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Dynasty Catcher Prospects – Alfaro, Cisco, Mejia, Ruiz, Collins

May 22, 2018 By Rick Leave a Comment

Francisco Mejia, Cleveland Indians

Cleveland Indians Francisco Mejia is the stud of the group of dynasty catcher prospects almost ready for the Majors. Rick comps Mejia as Joe Mauer from Mauer’s catching days.

Mining dynasty catcher prospects is a very tricky job to find a fantasy difference maker. Stumbling on to the next Buster Posey or Gary Sanchez is sometimes as much luck as it is hard work because of the nature of the position.

Major League teams draft catchers often, but learning how to be a good receiver and game caller is something that takes a lot of time. Since high school and college coaches call every pitch, the catcher can only learn by being a part of the process, but never makes those calls on his own. The time to learn how to be a good catcher often comes at the detriment of their bat and experience against higher level competition.

Bryce Harper playing catcherIf a MLB team drafts a catcher with an advanced bat, they usually move that player off the position to get his bat into the lineup faster. This also keeps their knees from the years of abuse they take squatting hundreds of times each day. Bryce Harper was moved to the outfield for this very reason.

Usually, the big hitters who end up behind the plate are only there for a short time before they are moved to a position where their defense is less exposed.

In most fantasy leagues, the top catchers go quickly and if you don’t get one of the Top 5, you are likely scrambling for a hot bat. I see a lot of owners grab a guy who is durable and will get some counting stats just by showing up to work every day, but is little more than roster filler. Since punting the position is not a great way to win a fantasy title, let’s look at who could help you in all of the categories.

Already Here

Jorge Alfaro, PHI

Alfaro has been on the radar of fantasy players for years now. We have all been waiting for him to show the power bat that got him signed as a 16 year old. But that power will be tempered by his below average ability to make contact. He already has the starting gig in Philadelphia, but he will need to keep his batting average north of .260 to be quality fantasy performer. Even though he is not a base stealer, he has sneaky speed so don’t be surprised if he starts to swipe a half dozen or so bases each season.

Chance Sisco, BAL

Sisco could be in the “Stay Away” grouping, except that he is already getting MLB at bats. In his favor, he is on the good side of the Baltimore catching platoon. Even though he is a switch hitter, his right-handed hitting is greatly lacking and he might be better off hitting from the left side no matter the pitcher. To boot, his catching skills are below average, so he might not get a lot of leash.

Almost Ready

Francisco Mejia, CLE

Mejia is the stud of this group and is a very good hitter with solid power and no speed. This switch hitter is the kind of guy usually moved to another position so his bat can flourish, but he’s staying put behind the dish. His hitting is certainly no fluke as demonstrated by a 50 game hitting streak in A-ball. I see his comp as Joe Mauer in his catching days. ETA: late 2018

Keibert Ruiz, LAD

Ruiz is Mejia-lite. He will display good average with a little less power and the same lack of speed. He also has very good catching skills, similar to Mejia. Ruiz will hit for a high average that will show as more of a doubles hitter than a home run crusher. The Dodgers will likely put Ruiz on the slow boat to The Show, so don’t look for Ruiz until 2020 at the earliest.

Roll the Dice

Alex Jackson, ATL

Jackson was drafted by Seattle and was moved away from catcher as his catching skills were lacking and to push his bat. When the bat slowed its progression, Seattle traded him for a bunch of nothing and Atlanta grabbed him and moved him back to catcher.

He is a serious power threat with average contact skills. If he can put it together, he could be a 25-homer guy. If not, he could become a high school baseball coach before his 30th birthday. ETA: late 2019 or, after he completes his teaching certification, in a classroom near you.

Stay Away

Zack Collins, CWS

Collins is the ultimate three-outcome hitter (homer, walk or strikeout). If you think that two of the three results are pretty good, consider that he has a career minor league batting average of .195. One has to hope that he will work on his bat skills, but I just don’t see him becoming a good enough hitting catcher to make it all worth the roster spot. ETA: 2019

Tip of the Week

If you are willing to keep scrambling, you can often find a hot hitting free agent catcher. It seems that at any given time, there are a few catchers with scorching bats just waiting to get snapped up. Unfortunately, that means you will likely get a platoon hitter or a guy who could cool off without warning. To do this, you need to continually scour the waiver wire, but the results could really pay off without having to make a great investment other than your time.

Filed Under: Dynasty Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Baseball Stock Watch – Braun, Bautista, Coghlan, Aviles

April 29, 2011 By Rick Leave a Comment

Stock Up

Ryan Braun, OF, MIL – Apparently the new mega-million dollar extension made him happy. So much so that he went off for .346/4HR/9RBI/6R/2SB. Braun is a stud, but even he can’t keep up this pace.

Jose Bautista, OF, TOR – It looks like last year’s season was for real. Count me as a doubter, but Bautista is doing it again this season. Over the last seven days, he has raked at a .529/4/6 rate with 10 runs scored. Can another 50+ homer season be in the making?

David Wright, 3B, NYM – Wright was on the Stock Down list last week as he was suffering through an 0-for-20 streak, but he has really turned it around going .304/3/7/7/3. This guy is an elite player so look for more of this and less of the long hitless streaks going forward.

Ike Davis, 1B, NYM – Like his corner infield running mate, Davis is hot too. While Wright was contributing in all five categories, Davis did just fine for himself with a .500/3/6/7 stat line. Davis is not in the elite group, but he is still a quality player and this hot streak might last a while.

Chris Coghlan, OF, FLA – Coghlan is not a big power or speed guy, but when it’s going good, enjoy the ride. Over the last week, Coghlan has managed .292/3/7/7 and will make a great fourth outfielder on your fantasy team.

Mike Aviles, 2B/SS, KC – If someone in your league dumped the early slumping Aviles, this is your chance to grab the hot-hitting middle infielder. This is a classic, “ride him while he’s hot, then dump him when he comes back down to earth,” situation. Over the last week, Aviles piled up .357/3/5/3/2. That kind of stat line can help you all over the board.

Adam Lind, 1B/OF, TOR – Lind is a hot and cold guy. This is hot time so grab him and go. Right now, he’s on a .360/2/9/5 tear, so hopefully you can get in on that action.

Carlos Gomez, OF, MIL – Gomez is known more for being able to steal any base but first, but right now he’s hitting well. He’s currently enjoying a .385/1/6/4/2 burst, so see if he can carry your team for a little while.

 
Stock Down

Hanley Ramirez, SS, FLA – For the third week in a row, Ramirez shows up on this list. Han-Ram is a player of immense talent, so this isn’t real, but it is painful. If you own him and you have a solid backup plan, sit Han-Ram for a short while and be ready to slot him when he starts to put it together. If you don’t own him, talk up how he might not put things together this season and then offer his owner a nice package for him.

Carlos Gonzalez, OF, COL – A true five category threat, Gonzalez is suffering through a slump right now. Sit him until he gets hitting again and make an offer for him if you see an opening.

Jose Reyes, SS, NYM – As if shortstops weren’t already scarce enough, now the few hitters in the bunch aren’t hitting. Reyes is about the only Met not enjoying a hot streak right now, but don’t worry this is a contract year for him and he has something to prove.

Adam Dunn, 1B, CWS – The big swinger hasn’t found his American League rhythm yet. Don’t worry, when he does, the homers will come in bunches. Grab him now as it is only a matter of time for Dunn.

Dan Uggla, 2B, ATL – Uggla is a notoriously slow starter. He has hit five home runs on the young season, but the batting average is anemic. He usually heats up in May, so your window of opportunity for buying low is likely to close soon.

Buster Posey, C, SF – Posey has really been scuffling as of late, but so has the San Francisco offense. There is no real concern for a sophomore slump here, just sit him until he gets going.

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

Fantasy Baseball Catcher Rankings

March 11, 2011 By Rick 1 Comment

More Rankings

» First base/third base
» Second base/shortstop
» Outfield
» Closers

It is time to close out our rankings for the hitters with the catcher position. This is really a tale of the top four players, and everyone else. Pick your poison. Yes, there is some upside here, but always risk too due to inherent wear and tear catchers endure, so don’t spend too aggressively no matter which tier you decide to target.

 
Tier 1

1. Joe Mauer, MIN – Mauer had a huge drop off in homers in 2010, which may or may not have something to do with the Twins moving into the new Target Field. Regardless, he’s still the best fantasy catcher as he’ll provide a very high batting average and a lot of RBI. This kind of production won’t be cheap at a premium position like catcher as he’ll cost you a second round pick.

2. Victor Martinez, DET – When Detroit signed V-Mart, they said he’d bat most every day, usually as designated hitter. He’ll get some time behind the dish and at 1B, but he’ll amass about 550 at-bats, which is huge for a catcher, especially one with Martinez’ ability.

3. Buster Posey, SF – With less than a year of MLB experience under his belt, Posey is already among the fantasy elite. The Giants are likely to use him most days as they assume his youthful body can handle the wear and tear. Take advantage of his many trips to the plate but be mindful of possibly wearing out as the season progresses unless he is used at first base on occasion like last year.

4. Brian McCann, ATL – The only thing keeping McCann at the bottom of the elite group is a batting average that is solid, but not spectacular. He’s still a great bat to put at your catcher position but he’s being picked right after V-Mart in most drafts, and a round ahead of Posey. At that price McCann will provide considerably less value.

 
Tier 2

5. Mike Napoli, TEX – Napoli is a big swinger who will hit a lot of homers at the cost of his batting average. He’s likely to continue playing a little first base, providing you with extra at-bats and position flexibility.

6. Kurt Suzuki, OAK – Suzuki is here mostly for his ability to pick up about 550 at-bats. He’s nothing more than a solid hitter, but with the number of at-bats he’ll acquire, he will pile up some nice stats to help your team.

7. Russell Martin, NYY – Since his game has slumped at the plate in the last few years, Martin has fallen out of favor with fantasy owners, but look for a revival now that he’s in the Bronx. Hitting in the Yankees order can do wonders for anyone’s game and Martin should be rejuvenated with 2007-esque numbers. The steals might not break 20 like his big season, but look for the average and power to return. You can draft Martin pretty late, making him one of my key undervalued targets for 2011.

8. Geovany Soto, CHC – Expect a .286/20/72 line from Soto. He’s very solid and will provide decent value if you can wait him out to the seventh round. Soto is usually the first catcher off the board after the top four are drafted a few rounds earlier.

 
Tier 3

9. Miguel Montero, ARI – If you miss out on Geovany Soto, Montero should be available in the next round. He’s a similar player providing slightly inferior numbers.

10. Matt Wieters, BAL – He was supposed to be the next stud catcher, but it seems like his star has fallen. He is still young and has enough time to realize that potential. In the meantime, he will be solid but unspectacular. He’s a great second catcher in two-catcher leagues, but you probably don’t want him to be your number one guy with high expectations.

11. A.J. Pierzynski, CWS – There is nothing fancy about Pierzynski, just a good batting average and a dozen homers. He makes a great second catcher for the leagues who start two.

12. Carlos Santana, CLE – Carlos Santana will likely join the elite group next season, but is probably a few notches below for now. If you can’t get one of the big four, the next two tiers can be lumped together as pretty similar, starting with Mike Napoli and ending here with Santana, with varying degrees of risk and upside.

 
Tier 4

13. Yadier Molina, STL – This is the perfect “won’t hurt your team” catcher. Molina will give you a good batting average, but little else. If you are looking to wait until the middle-teens to grab your catcher, this is a great pick.

14. Chris Iannetta, COL – Iannetta will give you power, but will hurt your batting average. He makes a good backup or second catcher.

15. John Jaso, TB – As Tampa Bay’s leadoff hitter, he will be in great position to score a lot of runs, but he doesn’t steal bases or have much power. His batting average also isn’t anything that will help your team, so draft this guy only if you are desperate.

16. J.P. Arencibia, TOR – This guy only has 35 MLB at-bats under his belt, so expect some slumps. He has a lot of room to grow into a good hitting catcher, just don’t expect this to be the season he does.

17. Miguel Olivo, SEA – Call him “Iannetta-lite”. You’ll get some pop, but the batting average will hurt you.

18. Ryan Doumit, PIT – The Pirates list Doumit as their backup catcher and right fielder and he might get time at first base as well. As such, he is likely to get a bunch of at-bats while not being a starter. If it all works out, he could really be an asset to your team but watch his playing time closely and cut bait if he looks like he’s not getting enough at-bats.

19. Jorge Posada, NYY – If his knees hold up, Posada could put together a great season for a catcher-eligible player. Those knees are likely to be a little creaky all season though, and the temptation of playing the young phenom Jesus Montero will be too great to get Posada as many at-bats as he will need to be much more than a backup catcher for your fantasy team.

 
Tier 5

20. Alex Avila, DET
21. Rod Barajas, LAD
22. Jesus Montero, NYY
23. Jarrod Saltalamacchia, BOS
24. Carlos Ruiz, PHI
25. Nick Hundley, SD
26. Ramon Hernandez, CIN
27. John Buck, FLA
28. Ryan Hanigan, CIN
29. Jonathan Lucroy, MIL
30. Josh Thole, NYM

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

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