Last year I posted BABIP stats for hitters. BABIP stands for Batting Average on Balls In Play. I still have the database queries sitting here in a text file which just need a minor tweak or two to update them for 2011. So let’s do it then. Check the prior year post for details about BABIP and why it is useful in your fantasy baseball analysis.
Here are hitter BABIP stats from 2011, starting with the top 38 BABIP results, minimum 400 at-bats. The AVG is the player’s 2011 batting average.
+------------------+------+-------+-------+ | Player | AB | AVG | BABIP | +------------------+------+-------+-------+ | Matt Kemp | 601 | 0.324 | 0.380 | | Adrian Gonzalez | 630 | 0.338 | 0.380 | | Emilio Bonifacio | 565 | 0.296 | 0.372 | | Michael Bourn | 656 | 0.294 | 0.369 | | Michael Young | 631 | 0.338 | 0.367 | | Alex Avila | 464 | 0.295 | 0.366 | | Miguel Cabrera | 572 | 0.344 | 0.365 | | Hunter Pence | 606 | 0.314 | 0.361 | | Alex Gordon | 611 | 0.303 | 0.358 | | Dexter Fowler | 481 | 0.266 | 0.354 | | Jose Reyes | 537 | 0.337 | 0.353 | | Ryan Braun | 563 | 0.332 | 0.350 | | Jemile Weeks | 406 | 0.303 | 0.350 | | Joey Votto | 599 | 0.309 | 0.349 | | Andre Ethier | 487 | 0.290 | 0.346 | | Michael Morse | 522 | 0.303 | 0.344 | | Starlin Castro | 674 | 0.307 | 0.344 | | Victor Martinez | 540 | 0.330 | 0.343 | | Drew Stubbs | 604 | 0.243 | 0.343 | | Gerardo Parra | 445 | 0.292 | 0.342 | | Austin Jackson | 591 | 0.249 | 0.340 | | Jon Jay | 455 | 0.297 | 0.340 | | Freddie Freeman | 571 | 0.282 | 0.339 | | Howie Kendrick | 537 | 0.285 | 0.338 | | Peter Bourjos | 502 | 0.271 | 0.338 | | Jacoby Ellsbury | 660 | 0.321 | 0.336 | | Derek Jeter | 546 | 0.297 | 0.336 | | Casey Kotchman | 500 | 0.306 | 0.335 | | Jamey Carroll | 452 | 0.290 | 0.332 | | Melky Cabrera | 658 | 0.305 | 0.332 | | Cameron Maybin | 515 | 0.264 | 0.331 | | Matt Holliday | 446 | 0.296 | 0.330 | | Todd Helton | 421 | 0.302 | 0.328 | | Carlos Gonzalez | 481 | 0.295 | 0.326 | | Jhonny Peralta | 525 | 0.299 | 0.325 | | Dustin Pedroia | 635 | 0.307 | 0.325 | | Greg Dobbs | 411 | 0.275 | 0.325 | | Carlos Beltran | 520 | 0.300 | 0.324 |
Here are the lowest 39 BABIP results from 2011, minimum 400 at-bats.
+---------------------+------+-------+-------+ | Player | AB | AVG | BABIP | +---------------------+------+-------+-------+ | Vernon Wells | 505 | 0.218 | 0.214 | | Alex Rios | 537 | 0.227 | 0.237 | | Mark Teixeira | 589 | 0.248 | 0.239 | | Evan Longoria | 483 | 0.244 | 0.239 | | Adam Dunn | 415 | 0.159 | 0.240 | | Ian Kinsler | 620 | 0.255 | 0.243 | | Kurt Suzuki | 460 | 0.237 | 0.244 | | Casey McGehee | 546 | 0.223 | 0.249 | | Russell Martin | 417 | 0.237 | 0.252 | | Dan Uggla | 600 | 0.233 | 0.253 | | J.P. Arencibia | 443 | 0.219 | 0.255 | | Orlando Cabrera | 450 | 0.238 | 0.259 | | Yuniesky Betancourt | 556 | 0.252 | 0.259 | | Carlos Quentin | 421 | 0.254 | 0.261 | | Brent Morel | 413 | 0.245 | 0.262 | | Carlos Santana | 552 | 0.239 | 0.263 | | Adam Lind | 499 | 0.251 | 0.265 | | Logan Morrison | 462 | 0.247 | 0.265 | | Alfonso Soriano | 475 | 0.244 | 0.266 | | Mark Reynolds | 534 | 0.221 | 0.266 | | Martin Prado | 551 | 0.260 | 0.266 | | Carlos Pena | 493 | 0.225 | 0.267 | | Colby Rasmus | 471 | 0.225 | 0.267 | | Raul Ibanez | 535 | 0.245 | 0.268 | | John Buck | 466 | 0.227 | 0.268 | | Aaron Hill | 520 | 0.246 | 0.268 | | Miguel Olivo | 477 | 0.224 | 0.270 | | Aubrey Huff | 521 | 0.246 | 0.271 | | Ty Wigginton | 401 | 0.242 | 0.271 | | Justin Smoak | 427 | 0.234 | 0.273 | | Adrian Beltre | 487 | 0.296 | 0.273 | | J.J. Hardy | 527 | 0.269 | 0.273 | | David DeJesus | 442 | 0.240 | 0.274 | | Mark Trumbo | 539 | 0.254 | 0.274 | | Hideki Matsui | 517 | 0.251 | 0.274 | | Ryan Roberts | 482 | 0.249 | 0.275 | | Danny Valencia | 564 | 0.246 | 0.275 | | Jimmy Rollins | 567 | 0.268 | 0.275 | | Chris Young | 567 | 0.236 | 0.275 |
Here are the 26 biggest positive differences between 2011 BABIP and 2008-2010 BABIP, minimum 400 at-bats in 2011 and 800 at-bats in 2008-2010. Did these guys exceed expectations last season so we might expect a correction in 2012?
+-------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+-------+ | Player | 11_AB | 11_BABIP | 3year_AB | 3yr_BABIP | Dif | +-------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+-------+ | Adrian Gonzalez | 630 | 0.380 | 1759 | 0.304 | 0.077 | | Casey Kotchman | 500 | 0.335 | 1324 | 0.262 | 0.073 | | Alex Gordon | 611 | 0.358 | 899 | 0.289 | 0.070 | | Hunter Pence | 606 | 0.361 | 1794 | 0.304 | 0.057 | | Jose Bautista | 513 | 0.309 | 1275 | 0.256 | 0.053 | | Emilio Bonifacio | 565 | 0.372 | 810 | 0.319 | 0.052 | | Melky Cabrera | 658 | 0.332 | 1357 | 0.283 | 0.050 | | Matt Kemp | 601 | 0.380 | 1814 | 0.334 | 0.046 | | Jose Reyes | 537 | 0.353 | 1398 | 0.309 | 0.043 | | Edwin Encarnacion | 481 | 0.292 | 1131 | 0.251 | 0.042 | | Michael Young | 631 | 0.367 | 1842 | 0.327 | 0.040 | | David Ortiz | 525 | 0.321 | 1475 | 0.281 | 0.040 | | Jeff Francoeur | 601 | 0.323 | 1646 | 0.284 | 0.038 | | Michael Bourn | 656 | 0.369 | 1608 | 0.331 | 0.037 | | Brandon Phillips | 610 | 0.322 | 1769 | 0.285 | 0.037 | | Victor Martinez | 540 | 0.343 | 1347 | 0.307 | 0.036 | | Andre Ethier | 487 | 0.346 | 1638 | 0.313 | 0.033 | | Miguel Cabrera | 572 | 0.365 | 1775 | 0.331 | 0.033 | | Seth Smith | 476 | 0.320 | 801 | 0.290 | 0.030 | | Carlos Ruiz | 410 | 0.308 | 1013 | 0.281 | 0.027 | | Jhonny Peralta | 525 | 0.325 | 1738 | 0.299 | 0.026 | | Jacoby Ellsbury | 660 | 0.336 | 1256 | 0.314 | 0.022 | | Ben Zobrist | 588 | 0.310 | 1240 | 0.290 | 0.020 | | Dexter Fowler | 481 | 0.354 | 898 | 0.335 | 0.020 | | Ryan Braun | 563 | 0.350 | 1865 | 0.330 | 0.020 | | Ronny Cedeno | 413 | 0.313 | 1025 | 0.293 | 0.019 |
Here are the 35 biggest negative differences between 2011 BABIP and 2008-2010 BABIP, minimum 400 at-bats in 2011 and 800 at-bats in 2008-2010. Should we expect a reversal of fortune in 2012 for these players?
+------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+--------+ | Player | 11_AB | 11_BABIP | 3year_AB | 3yr_BABIP | Dif | +------------------+-------+----------+----------+-----------+--------+ | Evan Longoria | 483 | 0.239 | 1606 | 0.321 | -0.082 | | Martin Prado | 551 | 0.266 | 1277 | 0.338 | -0.072 | | Alex Rios | 537 | 0.237 | 1784 | 0.304 | -0.067 | | Vernon Wells | 505 | 0.214 | 1647 | 0.280 | -0.066 | | Adam Dunn | 415 | 0.240 | 1621 | 0.304 | -0.064 | | Casey McGehee | 546 | 0.249 | 989 | 0.313 | -0.064 | | Ichiro Suzuki | 677 | 0.295 | 2005 | 0.356 | -0.061 | | Mark Teixeira | 589 | 0.239 | 1784 | 0.296 | -0.057 | | David DeJesus | 442 | 0.274 | 1428 | 0.331 | -0.057 | | Dan Uggla | 600 | 0.253 | 1684 | 0.308 | -0.055 | | Angel Pagan | 478 | 0.285 | 1013 | 0.337 | -0.052 | | Miguel Olivo | 477 | 0.270 | 1090 | 0.322 | -0.052 | | Ian Kinsler | 620 | 0.243 | 1475 | 0.294 | -0.051 | | Kevin Youkilis | 431 | 0.296 | 1391 | 0.342 | -0.047 | | Colby Rasmus | 471 | 0.267 | 938 | 0.314 | -0.047 | | Omar Infante | 579 | 0.298 | 991 | 0.343 | -0.044 | | Russell Martin | 417 | 0.252 | 1389 | 0.295 | -0.043 | | Mark Reynolds | 534 | 0.266 | 1616 | 0.309 | -0.043 | | Kelly Johnson | 545 | 0.277 | 1435 | 0.319 | -0.042 | | Raul Ibanez | 535 | 0.268 | 1696 | 0.309 | -0.041 | | Jayson Werth | 561 | 0.286 | 1543 | 0.327 | -0.041 | | Matt Wieters | 500 | 0.276 | 800 | 0.317 | -0.041 | | Jason Bartlett | 553 | 0.292 | 1422 | 0.332 | -0.041 | | Adam Lind | 499 | 0.265 | 1482 | 0.305 | -0.040 | | John Buck | 466 | 0.268 | 965 | 0.306 | -0.038 | | Orlando Cabrera | 450 | 0.259 | 1811 | 0.297 | -0.038 | | Kurt Suzuki | 460 | 0.244 | 1595 | 0.279 | -0.035 | | Albert Pujols | 579 | 0.277 | 1679 | 0.311 | -0.034 | | Josh Hamilton | 487 | 0.317 | 1478 | 0.350 | -0.033 | | Nelson Cruz | 475 | 0.288 | 976 | 0.321 | -0.033 | | Justin Upton | 592 | 0.319 | 1377 | 0.351 | -0.032 | | Cody Ross | 405 | 0.279 | 1545 | 0.310 | -0.032 | | Nick Markakis | 641 | 0.300 | 1866 | 0.332 | -0.032 | | Johnny Damon | 582 | 0.284 | 1644 | 0.316 | -0.032 | | Asdrubal Cabrera | 604 | 0.302 | 1256 | 0.333 | -0.032 |
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