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Double Dipping Two-Start Pitchers, Week 6

May 8, 2010 By Rick Leave a Comment

Austin Jackson was the centerpiece of the deal that sent Curtis Granderson’s large contract to the New York Yankees. As of Saturday, he is hitting .369/1/9/5, has reached base in 24 consecutive games, and is the odds on favorite to win the American League Rookie of the Year award.

He’s hitting at a very high rate and even though his other numbers aren’t very high, that batting average pace is completely unsustainable. His batting average for batted balls in play (BABIP) is .512. Over time hitters tend to regress to a norm of .300.

If you have him on your squad, sell now because his value will never be higher. If you are thinking of trading for him, consider waiting for his value to dip a little before pulling the trigger.

Now, the projected 2-start pitchers for this week. For those of you in leagues who require you to set your lineup at the beginning of the week, these are guys you should strongly consider:

American League
BAL David Hernandez
BOS John Lackey
CWS none
CLE Jake Westbrook
DET Dontrelle Willis, Rick Porcello
KC Brian Bannister
LAA Joel Pineiro
MIN none
NYY Sergio Mitre, Javier Vazquez
OAK Vin Mazzaro
SEA Cliff Lee
TB Matt Garza
TEX Colby Lewis
TOR Brandon Morrow
  
National League
ARI Rodrigo Lopez
ATL Tommy Hanson
CHC Ted Lilly
CIN Bronson Arroyo
COL Greg Smith, Aaron Cook
FLA Nate Robertson, Ricky Nolasco
HOU Brett Myers
LAD Chad Billingsley
MIL Doug Davis
NYM John Maine, Jon Niese
PHI Kyle Kendrick
PIT Charlie Morton
SD Wade LeBlanc
SF Barry Zito
STL Brad Penny
WAS Luis Atilano, Scott Olsen


Rick’s Picks

Five best bets for double-start pitchers this week

1. Matt Garza, TB—Garza faces a mediocre offense on the road (at LAA) and a weak offense at home (vs SEA). You don’t need to know that much about Garza’s opponents this week to start the hottest pitcher in baseball.

2. Barry Zito, SF—Zito has found his glory days of old and is pitching very well these days. He gets two poor offenses at home (vs SD, vs HOU) and should reward you with a strong week.

3. Brad Penny, STL—Penny is not pitching any where near his caliber these days and St. Louis is very glad about that. He gets two weak offenses (vs HOU, at CIN) and should keep right on rolling.

4. Tommy Hanson, ATL—Hanson faces two of the top three hitting clubs in the league (vs MIL, vs ARI), but two home starts should help Hanson tame his opponents.

5. Colby Lewis, TEX—Lewis is in the top 10 in strikeouts and faces two mediocre offenses (vs OAK, at TOR). Look for the K’s to keep coming and maybe a couple of W’s.

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

H.S.L. – DeRosa, Fuentes, Penny

December 31, 2008 By Rick Leave a Comment

No superstars changing locations right now, but some moves of significance to look at.

Mark DeRosa will be a valuable multi-position player, but dont look for a repeat of a big 2008.

Mark DeRosa will be a valuable multi-position player, but don't look for a repeat of a big 2008.

Mark DeRosa traded to Cleveland. DeRosa is most valuable for his utility status. His numbers should decline soon and he is about to turn 33 and just had his career season. Look for a .295AVG/12HR/70RBi/70R line in 2009 as he re-enters the American League.

Brian Fuentes to L.A. Angels. The Angels got their closer, but don’t count on him matching Francisco Rodriguez‘ stats, just because he took over his job. He’ll probably pick up about 40 saves and hang a 3.75 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP.

Aaron Miles to ChiCubs. This was the move that allowed the Cubs to move DeRosa for salary relief. Miles posted a career year in 2008, so another .750 OPS is highly unlikey. Look for something more like .280/2/30 with a couple of stolen bases. He also will carry some position flexibility with 2B and SS  (and maybe 3B, based on your league rules).

Daniel Cabrera to Washington. This kid has a live arm, but he just can’t seem to get it under control. If the Nats can figure out how to harness that thing, he could be a real find. If not, he’ll continue to struggle as he has the last few years.

Brad Penny to Boston. Penny will be a great #4 in the Boston rotation and will get plenty of run support. This move will result in a higher win total and also a higher ERA and WHIP. Look for about 14 wins with a 4.50 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Willy Taveras to Cincinnati. Need stolen bases? This guy will get you at least 50, if you can stomach a .270 average, no power and close to 100 strikeouts. He’s not worth spending a lot of auction cash on unless you are desperate for steals.

Randy Johnson to San Francisco. The Big Unit tries to pick up win #300 with his home town team. This might be the last hurrah for the lanky lefty and he might lose interest after he gets that 5th win of the season. So grab him cheap, ride him for 3-4 wins and then try to move him. His ability to get hurt is another reason to move him when he looks good.

Happy New Year to all.

Filed Under: Fantasy Baseball

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