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Preseason Week 2 Fantasy Football News and Notes

August 19, 2015 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

Benjamin about to be carted off. Left knee. pic.twitter.com/EBWly497EL

— Joe Person (@josephperson) August 19, 2015

Here is a recap of up to the minute (Kelvin Benjamin!) NFL news and notes since our last update before Week 1 of preseason. We are still a day away from more game action but we’ll call it Preseason Week 2 news and notes. These will factor into our next projections and rankings changes, later today or tomorrow.

Free Agents of Interest

Ray Rice

Arizona Cardinals

The team signed RB Chris Johnson to a one-year contract with minimal guarantees, heavier on the incentives. We’ll slot him in behind Andre Ellington and rookie David Johnson on the depth chart for now. We aren’t that interested in drafting CJ, unless ridiculously cheap with a roster spot to burn perhaps, but it’s a signal to be even less confident in the entire Cards RB corps.

Baltimore Ravens

WR Breshad Perriman continues to miss practice after practice (12 straight as of Tuesday). Twitter reports say he had an MRI and it came back normal, and the Ravens expect him back in about a week. The missed time does not inspire a lot of confidence Perriman will have a significant fantasy impact this season.

Buffalo Bills

LeSean McCoy limped off the field Tuesday with a hamstring injury. MRI results were negative (or should I say results were positive?), but looks like he’s out for preseason and plans to be ready for a Week 1 return.

Fred Jackson, Anthony Dixon, Bryce Brown and the latest, rookie Karlos Williams, are all missing practice due to injuries. Educated guess is Jackson is still the RB2 to own in this backfield. With all of these injuries Ray Rice’s name keeps popping up as a possible signing.

Listened to a Bills reporter Sal Capaccio on the radio Monday say the QB competition is quickly becoming a two-player race between Matt Cassel and Tyrod Taylor. E.J. Manuel is a distant third. None are worth drafting except in deep start two QB leagues at this point, of course.

Carolina Panthers

I apparently can’t get this update written fast enough! Kelvin Benjamin went down during practice this morning (Wednesday) with an apparent knee injury. One of those didn’t touch anyone when it happened injuries, which are usually not good. Waiting initial results. Worst case, torn ACL and out for the year. Best case, simple sprain or tweak of the knee. Outcome could have a major impact on rookie WR Devin Funchess (who also tweaked him hamstring, by the way), Cam Newton and Greg Olsen.

Update August 20: Confirmed, Benjamin tore his ACL and is out for the season. We’ll distribute his hefty targets between rookie Devin Funchess, Jerricho Cotchery and Corey (Philly) Brown plus Greg Olsen, with the remainder falling into a generic “other player” bucket (like Ted Ginn, Jr. or Jarrett Boykin). Do not draft Benjamin. Funchess’ ADP will rise sharply. Cam down. Olsen a slight bump perhaps. He was already projected and ranked pretty high.

Chicago Bears

Rookie WR Kevin White is out for an extended period after requiring surgery on his shin due a stress fracture. He’ll go on regular season PUP at a minimum, missing at least the first six games, and his entire rookie season is in jeopardy. Do not draft.

Alshon Jeffery has a calf injury but it isn’t considered serious. There is a little risk here but on the plus side Jeffery’s targets could be off the charts with White out indefinitely.

Dallas Cowboys

RB Darren McFadden was removed from the PUP list this week, but pretty clear this is Joseph Randle’s job to lose at this point because McFadden is so far behind.

Denver Broncos

Reports are there is no clear backup or handcuff pick for starting RB C.J. Anderson between Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman. Both looked good in the first preseason game. Hard to imagine it will be Hillman when we hit the regular season.

Emmanuel Sanders is missing practice with the injury du jour, a strained hamstring. He is doubtful for their next preseason game.

Houston Texans

Starting QB watch: Brian Hoyer started the first preseason game. Ryan Mallett will start the second. It is still a coin flip call with no timeline on a decision.

Jacksonville Jaguars

WR Marqise Lee continues to miss practice with a hamstring injury. Allen Hurns should start opposite Allen Robinson at the beginning of the regular season.

Miami Dolphins

DeVante Parker appears 2-3 weeks away from returning to the team. He could make an impact this season and is worth the late pick in redraft leagues he currently costs as your second or third bench WR.

Damien Williams, not rookie Jay Ajayi, holds down the backup RB spot to Lamar Miller at this time. Ajayi only recently returned to practice.

Minnesota Vikings

The team lost RT Phil Loadholt to a torn Achilles’. While this didn’t prevent me from taking Adrian Peterson as the second overall pick in a recent moderate stakes redraft league, it isn’t good news for the Vikings running game and I thought worth mentioning.

New Orleans Saints

C.J. Spiller had knee surgery recently, described as a “maintenance” procedure to clean things up, and is expected to be out 2-4 weeks. That puts him in line to return for the start of the season, but it is an ominous sign for a RB with a bit of a track record being dinged up, and getting drafted relatively high on a team with other RB options. Moving down and marking Spiller as an “avoid” in our next rankings update. Khiry Robinson is one to watch, perhaps even target.

New York Giants

Rueben Randle is missing practice with knee tendinitis, while reports of Victor Cruz’s recovery continue to be positive. Cruz should be drafted ahead of Randle at this point. If Cruz is healthy enough to start the regular season, and it seems to be trending that way, then might as well leave Randle for the waiver wire in most leagues.

Philadelphia Eagles

TE Zach Ertz required surgery for a sports hernia and will sit out the rest of the preseason. Strangely enough, this happened not long after my last news and notes update in which I expressed buyer’s remorse drafting Ertz. He is expected back for Week 1 (albeit that seems a little optimistic) and we already moved him down our rankings slightly and slapped an “avoid” icon on him.

Washington Redskins

The Redskins TE position is decimated. Niles Paul (ankle) and Logan Paulsen (toe) are both out for the season, while Jordan Reed is, as usual, missing time due to injury (hamstring). Reed is hopeful to play in the team’s third preseason game. He’s a nice late flier pick, but health is a major concern.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Preseason Week 1 Fantasy Football News and Notes

August 13, 2015 By Draft Buddy Leave a Comment

Fantasy players couldn't wait for TE Eric Ebron to get drafted last season to showcase his skills in the NFL. After a disappointing rookie season, now he's almost a forgotten man.

Fantasy players couldn’t wait for TE Eric Ebron to get drafted last season to showcase his skills in the NFL. After a disappointing rookie season, now he’s almost a forgotten man.

Here is a recap of key NFL news and notes since our last update a week ago, and to get us ready for Week 1 of preseason games. These items will factor into our latest projections and rankings changes. The starters shouldn’t play a lot in this opening week of preseason, but regardless, fingers crossed no major injuries!

Free Agents of Interest

RB Chris Johnson
RB Pierre Thomas
RB Ray Rice

Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals apparently made a contract offer to free agent RB Chris Johnson. They’ve got injuries in the backfield, so this might be a lets get through the preseason signing (if he agrees to sign), or it could be more significant, an indication the team is not that happy with or confident in Andre Ellington?

Buffalo Bills

Karlos Williams is a new name to keep some tabs on out of the Bills backfield. Fred Jackson is banged up and Williams apparently passed Bryce Brown on the depth chart. The Bills are expected to run a lot, and you’ll want to know next man up if Shady isn’t up to that much workload.

Dallas Cowboys

RB Joseph Randle seems more secure in the starting spot than he did a couple of weeks ago, as he’s impressed while Darren McFadden and Lance Dunbar are injured. If Randle doesn’t play much in the preseason take it as a good sign the team is saving him for the carries that matter.

Detroit Lions

TE Eric Ebron is getting positive reports out of camp. We’ll see how active he is in the Lions preseason games, but it is interesting to note how excited fantasy players were about this guy as a rookie, and how completely disinterested they are now. I haven’t drafted him yet – not a lot of leagues will there be a need to draft a second or third TE, which is where he’s getting drafted – but smells like a value pick with nice upside potential.

New York Giants

Odell Beckham Jr. (hamstring) is expected to play in the Giants first preseason game, while Victor Cruz (patellar tendon) did more work in a scrimmage versus the Cincinnati Bengals that initially expected, and Rueben Randle (knee tendonitis) is hobbled missing practice and might play in the first preseason game. No projection changes, but a quick update of these key receivers.

New York Jets

A week after we upgrade Geno Smith based on positive reports out of training camp, he gets his jaw broken in the locker room from the fist of a previously unknown linebacker. Ryan Fitzpatrick now takes the season projections and Smith drops down in the rankings to our unranked but still on the fantasy radar section.

Philadelphia Eagles

TE Zach Ertz received a compliment for improved blocking recently, but Brent Celek is still around and more than likely the better of the two, which could once again limit snaps for Ertz. I only really bring this up because I drafted Ertz earlier this week and feel like I reached a bit on him. I took him at TE7 at the top of the 9th round. Buyer’s remorse, I would have been better served going RB or WR there and grabbing Delanie Walker (drafted TE10, bottom of 11th) or Jason Witten (TE11, bottom of 12th). In fact, I did take Witten and wonder now if he’s going to start for me more than Ertz.

Pittsburgh Steelers

K Shaun Suisham is done for the year with a torn ACL from last week’s Hall of Fame game. Former New Orleans Saints K Garrett Hartley was signed. If you are drafting early, especially in a draft-only (no waivers, no roster moves) league, double-check the job security of your targeted kicker before taking one.

St. Louis Rams

On the heels of a handful of “he’s progressing well” reports, the latest on RB Todd Gurley is he won’t be active to start the season, and Tre Mason likely to open the season as their unrivaled starter. This narrative makes a lot more sense given the severity and timing of Gurley’s injury and required rehab. We’ve got them projected with identical carries and we’ll stick with that. Not keen on drafting either guy really. Gurley is going way too high. This news might cool it off a bit, but he’ll continue to go too high for us.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

Arizona Cardinals Team Report

July 29, 2015 By Dave Leave a Comment

Arizona Cardinals hope QB Carson Palmer can remain healthy in 2015, and to help those odds the team invested heavily along its offensive line and drafted a big running back to protect him.

Arizona Cardinals hope QB Carson Palmer can remain healthy in 2015, and to help those odds the team invested heavily along its offensive line and drafted a big running back to protect him.

QB Carson Palmer

At 35 years of age and entering his 13th NFL season, the biggest issue with Palmer isn’t his productivity – it’s his health. Solid when he was in the lineup, Palmer just wasn’t in the starting lineup nearly enough in 2014 as he missed three early season games with a shoulder injury before suffering a season-ending ACL injury during Week 10. During his six starts, he threw for 1,626 yards with 11 touchdowns and just three interceptions, while averaging a very respectable 20.8 PPG. The Cardinals hope that he can remain healthy in 2015, and to help those odds the team invested heavily along its offensive line as well as added rookie 3rd round pick David Johnson to its group of skill position players. At wide receiver, Palmer has plenty of talent to throw to in the form of wily veteran Larry Fitzgerald as well as a pair of promising receivers in Michael Floyd and John Brown. If Palmer can remain healthy for 16 games then he rates as an upper tier QB2.

RB Andre Ellington

Taken in the 3rd round of the 2013 NFL Draft, the 5’9”, 199 pound Ellington displayed plenty of playmaking ability as a rookie, gaining 652 rushing yards and three touchdowns while averaging 5.5 yards per carry and adding another 371 yards and a score on 39 receptions. Given his solid production, the Cardinals moved him into the starting lineup and he shot up fantasy cheat sheets given his breakout potential. Sure enough, Ellington’s diminutive stature and overuse proved to be his undoing as he missed four games due to injuries and saw his yards per carry plummet to 3.3, although some of that can be blamed on the team’s porous offensive line. In 2015, Ellington is slated to remain the team’s starter but the Cardinals figure to curtail his workload, having drafted David Johnson in the 3rd round of this year’s draft. Since Ellington is ill-suited to handle major touches and he is unlikely to warrant touches at the goal line, he rates as a mid-tier RB3 this year. And given his current ADP in the middle of the 4th round, he is being drafted as a mid to lower tier RB2 making him one of the most overvalued running backs as training camps open.

RB David Johnson

With Andre Ellington failing to prove himself as a legitimate starting running back, the Cardinals added to their backfield depth by selecting David Johnson in the 3rd round of this year’s draft. The 6’3”, 225 pound Northern Iowa product would seem to be the perfect complement to the diminutive Ellington, but his scouting report indicated that his biggest failing in college was running between the tackles. In fact, as an outside runner and capable pass catcher, Johnson’s skill set is very similar to Ellington’s despite the differences in their stature. While that doesn’t sound overly promising, it wouldn’t be a surprise if Johnson overtook Ellington in the starting lineup at some point given Ellington’s struggles as a runner last season (3.3 yards per carry). At worse, Johnson figures to spell Ellington on a regular basis and he also has an opportunity to emerge as the team’s short yardage back. We rate Johnson as an above average dynasty prospect and a lower tier RB3 with upside in 2015 who should approach 200 touches.

RB Stepfan Taylor

Taken in the 5th round of the 2013 draft, Taylor has failed to carve out a significant role in the Cardinals backfield during his two years in the league. A bit of a bowling ball at 5’9” and 214 pounds, he has averaged just 3.3 yards per carry and found the end zone just once in 99 carries. Since the Cardinals have seemingly given up on him in favor of Andre Ellington and rookie 3rd round pick David Johnson, we suggest that you should follow suit. Taylor may not even earn a roster spot in 2015.

WR Michael Floyd

Taken in the 1st round of the 2012 NFL Draft, Floyd emerged as a consistent offensive weapon in his second season in the league, catching 65 passes for 1,041 yards and five touchdowns. A big play threat at 6’3”, 225 pounds with solid speed, Floyd was expected to build on his 2013 production with a big year last season. It never happened as Floyd was regressed, in part due to his own inconsistency but also because of the Cardinals poor quarterback play. As their main option on deep passes, Floyd simply had too many uncatchable balls thrown his way. With Carson Palmer back from the ACL injury that ended his season early in 2014, there is hope that Floyd will emerge as an upper tier fantasy option in 2015. But head coach Bruce Arians needs to help that out by making Floyd a bigger part of the team’s offense. He was targeted just 99 times last season and was targeted five or fewer times in seven of his last 11 games last season. With Floyd sharing the target count almost equally with Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown, he rates as a mid-tier WR3 but a huge season could be in store if Arians makes the decision to feature him in the Cardinals offense.

WR Larry Fitzgerald

At 31 years of age (32 on opening day) and entering his 12th year in the league, the sun is beginning to set on Fitzgerald’s career. While the Cardinals were willing to restructure his contract so that he could finish his career in Arizona, signing him to a two-year, $22-million contract, that was as much of a reflection on his outstanding career and leadership abilities as it was a reflection of his current abilities on the field. In 2014, with Carson Palmer under center for just six games and the team going through a carousal of backup quarterbacks, Fitzgerald (who missed two games himself) suffered through the worst year of his career, catching 63 of his 103 targets for 784 yards and just two touchdowns with the targets and touchdowns hitting career lows. In 2015, Fitzgerald figures to share the load at wide receiver nearly equally with Michael Floyd and John Brown, as was the case last season. While his production last season was disappointing, the truth is that a rebound season for Fitzgerald isn’t out of the question provided Palmer can remain healthy. The Cardinals failed to top 20 points during their last eight games including the playoffs. Fitz is the team’s main threat in the red zone so we can view his two touchdown season from a year ago as an anomaly. A realistic view of his upside is 80 receptions for 900 yards and 7-8 touchdowns, which is lower tier WR2 territory. Consider Fitzgerald an upper tier WR4 with upside.

WR John Brown

Taken in the 3rd round of last year’s draft, Brown wasn’t expected to make much of an impact in his rookie season until he put together an impressive preseason. In this case, the production matched the hype as Brown produced a solid rookie season despite quarterback Carson Palmer appearing in just six games. Brown caught 48 passes for 696 yards and three touchdowns while averaging 14.5 yards per reception. At 5’10” and 179 pounds, Brown doesn’t possess great size but he has blazing speed, having run a sub-4.4 40. As a rookie, Brown was targeted a healthy 103 times, the same amount as Larry Fitzgerald and four more times than Michael Floyd. Unfortunately, his reception to target percentage of 46.6% left something to be desired but that wasn’t helped by the Cardinals revolving door situation at quarterback last season. An ascending talent, Brown should benefit from better quarterback play in 2015 and given his big play ability, we rate him as a low end WR3 or high end WR4. And as a future replacement for Larry Fitzgerald, he is a solid option in dynasty formats.

TE Darren Fells, TE Troy Niklas and TE Jermaine Gresham

Is Arizona where tight ends come to die? No. It’s where they come to block. Bruce Arians doesn’t utilize his tight ends as receivers and, with a solid trio of wide receivers in Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd and John Brown, who can blame him? In Fells, Niklas and the recently signed Gresham, the Cardinals feature a trio of players who are similar in one way – they are all big dudes and capable blockers. This is situation to avoid for fantasy, folks. Plain and simple.

Also see: Arizona Cardinals IDP Team Report · Jacksonville Jaguars Team Report

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

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