones, Riley Cooper – who I feel will have a tough time repeating their production this year.

New York Jets

  • RB Chris Johnson looked sluggish in the Jets first preseason game. Surprised? Don’t be. If you are looking for a RB who runs with conviction then you’re looking at the wrong guy. No one is expecting upside for a Top 10 finish at this point. He’s ranked where he’s ranked based on projected volume of carries. I’ve seen him drafted fairly high but I moved him to the bottom of Tier 4. By the way, he was the only healthy back on the Jets the other night. Chris Ivory left with a rib injury. Bilal Powell was already out with a pulled hamstring.

Oakland Raiders

  • Trusted fantasy football adviser, Dave Stringer, has told me for a little while we should swap Darren McFadden and Maurice Jones-Drew in the rankings. I’ve resisted so far, but MJD started the first preseason game and if both start the season healthy, MJD is more likely to stay that way and earn consistent carries. I guess I’m still enamored with McFadden’s speed and big play ability, but I made the switch.
  • TE David Ausberry requires knee surgery. We had him the projected starter, but not ranked, just on the radar. Looks like we’ll flip-flop that back to Mychal Rivera, and Nick Kasa is another name floating around.

Philadelphia Eagles

  • WR Riley Cooper missed the Eagles preseason opener with a foot injury but is expected back soon. We already have Cooper ranked low relative to his ADP. Good offense and opportunity but marginal talent.

San Diego Chargers

  • Although he has the talent, and he’s in a contract year, Ryan Mathews worries me given his injury history even though he stayed healthy last season. The Chargers ratcheted up his carries late last season with good success, but should know that can’t be the norm for him. I adjusted his projections down slightly (no rankings change), and moved Danny Woodhead up.
  • UDFA RB Branden Oliver looked impressive in the Chargers preseason opener. Who? Sorry, patting myself on the back a bit as I drafted Oliver as a college player in one league last season which earned a big round of “Who?”‘s at the time. Nothing to see here yet except in deep, deep dynasty leagues.

San Francisco 49ers

  • The way San Francisco is losing running backs, and with him entering his third year as a starter, I have a little more confidence in Colin Kaepernick and moved him up the rankings.
  • Michael Crabtree is missing time with a hamstring injury. Something to note when obnoxious fellow owner yells that across the room after you draft Crabtree. Tell him to shut his pie hole, the injury doesn’t appear serious.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Draft Buddy

Oakland Raiders Fantasy Football Player Projections, Rankings and Commentary

July 31, 2014 By Dave Leave a Comment

Oakland Raiders wide receiver Rod Streater (80) breaks away and scores a touchdown during the third quarter performance during the game between the New York Jets and the Oakland Raiders played at Met Life Stadium in East Rutherford,NJ. The New York Jets defeated the Oakland Raiders 37-27. December 8, 2013; Photographer: Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire

There isn’t much to get excited about on the Oakland Raiders for fantasy football players. We do like Rod Streater as a late round wide receiver with upside after two better than expected seasons. Photo: Icon Sportswire

Player Tier · Rank Passing Rushing Receiving FPts
QB M. Schaub
6 · 26th
330-560-3,650 19 TD 14 INT
48-245 1 TD
–
289.0
QB D. Carr
NR – – –
0.0
RB D. McFadden
5 · 29th –
145-625 5 TD
32-250 1 TD
123.5
RB M. Jones-Drew
6 · 35th –
125-525 4 TD
38-275 1 TD
110.0
RB L. Murray
NR – – –
0.0
RB M. Reece
NR –
45-200 1 TD
20-150 1 TD
47.0
WR J. Jones
8 · 52nd – –
55-750 4 TD
99.0
WR R. Streater
9 · 53rd – –
55-625 3 TD
80.5
WR A. Holmes
NR – –
45-600 2 TD
72.0
WR D. Moore
NR – –
30-400 2 TD
52.0
TE D. Ausberry
NR – –
45-450 4 TD
69.0

Data as of July 25 | Current Cheatsheets | Current Projections

NR = Not ranked

QB Matt Schaub

In 2013, Schaub turned into, well, a turnover machine, eventually earning himself a spot on the bench for doing so. But he wasn’t just any turnover machine, he was the pick six turnover champion tossing one in four consecutive games. Ouch. Traded to the Raiders in the offseason, Schaub will no longer be throwing to future Hall of Famer Andre Johnson. Instead, he inherits a group of Raiders wide receivers with very similar skill sets outside of the maddeningly inconsistent Denarius Moore. Not to mention the Raiders group of tight ends rates amongst the league’s worst. If this doesn’t sound like a recipe for a bounce back season, then you’re reading the tea leaves correctly.

RB Maurice Jones-Drew

Jones-Drew hit the wall hard last year in Jacksonville, totaling just 834 rushing yards and 314 receiving yards while averaging a paltry 3.4 yards per carry, easily a career worst. He looked like a shell of his former shelf, lacking agility and speed and more resembling Cedric Benson in his days as a Chicago Bear than the player who emerged as a fantasy favorite from his rookie season in 2006 until 2011. Banking on him in 2014 is pinning your hopes on a player who suffered through an injury plagued season in 2012 and followed it up spending the year convincing fans that he was nearly completely washed up. While the Jaguars offensive line was a mess last season, it’s not like the Raiders line this season is expected to be a whole lot better. Playing in a committee with Darren McFadden, MJD’s upside is likely 1,000 total yards and six or seven touchdowns and it just seems like there are better options out there with more upside.

RB Darren McFadden

Quick: How old is Run-DMC? 27 by opening day. Quick: After six seasons in the league, how many 1,000 yard seasons does he have? If you said one, bingo. The former 1st round pick has now missed 19 games over the past three seasons and finished last year with just 487 total yards and five touchdowns in ten games as he lost playing time to career backup Rashad Jennings. In 2014, McFadden figures to split time with Maurice Jones-Drew, another player clearly in decline. While McFadden’s talents are obvious, it is impossible to ignore his lack of production (3.3 yards per carry average in each of the last two seasons) and injury issues. If he’s available late in your draft, we can endorse taking a flier on him. Otherwise, leave the headache to somebody else.

RB Marcel Reece

While Reece is a solid fullback and a capable fill in at running back, the Raiders have chosen to only use him as a tailback when their hand has been forced. If their hand is forced and you need a bye week fill in or injury replacement, we’re fine endorsing Reece to fit you needs. Just don’t waste a roster spot on him until that happens.

RB Latavius Murray

After being selected in the 6th round of the 2013 rookie draft, Murray spent last season on injured reserve with an ankle injury. Considered a raw prospect coming out of Central Florida but blessed with outstanding measurables, Murray has a chance to carve out some playing time in a Raiders backfield that will open the season featuring a pair of veteran retreads who may be on their last legs in Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden. While that sounds appealing, it’s important to note that Murray has exactly zero rushing attempts in the pros, so it’s anybody’s guess as to how ready he is to produce. If Murray shines in the preseason, he could be worth a late round (think last round) flier in 2014.

WR James Jones

Shock of shocks, Jones’ touchdown count dropped from a career high 14 in 2012 to just three last season. While Jones has ranked as one of the league’s top backup wide receivers during the last couple of years in Green Bay, he is ill-suited to take over the role as the Raiders leading wide receiver in 2014. While Jones has displayed some big play ability, he has done so with opposing defenses focused on other league leading talents like Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb. Did we mention it’s a big drop from Aaron Rodgers to a quickly fading Matt Schaub at quarterback? If you like Jones grab him as a mid-tier WR4 and keep your expectations in check.

WR Rod Streater

After a surprisingly solid rookie season in 2012 when he caught 39 passes for 584 yards and three touchdowns, Streater, a former undrafted free agent, stepped it up a notch last season, leading the Raiders in receptions with 60 and yards with 888 while scoring four times. At 6’3” and 200 pounds with middling speed, Streater doesn’t do anything extraordinarily well but he has been a steady presence and that should ensure him a spot in the starting line up in 2014. Unfortunately, the Raiders have a depth chart that runs four deep at wide receiver so we aren’t sold on him getting enough targets to have an opportunity to break out in 2014. Consider Streater a low end WR4 or decent WR5 with some upside.

WR Andre Holmes

A former undrafted free agent, Holmes wasn’t given much chance to make the Raiders last season but over the course of the final five games, he emerged as a solid receiving option, catching 22 of his 41 targets for 296 yards and a touchdown. In 2014, Holmes seems assured of a roster spot and he will enter training camp fighting Denarius Moore for the top backup job. While Holmes averaged 17.2 yards per reception last season, he is more of a possession receiver than a true deep threat. With starters James Jones and Rod Streater possessing similar skill sets, it is possible the Raiders may choose to go with Moore given he is the team’s top deep threat. Keep tags on Holmes in the preseason and consider him as a potential late round option in your fantasy draft.

WR Denarius Moore

There is a lot to like about Denarius Moore. He has decent size, outstanding speed and has been a big play threat and reasonably productive for the Raiders with 2,054 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns during his first three years in the league. However, he has also proven to be unreliable and wildly inconsistent, failing to top 35 receiving yards in four of his 13 games last season. He also only topped 80 receiving yards four times. Entering the final year of his rookie contract, Moore has much to prove but the word out of Oakland is that Moore will open the season coming off the bench and that role is even in jeopardy with Andre Holmes breathing down his neck. Moore is nothing more than a late round flier in 2014.

WR Greg Little, WR Juron Criner and WR Brice Butler

With the Raiders lacking a proven number one wide receiver and the top of the depth chart loaded with players best suited for backup roles, there is a chance that somebody buried on the depth chart could emerge in 2014. Little joins the Raiders having failed to live up to the hype of being a 2nd round pick of the Cleveland Browns with his receptions and yards having declined the past two years. Criner, a 2012 5th round pick, has done little during first two years in the league but, at 6’2” and 221 pounds, has the size to emerge as a solid possession receiver. Butler is the most intriguing of this trio, a 7th round pick in the 2013 NFL Draft who possesses solid size at 6’3” and 213 pounds who has run a sub-4.4 40. Unfortunately, he appeared in just eight games as a rookie, catching nine of his 17 targets for 103 yards.

TE Mychal Rivera and TE David Ausberry

Much like last season, the Raiders situation at tight end looks like a black hole. Mychal Rivera, taken in the 6th round of the 2013 NFL Draft, was the team’s de facto starter last season, finishing the season with 38 receptions for 407 yards and four touchdowns. However, he failed to show much improvement throughout the course of the season and managed to top 50 receiving yards just once. He will battle David Ausberry for the starting role. Ausberry missed last season with a shoulder injury and enters his fourth year in the league having caught just nine passes in his career. Needless to say, both of these players are best left on the waiver wire until they prove worthy of a spot on your fantasy roster.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

  • Fantasy Baseball
    • Draft Buddy Software
    • Last Player Picked
    • Rankings
  •  
    • Articles
    • News
    • Stats
  • Fantasy Football
    • Draft Buddy Software
    • Rankings
    • Projections
  •  
    • Articles
    • News
    • Stats
Draft Buddy
Member Updates · Facebook icon Facebook · Twitter icon Twitter

Copyright © 2021 Draft Buddy • Privacy Policy