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Pre-Training Camp Fantasy Football News and Notes

July 21, 2015 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

Here is a recap of key NFL news and notes from the last two weeks potentially impacting the fantasy football value of the players mentioned and their teammates. It’s been pretty quiet on the news front heading into the start of training camps later this week, but a few of these items will factor in to our next projections and rankings update.

Free Agents of Interest

RB Chris Johnson
WR Reggie Wayne
TE Jermaine Gresham

Potential Roster Cuts

RB Ronnie Hillman, Broncos
WR Josh Morgan, Saints
WR Justin Hunter, Titans
TE Andrew Quarless, Packers

Arizona Cardinals

We have Michael Floyd ranked fairly high at wide receiver, wondering if he is a “year too early” candidate from high expectations heading into last season. Now it seems the fantasy community is very bullish about John Brown, who admittedly is receiving positive reports from working out with QB Carson Palmer. This is a situation to monitor closely through training camp.

Atlanta Falcons

WR Leonard Hankerson could assume the third wideout spot ahead of rookie Justin Hardy, who could be eased into action. Hankerson is reunited with Kyle Shanahan from their days together with the Washington Redskins.

Baltimore Ravens

If the Ravens don’t add a veteran receiver, then keep an eye on the progress of rookie Breshad Perriman vs. Marlon Brown to be the starter opposite Steve Smith.

Buffalo Bills

Praise for QB Tyrod Taylor out of Bills camp, and given the questionable competition in front of him, these reports have some merit. What the heck, I just added Taylor in a deep dynasty league, dropping Texans QB prospect Tom Savage.

TE MarQueis Gray is excited about the offense for the tight ends. Who? Exactly, but if what Gray is selling has some substance, then it is a good sign for the fantasy prospects of teammate Charles Clay.

Chicago Bears

The Bears are apparently excited about rookie RB Jeremy Langford due to his speed and all-around ability. Expect a heavy workload for Matt Forte, but it’s always good to know a team’s main RB backup if the starter goes down. Langford could be it for the Bears ahead of Ka’Deem Carey and Jacquizz Rodgers.

Cleveland Browns

Some confirmation Isaiah Crowell is expected to be the starter, but reports are the Browns will ride the “hot hand” and Duke Johnson should be used as the primary third down receiving back.

Per Browns beat writer Nathan Zegura, WR Taylor Gabriel will push to be a starter in this offense, ahead of Brian Hartline, with Andrew Hawkins the third down and slot receiver.

Dallas Cowboys

RB Darren McFadden is expected to open training camp as the backup behind anticipated starter Joseph Randle. It should be a good training camp battle to determine the depth chart come Week 1.

WR Terrance Williams received positive reviews from his position coach, and looks like a good value at his current ADP. Second year player Devin Street is another name to keep in mind amongst Cowboys receivers. He worked with the starters in OTAs in place of an absent Dez Bryant.

Denver Broncos

Report: Cody Latimer is the third wide receiver. Fact: We already knew that.

Detroit Lions

The battle is on for … backup QB! Kellen Moore will challenge Dan Orlovsky for the right to back up starter Matthew Stafford.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Positive reports that RB T.J. Yeldon is picking up the offense quickly. The team appears keen to make him the lead back.

Miami Dolphins

WR DeVante Parker is on track for the active roster Week 1, per a Miami Herald report. He is recovering from foot surgery and appears likely to miss at least some of training camp and the preseason.

Minnesota Vikings

WR Jarius Wright is expected to play the slot in 3-WR sets, further reducing the value of Cordarelle Patterson.

New Orleans Saints

Free agent TE Jermaine Gresham was offered a contract, indicating low confidence in current options Josh Hill or Ben Watson. Gresham is also expected to visit the Arizona Cardinals.

New York Giants

The Giants indicate that training camp will provide clarity sorting out the roles for their backfield trio of Rashad Jennings, Shane Vereen and Andre Williams.

Seattle Seahawks

There are positive vibes out of Seattle for rookie WR Tyler Lockett. Given the sketchy depth chart, it would be nice if someone established themselves as a reliable fantasy option at wide receiver on this team.

St. Louis Rams

WR Brian Quick is recovering from a pretty serious shoulder injury. He isn’t a lock to participate at the start of training camp, the ESPN report instead indicating Quick “could” be ready for Week 1.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rookie Kenny Bell is competing with Louis Murphy for the starting slot receiver spot in training camp.

TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins is a name with some building optimism in the fantasy community. Positive reports from OTAs, but there are already a bunch of mouths to feed in this offense.

Tennessee Titans

WR Justin Hunter was arrested July 20 for assault. As a result we’ve added him to the “potential roster cut” list at the top of this post.

Washington Redskins

TE Niles Paul is expected to start if (when?) Jordan Reed struggles with injuries again this year.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Cleveland Browns Team Report

July 6, 2015 By Dave Leave a Comment

The Cleveland Browns ran the ball well as a team last year, but which player to bet on for fantasy is a tough call. Isaiah Crowell (upper-left) is the current front-runner, while rookie Duke Johnson (upper-right) is a better pass catcher, while Terrance West (bottom) logged the most carries last season.

The Cleveland Browns ran the ball well as a team last year, but which player to bet on for fantasy is a tough call. Isaiah Crowell (upper-left) is the current front-runner, while rookie Duke Johnson (upper-right) is a better pass catcher, while Terrance West (bottom) logged the most carries last season.

QB Josh McCown

Despite turning the ball over 18 times in 11 starts last season for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Browns committed to McCown as their starting quarterback, signing him to a three-year, $14-million contract that contained $6.3-million in guarantees. This despite the fact they selected Johnny Manziel in the 1st round of last year’s NFL Draft. At 35 years of age and a career backup, McCown takes over an offense that struggled mightily throwing the ball in 2014, but showed some potential rushing. Josh Gordon will miss all of 2015 due to a suspension and tight end Jordan Cameron signed with the Miami Dolphins in the offseason, leaving McCown’s main receiving options as fellow newcomers Dwayne Bowe, Brian Hartline and Robert Housler, plus returning veteran Andrew Hawkins. The Browns will compete for worst passing game in the NFL this season.

QB Johnny Manziel

Having flamed out spectacularly as a rookie in 2014, Manziel entered a rehab facility in the offseason in order to straighten out his personal life and hopefully his professional life as well. After struggling in the preseason, Manziel was relegated to a backup role behind Brian Boyer before starting a couple of late season games which basically proved the Browns were correct in keeping him nailed to the bench. While Manziel’s efforts to fix the issues that ail him should be commended, the expectation is that he will enter 2015 behind Josh McCown, although it would certainly rate as a shock if the Browns don’t give him a couple of starts at some point. Either way, the truth is that Manziel lacks the weapons necessary to make him a viable fantasy option. He is only roster worthy in dynasty formats, and he has done nothing at this point to prove that he has a bright future in the league.

RB Isaiah Crowell

Undrafted coming out of college due to off the field concerns, Crowell emerged as the Browns leading rusher during the second half of his rookie season, carrying the ball 148 times for 607 yards and eight touchdowns. While that was a reasonably impressive feat, the truth is that Crowell lacks upside as a rusher and is limited in the passing game due to his poor route running and lack of ability in pass protection. Lacking speed, Crowell relies on his size and is a punishing runner who has proven to be a solid short yardage runner. However, he has little ability to make tacklers miss and will enter training camp in a dogfight with fellow second year player Terrance West and rookie Duke Johnson for playing time. Given the sorry state of the Browns offense, Crowell rates as a low end RB3 provided he opens the season as the team’s starting running back.

RB Duke Johnson

Although the Browns seem to have found a pair of solid rookie running backs last season in Isaiah Crowell and Terrence West, they went to the well again at the position in this year’s draft, drafting Miami-Florida product Duke Johnson in the 3rd round. Johnson has some serious agility skills, but in Cleveland he will likely operate as a change of pace, receiving back behind Crowell and West in an offense that will struggle to move the ball. At 5’9” and 206 pounds, Johnson doesn’t possess feature back size and Browns coaches have indicated they envision him in a Giovani Bernard type role, which clearly limits his upside. However, both Crowell and West struggled with their consistency as rookies so there is a chance that Johnson emerges from the pack to earn 12-15 touches per game. The odds of that are low so we consider Johnson little more than a late round flyer in redraft formats and a mid-tier prospect in dynasty formats.

RB Terrance West

Taken in the 3rd round of last year’s draft, West entered the season in a backup role to Ben Tate, took over as the team’s starter when Tate was released and finished the season splitting time with Isaiah Crowell. The 5’9”, 225 pound Towson State product was a bell cow type runner in college but his lack of consistency and refusal to simply take the yards that were there landed him in the doghouse at times as a rookie as his workload fluctuated widely from week to week. He will fight with Crowell and rookie Duke Johnson for touches this season and rates as the least intriguing option out of the trio of young running backs. Crowell is clearly a 1st and 2nd down downhill runner who looks to punish opposing defenders. Johnson possesses potentially game breaking abilities in the passing game and is an elusive when rushing the ball. The truth is that West is likely the team’s second best option behind Crowell in terms of rushing the ball and second best receiving option out of the backfield behind Johnson. However, he does possess some talent and given Crowell’s off the field issues, West holds some appeal in dynasty formats. In redraft formats, monitor West in the preseason to determine if he is worthy of a late round flyer.

WR Dwayne Bowe

Cut loose by the Kansas City Chiefs after stringing together three consecutive seasons where his production didn’t match his salary cap hit, Bowe was signed by the Browns in the offseason and joins a wide receiver depth chart that rates amongst the worst in the league. In Cleveland, Bowe will battle with the likes of Brian Hartline, Andrew Hawkins and Rob Housler for targets. That’s the good news. The bad news is that it is fair to ask whether, at 30 years of age (31 in September), Bowe has enough left in the tank to take advantage of the opportunity. Not helping matters is the Browns quarterback situation. Bowe failed to catch a single touchdown last year and has just 13 touchdowns in the last four seasons. While he has a decent change to emerge as a WR3 in PPR formats given his expected volume of targets, Bowe rates as a WR4-5 in standard scoring formats.

WR Brian Hartline

After posting back to back 1,000 yards seasons with the Dolphins in 2012 and 2013, Hartline crash landed last season, catching just 39 of his 63 targets for 474 yards and a pair of touchdowns as Miami made rookie Jarvis Landry a bigger part of their offense. Cut loose by the Dolphins, Hartline landed in Cleveland where he will enter training camp listed as a starter opposite Dwayne Bowe. At first glance, that sounds promising. However, we expect Hartline’s role and production with the Browns to mimic his 2014 season in Miami. Bowe figures to lead the team in targets with slot receiver Andrew Hawkins following close behind and tight end Rob Housler likely soaking up another 60-80 looks in the passing game. Hartline should only be rostered in the deepest leagues and even then we give him only a lukewarm endorsement.

WR Andrew Hawkins

In his first season in Cleveland, Hawkins emerged as Cleveland’s most productive receiver, posting career highs in receptions with 63 and yards with 824 while scoring two touchdowns. Unfortunately, it took him 112 targets to muster that production meaning his completion to target ratio was unimpressive for a slot receiver. With the Browns once again featuring one of the league’s least impressive depth charts at wide receiver, Hawkins should be line for plenty of targets once again in 2015. The issue is whether he will produce enough to have fantasy value. Last season is a pretty clear indictment of his fantasy prospects. Given his lack of touchdowns production, we rate Hawkins as nothing more than a late round flyer in standard scoring formats and a somewhat more intriguing option in PPR formats.

WR Vince Mayle

While several teams in the league were stocking their wide receiver depth charts based on the abundance of receiving talent found in the last two rookie drafts, the Browns waited until the 4th round of this year’s draft to select Vince Mayle. In Mayle, the Browns gain a possession receiver who lacks the deep speed to threaten defenses and that limits his upside. That being said, only declining veterans Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline stand in Mayle’s way of earning a spot in the starting lineup, given that Andrew Hawkins and Taylor Gabriel lack the size to be consistent weapons on the outside. Mayle rates as a low end dynasty prospect and waiver wire material in redraft formats.

WR Travis Benjamin

A 2012 4th round pick, Benjamin finally showed some playmaking ability in 2014, posting a career year with 37 receptions for 629 yards and a touchdown. While the average yards per reception of 17.0 was impressive, his inability to post more than one touchdown was noteworthy as was his less than impressive completion to target rate of 50.7%. It is his lack of efficiency as a diminutive player best used out of the slot that figures to relegate him to a minor role going forward. In truth, Benjamin benefited from circumstance in 2014 as injuries and suspensions ravaged the Browns receivers. We expect Benjamin to enter the season ranked 4th on the depth chart and of little value to fantasy owners.

WR Josh Gordon

Out for the year, folks. Worth a stash in dynasty leagues although there is little evidence to support the narrative that Gordon is getting his life back on track.

TE Robert Housler

After four non-descript seasons with the Arizona Cardinals, Housler joins the Browns in 2015 where he has essentially been handed the starting position at tight end left open when Jordan Cameron signed with Miami in the offseason. Let’s consider that somewhat odd given that he caught nine of 17 targets for 129 yards in his final season in Arizona although it is also fair to note that he was miscast in Bruce Arians’ offense which doesn’t feature the tight end position. In Cleveland, Housler will compete for targets with the likes of Dwayne Bowe, Brian Hartline and Andrew Hawkins which gives him a chance for decent production in 2015. However, the quarterback situation and Housler’s inability to produce on a consistent basis four years into his career render him little more than a TE2, although his opportunity does make him a little more intriguing than some of the other options available at that point in fantasy drafts.

Also see: Cleveland Browns IDP Team Report | Baltimore Ravens Team Report

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Moving Up, Moving Down: Week 4 – Struggling Packers, Emerging Rookie Receivers

September 23, 2014 By Dave Leave a Comment

Carolina Panthers wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin (13) makes a one handed catch as Detroit Lions cornerback Rashean Mathis (31) tries to cover him during game action between the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The Panthers win 24-7 over the Lions. September 14, 2014; Photo: Jim Dedmon/Icon Sportswire

Dave has a feeling Carolina Panthers rookie WR Kelvin Benjamin is going to be in his Moving Up category on a weekly basis from here on out. Hard to argue. Kid looks really good. Photo: Icon Sportswire

QUARTERBACKS

MOVING UP

Kirk Cousins, Redskins
From RGIII’s backup to potential QB2 for fantasy purposes to potential QB1 in a couple of weeks. This week, Cousins lit up what will likely be regarded as a lower tier secondary by season’s end, passing for 427 yards and three touchdowns with a pick against the Eagles.

Austin Davis, Rams
With offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer shocking the world and calling a few deep passes, Davis posted the 5th most fantasy points amongst quarterbacks this week courtesy of his 327 yard, three touchdown performance. Sure, he threw a brutal pick-six to Bruce Carter but his other interception was a necessary late game heave that you can’t fault him for. While the Rams have no major stars at wide receiver or tight end, they do possess a plethora of solid options that all bring something different to the table. If Schottenheimer, keeps the training wheels in the garage, Davis could be half decent in 2014, assuming head coach Jeff Fisher doesn’t give the keys back to Shaun Hill (ugh!).

MOVING DOWN

Aaron Rodgers, Packers
I’m sure he will bust out this week and make me look like a fool for putting him as Moving Down but the facts are that Rodgers is currently the 12th rated fantasy quarterback with less than 20 PPG. If he can’t light up a completely decimated Bears secondary this week, then that’s solid proof that the Packers offense isn’t what we expected it to be.

RUNNING BACKS

MOVING UP

Donald Brown, Chargers
Ryan Mathews was lost last week with a sprained MCL. Danny Woodhead was lost for the season this week and rookie Marion Grice was plucked off the Chargers practice squad by the Arizona Cardinals. That leaves Brown, rookie undrafted free agent Branden Oliver and whatever veteran they sign off the street holding down the fort until Mathews returns. Brown figures to get 15-20 touches a week until then. Unfortunately, he had just 62 yards this week on 31 carries.

Lorenzo Taliaferro, Ravens
With Bernard Pierce out of the lineup with a thigh injury, Taliaferro split the workload with Justin Forsett this week against the Browns. He played more on run downs with Forsett hogging the receiving action. Against a solid Browns run defense, Taliaferro finished up with 91 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries. While it hasn’t been completely confirmed, it does seem like the Ravens aren’t necessarily sold on Pearce although we do expect he will remain the starter this week against the Panthers. However, Taliaferro is definitely a name to monitor, especially in dynasty formats.

Alfred Blue, Texans
Arian Foster has some serious hamstring problems and with him out of the lineup this past week, Blue locked down the backup spot with 88 yards on 14 touches against the Giants. Just don’t go thinking Blue has Ben Tate type of ability. If Foster is healthy, he will hog the touches but Blue is definitely a must have handcuff for Foster owners.

DeAngelo Williams, Panthers
Williams missed Week 3 with a thigh injury but with both Jonathan Stewart and Mike Tolbert out for Week 4, and Fozzy Whitaker dealing with a quad issue, Williams figures to get plenty of touches against the Ravens.

MOVING DOWN

Eddie Lacy, Packers
Can you say sophomore slump? Lacy is averaging a measly 3.1 yards per carry with 113 yards on 36 carries. Dating back to last season, Lacy has averaged under 4.0 yards per carry in eight of his last 11 games.

Zac Stacy, Rams
First Benny Cunningham started eating into Stacy’s touches and now Trey Watts is as well. Let’s face it – the Rams are not sold on Stacy as their long term starter at running back. Preseason predictions that he was a volume play were bang on and it says here that the volume is about to start drying up.

WIDE RECEIVERS

MOVING UP

Jordan Matthews, Eagles
With preseason reports indicating the Eagles had a draft day steal on their hands with Matthews, it wasn’t altogether surprising that his breakout performance came just three games into his rookie season. Matthews looked like a future star against the Redskins as he hauled in eight of his nine targets for 59 yards and a pair of touchdowns. While Washington sports a faulty secondary and Matthews remains behind Riley Cooper on the depth chart, it’s worth noting that both players have been targeted 17 times this season.

Cecil Shorts, Jaguars
While Allen Hurns and Allen Robinson have flashed during the first three games of the season, the Jaguars group of young receivers was also called out by the team’s coaching staff. This group cries out for a veteran presence and Shorts brings that to the table, at least when he’s healthy enough to play. He totalled five catches for 35 yards and a score this week and should be a target machine moving forward. Just don’t expect a huge touchdown count given the team’s struggles on offense, particularly along the offensive line.

Kelvin Benjamin, Panthers
I get the feeling that this man child will be Moving Up every week this year. With 253 receiving yards, he could top 1,000 yards as a rookie and it is already clear that he will be garner a fair number of red zone targets.

Andrew Hawkins and Miles Austin, Browns
Three games into the season, it appears that Hawkins will finish 2014 as a PPR demon. The free agent signee hasn’t disappointed with 21 receptions for 244 yards. After a Week 1 dud, Austin has 12 receptions for 95 yards in his last two games, finding the end zone in each contest. With the Browns passing offense better than advertised, there is some surprising fantasy value amongst the team’s wide receivers.

Jeremy Kerley, Jets
Outside of Eric Decker, Kerley is quarterback Geno Smith’s most trusted option in the passing game. And Decker is having some hamstring issues. With his target count moving from five to eight to 11, Kerley just might be PPR gold by season’s end.

MOVING DOWN

Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals
As predicted in our preseason rankings, Fitz has clearly been usurped by Michael Floyd. We just didn’t predict this level of drop off as he has caught just 10 of his 21 targets for 107 yards and no touchdowns.

TIGHT ENDS

MOVING UP

Owen Daniels, Texans
While Daniels bombed this week with one catch for eight yards, there are better days ahead. He looked solid in Week 1 and 2 with nine receptions for 64 yards and a pair of touchdowns in limited action, but he moves to the starting line up with Dennis Pitta out for the year. Daniels rates as a low end TE1 over the balance of the season.

MOVING DOWN

Kyle Rudolph, Vikings
Out for six weeks.

Dennis Pitta, Ravens
Out for the rest of 2014.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

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