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Oakland Raiders Team Report

August 21, 2015 By Dave Leave a Comment

Coming at you! Oakland Raiders RB Latavius Murray is an obvious choice for a fantasy breakout candidate. Can he seize the opportunity and become a workhorse back?

Coming at you! Oakland Raiders RB Latavius Murray is an obvious choice for a fantasy breakout candidate. Can he seize the opportunity and become a workhorse back?

QB Derek Carr

Taken in the 2nd round of last year’s NFL Draft, Carr unexpectedly supplanted Matt Schaub in training camp to earn the starting role and played well enough to provide the Raiders with confidence that he is their long term answer at the quarterback position. Despite playing with wide receivers and tight ends that would rank amongst the worst depth charts at those positions in the league, Carr managed to throw for 3,270 yards with 21 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. However, much of that production came in garbage time (which certainly helped to inflate his touchdown pass total) and Carr managed to complete just 58.1% of his passes despite ranking near the bottom of the league in yards per attempt and yards per completion. While Carr has a strong arm, he will need to avoid the check down mentality that he displayed as a rookie as well as improve his accuracy if he is to emerge as a quality starter and decent fantasy option. Since we view some of the issues arising from his rookie season as the result of playing with inferior skill position players, Carr has the potential to emerge as a mid-tier QB2 in his second season due to the additions of Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree, as well as the return to health of Rod Streater.

RB Latavius Murray

Proving why the Raiders are the Raiders, they kept Murray nailed to the bench for the first 11 weeks of last season behind veteran journeymen Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden before unleashing him on the league for the final five games of the season. During that stretch, Murray ran for 370 yards and a pair of touchdowns while producing another 108 yards as a receiver. Possessed with outstanding athletic ability, the 2013 6th round pick is an obvious breakout candidate in 2015. At 6’2” and 223 pounds, Murray has the size to handle a workhorse role and given the competition he will face in training camp from Roy Helu and Trent Richardson, he could be in line for 300 touches. The only negatives with Murray are his uneven skills as a receiver as well as a Raiders offense that figures to rate in the bottom third of the league. Murray is a lower-tier RB2 with upside.

RB Roy Helu

After showing plenty of promise as a rookie 4th round pick in 2011, gaining 640 yards on the ground while catching 49 passes for 379 yards, Helu emerged as nothing more than a 3rd down, change of pace back during his final three years in Washington. In 2015, he joins a Raiders rushing attack that will feature Latavius Murray with Trent Richardson and Marcel Reece also competing for touches. An underrated receiver out of the backfield, Helu has caught 122 passes for 1,107 yards in his career excluding 2012 in which he only appeared in 3 games. However, despite having solid agility and better than average speed, Helu has just three receiving touchdowns during his career despite averaging 8.9 yards per reception. That makes him little more than Murray’s handcuff this season although we wouldn’t be surprised if the Raiders went with a committee approach if injury strikes down their starter.

RB Trent Richardson

Just two years after amassing 950 rushing yards, 367 receiving yards and scoring 12 touchdowns as a rookie despite playing much of the season with rib and knee injuries, Trent Richardson is well on his way to establishing himself as one of the biggest running back draft busts of his era. A total flop in Indianapolis after being traded from the Cleveland Browns to the Colts early in the 2013 season, Richardson had fallen behind Ahmad Bradshaw, Dan Herron and Zurlon Tipton before his days in Indy came to an end. Signed by the Raiders in the offseason, Richardson will battle Roy Helu, rookie undrafted free agent Michael Dyer and Marcel Reece for playing time behind Latavius Murray. Given his inability to gain yards on the ground (career yards per carry average of 3.3), lack of explosiveness and rumored weight issues in Indy, we aren’t banking on this reclamation project having a happy ending.

RB Marcel Reece

While Reece is a solid fullback and a capable fill in at running back (he has two 100 yards games to his career), the Raiders have chosen to only use him as a tailback when their hand has been forced. However, with Roy Helu and Trent Richardson joining him on the depth chart behind Latavius Murray, it is unlikely that Reece will see much time at tailback this season. And with Helu signed mainly for his receiving abilities out of the backfield, we don’t expect Reece will haul in many passes in 2015. His days as a late round flier in larger PPR leagues should be over.

WR Amari Cooper

With one of the worst group of wide receivers in the league last season, the Raiders were desperate for an upgrade at the position heading into 2015. Needing to address the position in order to give second year quarterback Derek Carr a better opportunity to succeed, and provide the offense with more playmaking ability, Oakland used the 4th overall selection in the draft to acquire Alabama product Amari Cooper. While Cooper lacks ideal size at 6’1” and 210 pounds, he has outstanding speed and displayed solid playmaking ability in college. In Oakland, he will be paired with Carr, who needs to attack the field vertically in order to progress as an NFL quarterback. However, with Cooper excelling on short and intermediate routes in college and Carr having shown a propensity for making those types of passes as a rookie, Cooper should receive a ton of targets and catch plenty of passes in 2015. The issue is whether he will be able to turn those receptions into big plays and how often he will be able to find the end zone on an Oakland offense that figures to finish in the bottom third in the league. Since Carr seems another year away from establishing himself as a true quality starter, a season with 900-1,000 yards and between five and seven touchdowns seems likely for Cooper making him a lower tier WR3 in his rookie season.

WR Michael Crabtree

After failing to live up to his promise after being taken by the 49ers with the 10th pick in the 2009 draft, Michael Crabtree joins the Raiders in 2015 where he is expected to start opposite rookie Amari Cooper. After catching 85 passes for 1,105 yards and nine touchdowns during the 2012 season, Crabtree suffered through an injury plagued 2013 before being relegated to a more secondary role last season, catching 68 of his 108 targets for 698 yards and four touchdowns. In Oakland, Crabtree has the potential to emerge as the team’s top receiving option depending on how quickly Cooper adapts to the pro game. While we don’t expect that to happen, reports out of the Raiders training camp indicate that Crabtree is rejuvenated and motivated to prove the 49ers were wrong to reduce his role leading to his exit from San Francisco. With conservative Derek Carr at quarterback and Crabtree showing little explosiveness last season averaging a career-low 10.3 yards per carry, it is difficult to predict a solid comeback season from Crabtree no matter how glowing the training camp reports are. We rate him as a lower tier WR4 although one of the more intriguing options in that tier.

WR Rod Streater

Poised to possibly emerge as the Raiders top receiving option last season after catching 60 passes for 888 yards and four touchdowns during his second year in the league, Streater suffered a foot fracture in Week 3 that ended his season. And the Raiders moved on, adding Amari Cooper with the 4th pick in this year’s draft and signing free agent Michael Crabtree. Their additions all but ensure that Streater will assume a role as a low volume, possession receiver this year in Oakland. Possessing decent size at 6’3” and 200 pounds but with middling speed, Streater could produce some decent stats in that role given the Raiders murky outlook at the tight end position. However, until he strings together a couple of solid games, Streater is waiver wire material entering 2015.

WR Andre Holmes

A former undrafted free agent, Holmes was slowly emerging as a decent receiving option for the Raiders, gaining 693 yards and four touchdowns on 47 receptions last season after catching 25 passes for 431 yards and a touchdown in 2013. However, his path to the starting lineup is blocked in 2015 by Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree. That leaves Holmes fighting with Rod Streater, Brice Butler and Kenbrell Thompkins for targets. Since Holmes has displayed solid playmaking ability during his stay in Oakland, we won’t be surprised if he wins the battle to emerge as the team’s backup. However, we still don’t like his fantasy prospects in 2015.

TE Mychal Rivera

On first glance, it appears that Rivera’s career is on the upswing. After catching 38 passes for 407 yards and four touchdowns as a rookie, he improved to 58 receptions for 534 yards and four touchdowns last season. However, a closer look reveals that, while Rivera may have posted marginally better production, he wasn’t really all that much better as a sophomore than he was as a rookie. First off, he failed to top 40 receiving yards in 12 games. Secondly, despite averaging a lowly 9.2 yards per reception, he managed to catch just 58% of his targets, a decline from his reception to target ratio of 63.3% in 2013. Finally, the Raiders added two players to the tight end depth chart in the offseason, blocking specialist Lee Smith and rookie 3rd round pick Clive Walford. With a reduced snap count likely, we don’t like Rivera’s fantasy prospects in 2015.

Also see: Oakland Raiders IDP Team Report · Denver Broncos Team Report

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Oakland Raiders Fantasy Football Player Projections, Rankings and Commentary

July 31, 2014 By Dave Leave a Comment

Oakland Raiders wide receiver Rod Streater (80) breaks away and scores a touchdown during the third quarter performance during the game between the New York Jets and the Oakland Raiders played at Met Life Stadium in East Rutherford,NJ. The New York Jets defeated the Oakland Raiders 37-27. December 8, 2013; Photographer: Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire

There isn’t much to get excited about on the Oakland Raiders for fantasy football players. We do like Rod Streater as a late round wide receiver with upside after two better than expected seasons. Photo: Icon Sportswire

Player Tier · Rank Passing Rushing Receiving FPts
QB M. Schaub
6 · 26th
330-560-3,650 19 TD 14 INT
48-245 1 TD
–
289.0
QB D. Carr
NR – – –
0.0
RB D. McFadden
5 · 29th –
145-625 5 TD
32-250 1 TD
123.5
RB M. Jones-Drew
6 · 35th –
125-525 4 TD
38-275 1 TD
110.0
RB L. Murray
NR – – –
0.0
RB M. Reece
NR –
45-200 1 TD
20-150 1 TD
47.0
WR J. Jones
8 · 52nd – –
55-750 4 TD
99.0
WR R. Streater
9 · 53rd – –
55-625 3 TD
80.5
WR A. Holmes
NR – –
45-600 2 TD
72.0
WR D. Moore
NR – –
30-400 2 TD
52.0
TE D. Ausberry
NR – –
45-450 4 TD
69.0

Data as of July 25 | Current Cheatsheets | Current Projections

NR = Not ranked

QB Matt Schaub

In 2013, Schaub turned into, well, a turnover machine, eventually earning himself a spot on the bench for doing so. But he wasn’t just any turnover machine, he was the pick six turnover champion tossing one in four consecutive games. Ouch. Traded to the Raiders in the offseason, Schaub will no longer be throwing to future Hall of Famer Andre Johnson. Instead, he inherits a group of Raiders wide receivers with very similar skill sets outside of the maddeningly inconsistent Denarius Moore. Not to mention the Raiders group of tight ends rates amongst the league’s worst. If this doesn’t sound like a recipe for a bounce back season, then you’re reading the tea leaves correctly.

RB Maurice Jones-Drew

Jones-Drew hit the wall hard last year in Jacksonville, totaling just 834 rushing yards and 314 receiving yards while averaging a paltry 3.4 yards per carry, easily a career worst. He looked like a shell of his former shelf, lacking agility and speed and more resembling Cedric Benson in his days as a Chicago Bear than the player who emerged as a fantasy favorite from his rookie season in 2006 until 2011. Banking on him in 2014 is pinning your hopes on a player who suffered through an injury plagued season in 2012 and followed it up spending the year convincing fans that he was nearly completely washed up. While the Jaguars offensive line was a mess last season, it’s not like the Raiders line this season is expected to be a whole lot better. Playing in a committee with Darren McFadden, MJD’s upside is likely 1,000 total yards and six or seven touchdowns and it just seems like there are better options out there with more upside.

RB Darren McFadden

Quick: How old is Run-DMC? 27 by opening day. Quick: After six seasons in the league, how many 1,000 yard seasons does he have? If you said one, bingo. The former 1st round pick has now missed 19 games over the past three seasons and finished last year with just 487 total yards and five touchdowns in ten games as he lost playing time to career backup Rashad Jennings. In 2014, McFadden figures to split time with Maurice Jones-Drew, another player clearly in decline. While McFadden’s talents are obvious, it is impossible to ignore his lack of production (3.3 yards per carry average in each of the last two seasons) and injury issues. If he’s available late in your draft, we can endorse taking a flier on him. Otherwise, leave the headache to somebody else.

RB Marcel Reece

While Reece is a solid fullback and a capable fill in at running back, the Raiders have chosen to only use him as a tailback when their hand has been forced. If their hand is forced and you need a bye week fill in or injury replacement, we’re fine endorsing Reece to fit you needs. Just don’t waste a roster spot on him until that happens.

RB Latavius Murray

After being selected in the 6th round of the 2013 rookie draft, Murray spent last season on injured reserve with an ankle injury. Considered a raw prospect coming out of Central Florida but blessed with outstanding measurables, Murray has a chance to carve out some playing time in a Raiders backfield that will open the season featuring a pair of veteran retreads who may be on their last legs in Maurice Jones-Drew and Darren McFadden. While that sounds appealing, it’s important to note that Murray has exactly zero rushing attempts in the pros, so it’s anybody’s guess as to how ready he is to produce. If Murray shines in the preseason, he could be worth a late round (think last round) flier in 2014.

WR James Jones

Shock of shocks, Jones’ touchdown count dropped from a career high 14 in 2012 to just three last season. While Jones has ranked as one of the league’s top backup wide receivers during the last couple of years in Green Bay, he is ill-suited to take over the role as the Raiders leading wide receiver in 2014. While Jones has displayed some big play ability, he has done so with opposing defenses focused on other league leading talents like Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb. Did we mention it’s a big drop from Aaron Rodgers to a quickly fading Matt Schaub at quarterback? If you like Jones grab him as a mid-tier WR4 and keep your expectations in check.

WR Rod Streater

After a surprisingly solid rookie season in 2012 when he caught 39 passes for 584 yards and three touchdowns, Streater, a former undrafted free agent, stepped it up a notch last season, leading the Raiders in receptions with 60 and yards with 888 while scoring four times. At 6’3” and 200 pounds with middling speed, Streater doesn’t do anything extraordinarily well but he has been a steady presence and that should ensure him a spot in the starting line up in 2014. Unfortunately, the Raiders have a depth chart that runs four deep at wide receiver so we aren’t sold on him getting enough targets to have an opportunity to break out in 2014. Consider Streater a low end WR4 or decent WR5 with some upside.

WR Andre Holmes

A former undrafted free agent, Holmes wasn’t given much chance to make the Raiders last season but over the course of the final five games, he emerged as a solid receiving option, catching 22 of his 41 targets for 296 yards and a touchdown. In 2014, Holmes seems assured of a roster spot and he will enter training camp fighting Denarius Moore for the top backup job. While Holmes averaged 17.2 yards per reception last season, he is more of a possession receiver than a true deep threat. With starters James Jones and Rod Streater possessing similar skill sets, it is possible the Raiders may choose to go with Moore given he is the team’s top deep threat. Keep tags on Holmes in the preseason and consider him as a potential late round option in your fantasy draft.

WR Denarius Moore

There is a lot to like about Denarius Moore. He has decent size, outstanding speed and has been a big play threat and reasonably productive for the Raiders with 2,054 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns during his first three years in the league. However, he has also proven to be unreliable and wildly inconsistent, failing to top 35 receiving yards in four of his 13 games last season. He also only topped 80 receiving yards four times. Entering the final year of his rookie contract, Moore has much to prove but the word out of Oakland is that Moore will open the season coming off the bench and that role is even in jeopardy with Andre Holmes breathing down his neck. Moore is nothing more than a late round flier in 2014.

WR Greg Little, WR Juron Criner and WR Brice Butler

With the Raiders lacking a proven number one wide receiver and the top of the depth chart loaded with players best suited for backup roles, there is a chance that somebody buried on the depth chart could emerge in 2014. Little joins the Raiders having failed to live up to the hype of being a 2nd round pick of the Cleveland Browns with his receptions and yards having declined the past two years. Criner, a 2012 5th round pick, has done little during first two years in the league but, at 6’2” and 221 pounds, has the size to emerge as a solid possession receiver. Butler is the most intriguing of this trio, a 7th round pick in the 2013 NFL Draft who possesses solid size at 6’3” and 213 pounds who has run a sub-4.4 40. Unfortunately, he appeared in just eight games as a rookie, catching nine of his 17 targets for 103 yards.

TE Mychal Rivera and TE David Ausberry

Much like last season, the Raiders situation at tight end looks like a black hole. Mychal Rivera, taken in the 6th round of the 2013 NFL Draft, was the team’s de facto starter last season, finishing the season with 38 receptions for 407 yards and four touchdowns. However, he failed to show much improvement throughout the course of the season and managed to top 50 receiving yards just once. He will battle David Ausberry for the starting role. Ausberry missed last season with a shoulder injury and enters his fourth year in the league having caught just nine passes in his career. Needless to say, both of these players are best left on the waiver wire until they prove worthy of a spot on your fantasy roster.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

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