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Closer News Roundup Week 5 – Astros, White Sox, Cardinals, Twins

May 4, 2018 By avanfossan 1 Comment

Houston Astros Ken Giles

Is it time the Houston Astros move past Ken Giles as their primary closer, and give Brad Peacock or Chris Devenski a shot? Andy says yes, expect a change soon.

April couldn’t have passed by any quicker both as a baseball fan and, more specifically, a Minnesota Twins fan. Mother nature didn’t do anybody a lot of favors the first month of the season and, well, the Twins maybe aren’t as good as I thought they’d be, but I digress.

From an offensive standpoint, this week brought up three, three homerun performances by Mookie Betts, A.J. Pollock and Edwin Encarnacion, and a 524 foot blast off the bat of Mike Trout against the Baltimore Orioles. Pitching though – specifically, closers – is where we’re concerned so let’s get caught up with the first full week of May coming up.

Houston Astros

I’d be remiss if I didn’t start out with the Houston Astros closer situation, again. Ken Giles beat himself up, literally, on May 1st after giving up four runs in 1/3 of an inning. If you missed the main event, here it is courtesy of MLB network:

Not only is it a big deal that he blew the save, but he blew the save against the New York Yankees. The Yankee lineup is a dangerous one through nine, so having Giles give up four in a third of an inning should be alarming.

This latest blown save for Giles is making it harder and harder for me to justify that he is the Astros’ solution at closer. They have Brad Peacock and Chris Devenski in the bullpen both with better numbers than Giles.

Name G IP W L SV BLSV HLD K BB H HR R ER ERA WHIP
Chris Devenski, HOU 15 14.1 1 0 2 0 6 17 2 9 1 1 1 0.63 0.77
Brad Peacock, HOU 12 13.2 1 1 1 2 1 17 4 9 3 4 4 2.63 0.95
Ken Giles, HOU 12 10.1 0 1 3 0 0 8 0 10 1 6 6 5.23 0.97

If you haven’t done so already, I’d pick up Peacock or Devenski and stash them because I think there will be a change soon.

Chicago White Sox

Another situation that I looked at last week is that of the White Sox with closer Joakim Soria and set up man Nate Jones. As of May 3, and compared to last week, Soria’s ERA is up more than a full run. He has two blown saves and four total. Granted, he’s not getting the opportunities for closing out games but the Sox need him to get the job done when called upon.

Nate Jones’ ERA is at 1.50 which is up from 1.04 last week but still much better than Soria’s. Jones still only has the one save but from a pure numbers standpoint, I would expect him to take over the role sooner rather than later.

St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals seem to have nailed down Bud Norris as the closer for the foreseeable future. He has six saves and is sporting a 1.72 ERA. I had mentioned last week that Norris is a placeholder until late free agent signee Greg Holland got into game shape, but that looks like it’s becoming less and less a possibility.

Holland gave up three runs on six hits in two appearances last weekend for the Cards. His ERA now is up to 7.36 while appearing in 10 games. He has a WHIP of 2.32. Any pitcher wouldn’t want these numbers and in this case, they make it impossible to justify putting Holland in the closer role, even if that was the intention when they signed him.

Minnesota Twins

Finally, my old friend Fernando Rodney was up to his early season tricks again. He has three saves to go along with his three blown saves. He is walking batters and those walks are turning into runs.

The Twins have maybe one other option as I’ve moved on from the idea using Addison Reed to Ryan Pressley to close out games. My mind tells me that the front office will stick with Rodney until he figures it out or they can flip him to a contender at the deadline (for what, I’m not sure) but my heart says please let the experiment end.

Until next week.

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

Closer Roundup – Rays Alex Colome, Astros Ken Giles

April 20, 2018 By avanfossan 1 Comment

Alex Colome

Tampa Bay Rays closer Alex Colome is struggling and that could prompt a change, but is Sergio Romo a capable replacement? Andy takes a look at the Rays, Astros and Brewers closer situations for us.

We are over half way done with April but haven’t played a whole lot of games yet thanks in large part to Mother Nature. Even dome stadiums aren’t safe from the elements. We’ve had one significant injury among closers to Corey Knebel of the Milwaukee Brewers, and some shaky late inning bullpen situations. Here are three teams to monitor for a potential change before they cause any grief to your fantasy baseball team.

Tampa Bay Rays

Alex Colome Current Closer Sergio Romo Waiting

Although I don’t see Colome necessarily losing his role as closer, mainly because Romo isn’t really a valid option, he’s blown two saves already raising some red flags in Tampa. Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times discusses why Colome has been struggling this year.

Kevin Cash said out loud what others have been suggesting, that opposing hitters know Colome is going to rely on his cutter much more heavily than his fastball, and they are able to take advantage of it.

According to FanGraphs, Colome is throwing his cutter 75% of the time so far this year. This is up from 67% in 2017 and 52% in 2016 (Topkin). Teams are indeed sitting on the cutter and much like you would teach a young hitter: sit fastball and adjust to everything else.

Houston Astros

Ken Giles Current Closer Chris Devinski, Brad Peacock Waiting

Giles hasn’t really been setting the world on fire so far this year. He has one save and has been shaky at best during his outings. As of April 8th, manager AJ Hinch committed to Giles as the closer. Since then, Peacock (one save) and Devinski (two saves) have picked up the saves that Giles normally would have earned.

From Astros beat reporter Brian McTaggart, Hinch made comments after the April 13th game that the schedule, matchups and way the games have played out resulted in opportunities for Peacock and Devenski. Hinch added, “I think that at the end of the season Ken Giles will have the most saves, but I don’t know”.

Astros closer role is evolving, but don't forget about Ken Giles.https://t.co/1YVgczOYUF

— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) April 14, 2018

If you trust Hinch, and more importantly Giles, then you have nothing to worry about. I, on the other hand, don’t necessarily like the tone of Hinch and his overall feelings towards keeping Giles in his current role. I prefer Devinski over both Peacock and Giles.

Milwaukee Brewers

Committee Current Closer Josh Hader Waiting and Willing

The good news is Corey Knebel is progressing from his hamstring injury, estimated six weeks recovery from April 5. Speaking from experience, hamstrings are always tough to judge because they can pop or get tweaked again if you step just right or if not warmed up properly.

That being said, the Brewers are using Matt Albers and Jacob Barnes extensively, but Josh Hader is leading the Brew Crew in saves, holds and strikeouts (stats). What this tells me is that Hader is arguably the most valuable relief pitcher the Brewers have.

If you are into sabermetrics, you could argue the reason for the high number of holds is that manager Craig Counsel is using Hader in important situations. If you’re an old school stat person, it might tell you Hader is your prototypical set up person. It tells me Hader is their best pitcher and he will have the full time closer job soon.

Discussion – Cleveland Indians

I thought about everything that I’ve written this season about closers and potential changes that may occur sooner rather than later. I’d like to throw this out there and see what other people think: Is Cody Allen a better closer than Andrew Miller?

Miller is a hard throwing lefty with a wipe out slider. Miller also comes three-quarter delivery and is a beast against lefties. Allen is a righty that depends very much on his curveball as his fastball is 93-95. Although Allen is the current closer, would Tito ever go to Miller?

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

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