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Fantasy Baseball 2014 Consensus Top Prospects

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Minnesota Twins minor league CF Byron Buxton, the top prospect in MLB as ranked by 13 of 15 lists, including Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus and Keith Law. August 5, 2013; Photographer: Mark LoMoglio/Icon SMI

Minnesota Twins minor league CF Byron Buxton, the top prospect in MLB as ranked by 13 of 15 lists, including Baseball America, Baseball Prospectus and Keith Law. August 5, 2013; Photographer: Mark LoMoglio/Icon SMI

One of my favorite tasks prepping for the upcoming fantasy baseball season is compiling my consensus top prospects list, a ranking of the next best players in baseball. This is the fifth year publishing the list. Feel free to go back and check the top prospects from 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013, and you’ll quickly see what a major impact these players have on the fantasy baseball landscape today. The top of this list are the guys you want to build your deep keeper and dynasty league fantasy baseball teams around for years to come.

This year I used 15 publicly available “top 100” prospect lists to form the basis of my list, although there were changes to the lists included in the consensus from last year. Players had to be named on at least eight of the lists to make the final cut, with two notable exceptions. The older professional players (Masahiro Tanaka and Jose Abreu), who never played in a team’s minor league system, were included in this analysis despite appearing on less than eight lists.

Players were given 100 points for a 1st place listing, 99 points for second, 98 for third and on and on down to 1 point for a selection as number 100.

Each list that formed the consensus is identified in the key below. Each player’s rank for that list is indicated and their average score is listed last. Scores are based on the number of lists they appear. I realize this simple system has the potential to skew the results of those picked on fewer lists, but overall it provides a good snapshot of the guys you should target for your rosters.

 

Player
 BA BP DI DL FA FG FS KL MLB PG 361 RA SC TPA TBH SCORE
1. OF Byron Buxton, MIN
 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 99.8
2. SS Xander Bogaerts, BOS
 2 2 2 2 1 2 4 2 2 1 2 7 – 2 2 98.6
3. OF Oscar Taveras, STL
 3 3 3 5 4 3 5 5 3 3 3 5 2 3 3 97.5
4. RHP Masahiro Tanaka, NYY
 4 – 3 10 – – – – 4 – – 7 – 95.4
5. RHP Archie Bradley, AZ
 9 9 11 9 11 5 3 9 5 4 4 6 7 4 6 94.2
6. SS Javier Baez, CHC
 5 4 9 13 5 4 10 7 7 5 5 2 13 11 8 93.8
7. SS Carlos Correa, HOU
 7 5 3 11 7 9 6 4 8 6 7 16 3 12 7 93.6
8. 3B Miguel Sano, MIN
 6 14 7 8 2 10 7 8 4 8 11 4 14 18 4 92.7
9. RHP Taijuan Walker, SEA
 11 8 17 7 8 7 2 16 6 15 6 3 9 6 5 92.6
10. SS Addison Russell, OAK
 14 7 6 10 6 8 12 3 12 9 8 11 4 8 9 92.5
11. SS Francisco Lindor, CLE
 13 6 5 22 9 12 14 6 10 11 14 19 5 15 10 89.6
12. 3B Kris Bryant, CHC
 8 17 12 18 16 6 16 15 9 7 9 9 10 14 25 88.3
13. OF Gregory Polanco, PIT
 10 24 14 20 13 17 13 13 13 18 10 26 6 5 15 86.5
14. RHP Noah Syndergaard, NYM
 16 11 20 23 15 18 15 24 11 26 17 13 16 9 12 84.6
15. RHP Jonathan Gray, COL
 12 16 8 26 29 16 20 12 14 13 25 14 22 10 19 83.9
16. RHP Robert Stephenson, CIN
 19 22 28 17 17 11 9 29 19 14 20 12 29 22 13 82.3
17. OF George Springer, HOU
 18 20 19 15 12 14 11 19 21 44 22 15 20 16 18 82.1
18. RHP Kevin Gausman, BAL
 20 10 27 28 19 25 17 23 31 17 18 10 15 30 11 80.9
19. RHP Lucas Giolito, WAS
 21 13 13 36 14 13 18 21 44 10 28 20 17 13 22 80.8
20. RHP Dylan Bundy, BAL
 15 15 16 24 28 19 38 31 20 16 15 8 18 19 23 80.7
21. RHP Jameson Taillon, PIT
 22 19 30 14 22 20 8 27 16 48 12 17 32 17 14 79.8
22. 3B Nick Castellanos, DET
 25 37 18 16 18 37 25 32 15 24 16 18 – 24 17 78.0
23. RHP Mark Appel, HOU
 39 21 15 25 33 26 30 11 17 34 13 29 12 20 34 77.1
24. RHP Kyle Zimmer, KC
 23 34 10 12 32 24 19 10 25 70 21 27 11 26 24 76.5
25. OF Albert Almora, CHC
 36 25 38 27 31 21 26 28 18 12 27 21 8 38 16 76.2
26. C Travis d’Arnaud, NYM
 38 48 33 21 23 39 27 36 22 20 19 23 – 21 31 72.4
27. RHP Carlos Martinez, STL
 31 – 30 21 – 23 – – 22 31 66 – 31 20 70.4
28. RHP Eddie Butler, COL
 24 26 23 43 51 15 53 17 41 25 34 32 28 32 44 68.5
29. RHP Yordano Ventura, KC
 26 12 62 19 37 33 43 50 35 23 29 30 23 37 29 68.5
30. C Austin Hedges, SD
 27 18 32 39 57 34 49 33 24 27 23 42 37 41 32 66.7
31. OF Jorge Soler, CHC
 41 45 22 32 25 49 31 26 49 41 24 25 53 46 26 65.3
32. SS Billy Hamilton, CIN
 43 49 43 6 20 60 22 52 37 32 – – 33 33 65.2
33. RHP Aaron Sanchez, TOR
 32 31 36 34 45 22 28 30 23 97 43 24 45 28 21 65.1
34. SS Corey Seager, LAD
 37 44 26 29 36 28 36 18 34 67 33 51 25 67 30 63.6
35. OF Clint Frazier, CLE
 48 36 51 59 24 45 29 45 48 19 40 22 38 27 38 63.1
36. LHP Andrew Heaney, MIA
 30 30 35 44 40 31 50 34 29 59 36 38 42 45 43 61.9
37. RHP Alex Meyer, MIN
 45 32 60 35 43 23 33 62 28 35 46 34 40 34 36 61.9
38. RHP Tyler Glasnow, PIT
 46 42 21 63 53 43 37 20 27 51 52 45 19 23 52 61.4
39. SS Raul Mondesi, KC
 47 29 25 46 27 46 60 22 38 43 44 46 26 55 55 60.4
40. 1B Jose Dariel Abreu, CWS
 29 – 4 26 – 62 – – 66 – – 66 – 58.8
41. OF Jackie Bradley, BOS
 50 23 42 38 89 35 56 51 33 42 26 52 – 43 47 56.2
42. 3B Maikel Franco, PHI
 17 52 55 31 52 27 47 63 26 56 49 56 24 35 89 55.7
43. LHP Max Fried, SD
 53 55 40 62 47 61 45 48 43 21 38 43 27 63 41 55.2
44. SS Rougned Odor , TEX
 42 39 40 46 30 52 64 59 37 55 33 59 59 40 54.2
45. OF Austin Meadows, PIT
 49 89 29 53 58 48 24 35 45 66 64 48 52 25 27 53.5
46. RHP Marcus Stroman, TOR
 55 27 50 – 42 56 55 58 55 28 61 39 31 58 50 53.5
47. LHP Julio Urias, LAD
 51 35 24 55 34 73 57 14 64 38 58 28 41 75 66 53.5
48. OF Joc Pederson, LAD
 34 50 75 41 81 58 21 41 36 63 62 36 35 44 37 53.4
49. LHP Henry Owens, BOS
 40 69 58 54 54 72 44 42 30 33 – 61 21 29 60 53.4
50. RHP Kyle Crick, SF
 33 38 67 33 35 29 35 69 32 100 48 57 33 69 42 53.0
51. RHP Matt Wisler, SD
 44 47 45 57 63 41 41 39 78 31 54 40 49 53 39 52.9
52. RHP Kohl Stewart, MIN
 52 54 71 51 38 32 61 76 40 61 42 37 39 40 49 51.5
53. C Jorge Alfaro, TEX
 54 41 41 65 48 54 42 44 39 32 47 60 69 68 56 50.3
54. RHP Lucas Sims, ATL
 57 40 39 72 56 53 51 40 60 47 50 63 30 70 – 49.0
55. 3B Garin Cecchini, BOS
 74 51 63 47 41 51 34 53 57 53 39 31 58 84 45 48.9
56. OF Jonathan Singleton, HOU
 82 57 84 42 30 55 39 78 50 49 30 47 71 90 35 45.1
57. 3B Colin Moran, MIA
 61 74 47 48 82 65 40 55 51 74 – 54 46 51 46 44.3
58. C Gary Sanchez, NYY
 35 85 49 49 50 44 46 68 47 69 57 62 83 – 59 43.6
59. LHP Eduardo Rodriguez, BAL
 65 61 52 67 – 36 – 43 68 64 86 – 36 60 51 43.6
60. 2B Kolten Wong, STL
 58 33 87 37 55 80 54 91 58 65 51 35 – 50 54 43.3
61. RHP C.J. Edwards, CHC
 28 81 53 79 71 78 59 67 42 60 – 53 44 36 65 42.7
62. RHP Hunter Harvey, BAL
 – 58 31 90 69 82 48 38 96 55 59 71 43 74 28 40.9
63. RHP Michael Foltynewicz, HOU
 59 43 81 50 83 57 75 70 54 52 56 87 47 48 48 40.3
64. RHP A.J. Cole, WAS
 – 53 74 100 73 47 72 65 69 29 73 41 93 76 74 38.4
65. OF David Dahl, COL
 94 100 54 87 44 38 73 47 71 30 85 49 51 – 85 36.1
66. SS J.P. Crawford, PHI
 78 – 34 74 76 50 70 46 – 81 100 57 57 69 35.0
67. SS Alen Hanson, PIT
 76 – 80 52 65 74 64 74 67 41 55 77 62 75 34.7
68. OF Eddie Rosario, MIN
 – 60 64 81 – 76 69 49 – 53 77 63 – 78 34.0
69. 1B Dominic Smith, NYM
 92 – 44 – 61 79 97 37 – 36 71 90 74 56 – 34.0
70. RHP Braden Shipley, AZ
 62 62 37 97 93 42 85 25 – 89 97 – 54 – 33.5
71. SS Chris Owings, AZ
 66 28 69 86 60 64 81 72 77 39 63 93 65 – 92 32.8
72. 3B D.J. Peterson, SEA
 85 65 64 59 70 32 – 88 92 94 83 67 42 57 31.9
73. RHP Nick Kingham, PIT
 64 80 66 – – 75 – 73 – 88 – 72 39 – 31.4
74. LHP James Paxton, SEA
 99 68 95 39 – 88 – – 37 56 95 53 31.0
75. RHP Jake Odorizzi, TB
 67 92 70 – 84 58 – 56 73 – 72 – 65 71 30.2
76. RHP Lance McCullers, HOU
 77 – 56 77 – 79 – 52 86 91 65 62 61 77 29.8
77. LHP Jesse Biddle, PHI
 71 94 85 88 40 78 77 53 75 60 70 96 47 – 29.2
78. C Blake Swihart, BOS
 73 73 46 – 99 66 – 56 61 58 92 85 84 71 72 29.0
79. RHP Taylor Guerrieri, TB
 – – 48 – 66 89 76 66 94 76 59 55 94 – 28.7
80. OF Phillip Ervin, CIN
 – 63 71 100 81 63 – – – 58 79 79 58 28.6
81. RHP Miguel Almonte, KC
 – 46 88 77 62 95 74 81 – 67 – 48 82 81 28.2
82. 2B Mookie Betts, BOS
 75 – 89 82 67 59 – 61 62 79 80 61 87 – 28.1
83. RHP Erik Johnson, CWS
 63 67 83 84 – 99 67 59 70 72 68 – – 73 27.8
84. RHP Rafael Montero, NYM
 68 – 69 78 94 66 60 85 65 86 78 52 79 27.7
85. 3B Stephen Piscotty, STL
 70 66 59 – 98 87 – 57 98 70 78 60 73 – 26.8
86. SS Hak-Ju Lee, TB
 – – 70 – 68 92 – 79 84 54 – 70 85 – 25.8
87. 2B Arismendy Alcantara, CHC
 100 83 58 72 52 71 71 89 93 79 – – 63 25.5
88. RHP Zach Lee, LAD
 95 84 57 76 – 71 90 75 63 – 75 76 – 80 24.5
89. RHP Allen Webster, BOS
 88 – 98 – 97 – 68 – 46 93 69 94 54 64 – 23.9
90. RHP Matt Barnes, BOS
 – 64 68 78 – 98 95 89 86 50 – 64 – – 84 23.4
91. OF Jake Marisnick, MIA
 79 – 99 91 85 69 80 84 65 71 45 67 – 91 88 23.0
92. C Reese McGuire, PIT
 81 59 99 92 90 82 – – 62 – – 50 92 86 21.7
93. OF Brian Goodwin, WAS
 – 86 78 – 70 96 93 83 – 78 44 – – 87 21.6
94. 3B Matt Davidson, CWS
 72 93 93 88 – 62 – 88 80 77 77 – – – – 19.9
95. C Christian Bethancourt, ATL
 69 87 95 80 – 85 – 90 82 83 – 66 77 – 19.6
96. 2B Jonathan Schoop, BAL
 – 82 94 61 95 68 83 86 – 98 74 – 87 – 68 19.5
97. OF Josh Bell, PIT
 – 77 92 60 84 – 99 97 74 – 76 86 88 – 17.7
98. OF Jorge Bonifacio, KC
 90 99 – – 83 84 – 91 – – 92 72 94 12.9

 

Consensus Top Baseball Prospects

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Cheatsheet Compiler & Draft Buddy BaseballJust who are the top baseball prospects you should be targetting for your keeper league fantasy teams? Allow me to introduce the 2010 Consensus Top Prospects List to help answer that question.

This list is compiled from ten different Top 100 prospect ranking lists. Each list is identified below.

Players were given 100 points for a 1st place ranking, 99 points for second, 98 for third and on and on down to 1 point for a ranking of 100 from each of the respective prospect lists. Our consensus list is ranked by each player’s average score from highest to lowest.

Players had to be named on at least five of the lists to make the final cut. Ninety-six players were named at least five times to form our consensus list.

I realize this simple system has the potential to skew the results of those picked on fewer lists, but overall this presents a good snapshot of the guys you should target for your rosters. 

Top 100 Prospect Lists
BA = Baseball America
DB = Dobber Baseball
HBT = Hardball Times
JS = John Sickels
KG = Kevin Goldstein		    KL = Keith Law
MLBP = Minor League Baseball Prospects
MF = MLB Fanhouse
PP = Project Prospect
TPA = Top Prospect Alert

Rank Player BA DB HBT JS KG KL MLBP MF PP TPA Average
1 Jason Heyward, OF, ATL 100 99 100 100 99 100 100 98 100 99 99.5
2 Stephen Strasburg, P, WSH 99 100 99 99 100 99 99 100 97 100 99.2
3 Jesus Montero, C, NYY 97 92 98 96 97 91 98 96 98 95 95.8
4 Buster Posey, C, SF 94 96 90 97 92 97 96 94 93 97 94.6
5 Desmond Jennings, OF, TB 95 80 97 95 94 95 93 97 99 92 93.7
6 Michael Stanton, OF, FLA 98 88 86 91 96 96 97 99 86 98 93.5
7 Carlos Santana, C, CLE 91 94 94 94 93 98 94 85 96 90 92.9
8 Brian Matusz, P, BAL 96 97 95 93 83 90 91 93 94 94 92.6
9 Neftali Feliz, P, TEX 92 89 98 98 88 76 95 87 96 91
10 Pedro Alvarez, 3B, PIT 93 81 91 92 95 66 88 88 89 93 87.6
11 Madison Bumgarner, P, SF 87 98 96 84 80 73 90 87 78 91 86.4
12 Dustin Ackley, OF, SEA 90 83 49 90 89 93 95 83 95 89 85.6
13 Justin Smoak, 1B, TEX 88 70 93 84 84 92 86 79 92 87 85.5
14 Martin Perez, P, TEX 84 66 88 86 86 94 61 92 75 80 81.2
15 Alcides Escobar, SS, MIL 89 95 70 72 82 47 78 81 90 84 78.8
16 Chris Carter, 1B, OAK 73 76 85 90 68 84 75 76 78 78.33
17 Domonic Brown, OF, PHI 86 76 36 82 77 87 92 82 77 88 78.3
18 Wade Davis, P, TB 67 90 65 88 67 86 59 84 73 79 75.8
19 Jeremy Hellickson, P, TB 83 61 82 89 88 84 58 91 24 85 74.5
20 Aroldis Chapman, P, CIN 79 72 40 87 91 85 65 69 71 73.22
21 Logan Morrison, 1B, FLA 81 75 83 77 51 80 66 50 82 86 73.1
22 Brett Wallace, 1B, TOR 74 91 74 54 57 81 79 73 72 73 72.8
23 Starlin Castro, SS, CHC 85 68 57 68 64 89 57 90 65 83 72.6
24 Micheal Taylor, OF, OAK 72 64 38 79 81 77 81 63 88 75 71.8
25 Casey Kelly, P, BOS 77 69 66 60 71 83 73 77 66 65 70.7
26 Ryan Westmoreland, OF, BOS 80 62 64 87 69 67 62 74 70 70.56
27 Kyle Drabek, P, TOR 76 87 39 67 85 61 89 86 29 81 70
28 Aaron Hicks, OF, MIN 82 77 48 62 75 82 63 61 51 77 67.8
29 Christian Friedrich, P, COL 68 48 87 46 79 65 87 89 13 69 65.1
30 Derek Norris, C, WSH 63 53 56 61 73 70 68 66 70 53 63.3
31 Matt Moore, P, TB 66 84 58 75 60 21 69 67 62.5
32 Lonnie Chisenhall, 3B, CLE 70 67 60 56 58 75 70 33 60 66 61.5
33 Mike Montgomery, P, KC 62 60 47 71 65 26 64 67 49 74 58.5
34 Jarrod Parker, P, ARZ 65 40 22 49 64 85 80 35 82 58
35 Josh Bell, 3B, BAL 64 89 29 62 40 39 59 85 48 57.22
36 Tyler Matzek, P, COL 78 44 80 63 78 79 17 7 48 76 57
37 Yonder Alonso, 1B, CIN 56 78 50 49 25 71 44 84 55 56.89
38 Freddie Freeman, 1B, ATL 69 46 64 60 50 34 83 52 28 68 55.4
39 Devaris Gordon, SS, LAD 55 6 66 74 62 52 57 62 54.25
40 Dan Hudson, P, CWS 35 86 30 57 48 69 71 35 53.88
41 Jenrry Mejia, P, NYM 45 23 75 78 53 78 45 78 1 61 53.7
42 Jacob Turner, P, DET 75 77 65 76 21 11 27 72 53
43 Donavan Tate, OF, SD 48 32 92 52 72 49 64 20 45 52.67
44 Jaff Decker, OF, SD 19 68 13 27 74 80 83 52
45 Hector Rondon, P, CLE 62 84 40 50 18 57 51.83
46 Fernando Martinez, OF, NYM 24 44 73 21 28 77 68 91 30 50.67
47 Brett Lawrie, 2B, MIL 42 69 76 2 54 82 14 61 46 49.56
48 Micheal Saunders, OF, SEA 71 85 33 39 27 44 71 31 38 48.78
49 Shelby Miller, P, STL 51 49 73 8 63 63 42 41 48.75
50 Josh Vitters, 3B, CHC 31 37 70 71 72 48 12 48.71
51 Casey Crosby, P, DET 54 14 25 83 69 56 56 19 51 47.44
52 Arodys Vizcaino, P, ATL 32 34 56 58 57 47.4
53 Jhoulys Chacin, P, COL 30 10 81 59 53 75 12 80 10 45.56
54 Tanner Scheppers, P, TEX 59 8 81 33 23 70 40 40 44.25
55 Jason Castro, C, HOU 60 1 52 48 1 36 65 74 54 49 44
56 Todd Frazier, SS, CIN 58 9 50 34 35 38 45 68 59 44
57 Julio Teheran, P, ATL 50 43 44 68 38 41 27 15 60 42.89
58 Austin Jackson, OF, DET 25 71 31 52 31 36 76 3 58 42.56
59 Tim Beckham, SS, TB 34 52 26 47 72 54 24 25 41.75
60 Carlos Triunfel, SS, SEA 16 59 57 48 28 41.6
61 Wilson Ramos, C, MIN 43 41 36 59 23 35 42 47 40.75
62 Phillippe Aumont, P, PHI 8 47 23 72 52 40.4
63 Simon Castro, P, SD 44 37 53 54 55 22 14 39.86
64 Jordan Lyles, P, HOU 10 63 61 41 74 2 21 38.86
65 Aaron Crow, P KC 61 13 17 47 14 47 47 63 38.63
66 Matt Dominguez, 3B, FLA 5 39 39 55 52 38
67 Zach Britton, P, BAL 38 22 43 28 76 2 46 50 32 37.44
68 Tyler Flowers, C, CWS 41 59 72 29 43 9 34 23 26 37.33
69 Alex White, P, CLE 36 46 41 24 37 36.8
70 Mike Moustakas, 3B, KC 21 45 78 22 32 29 30 33 36.25
71 Chris Withrow, P, LAD 53 17 80 61 18 1 36 23 36.13
72 Mike Trout, OF, LAA 16 9 51 48 52 50 49 47 3 36.11
73 Mike Leake, P, CIN 29 41 28 42 29 26 40 81 7 35.89
74 Grant Green, SS, OAK 49 31 53 70 15 8 14 37 19 54 35
75 Wilmer Flores, SS, NYM 13 15 21 58 17 60 46 50 35
76 Lars Anderson, 1B, BOS 14 67 45 36 13 35
77 Jake Arrieta, P, BAL 2 73 35 55 31 11 40 53 43 5 34.8
78 Ike Davis, 1B, NYM 39 7 35 14 37 62 43 44 27 34.22
79 Zach Stewart, P, TOR 69 46 4 41 11 34.2
80 Ben Revere, OF, MIN 36 16 55 60 21 15 33.83
81 Hank Conger, C, LAA 17 55 33 47 20 49 34 13 14 39 32.1
82 Reid Brignac, SS, TB 47 24 32 27 29 31.8
83 Jared Mitchell, OF, CWS 46 14 40 6 10 46 56 31.14
84 Zack Wheeler, P, SF 52 79 10 13 17 4 37 30.29
85 Josh Reddick, OF, BOS 26 34 25 43 25 28 30.17
86 Jiovanni Mier, SS, HOU 28 61 11 4 7 51 37 42 30.13
87 James Darnell, 3B, SD 11 5 16 37 79 29.6
88 Jose Tabata, OF, PIT 65 18 11 44 33 32 8 20 28.88
89 Drew Storen, P, WSH 9 74 41 9 3 22 43 28.71
90 Kyle Gibson, P, MIN 40 11 30 12 15 64 28.67
91 Nick Hagadone, P, BOS 57 54 10 1 8 36 27.67
92 Jay Jackson, P, CHC 3 38 32 51 10 26.8
93 Ryan Kalish, OF, BOS 56 27 25 15 6 21 25
94 Tony Sanchez, C, PIT 22 23 26 19 6 26 59 4 23.13
95 Brett Jackson, OF, CHC 27 5 19 29 18 19.6
96 Trevor Reckling, P, LAA 2 12 1 9 24 3 34 12.14