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FanEx FAD Experts League Fantasy Football Draft Recap Continued

June 26, 2018 By Mike Leave a Comment

QB Jimmy Garoppolo, SF

The face of the San Francisco 49ers, QB Jimmy Garoppolo, doesn’t have much in the way of playing experience entering his 5th NFL season, but he is my QB1 in the FanEx FAD fantasy football draft.

The FanEx Fantasy Analysis Draft (FAD) is a 12-team, 20-round draftmasters (best ball) PPR scoring fantasy football draft that requires each participant to write analysis for their picks. I drew the sixth overall pick, and described the league and comments for Rounds 1 to 5 last week.

Draft Buddy MFL Integration

Before we dive into my next picks, here is a new video for Draft Buddy I created from this draft that shows how the integration with MyFantasyLeague.com works to pull in franchise names and, even better, draft results. It makes it so much faster to update Draft Buddy at the press of a button.

Here is part two, my picks and commentary for Rounds 6 through 12.

Rounds 6 to 12 (June 18-23)

WR Michael Crabtree, BAL

Michael Crabtree was not really on my radar very much, even though I was leaning WR with this pick – too early for a QB, no top TE remaining, RB none too exciting at this point. Looking at players such as Pierre Garcon as the main target on the 49ers, or Devante Parker as a potential breakout candidate (yet again), a review of current ADP indicated I could wait on either of those guys. Which brought me to Crabtree. Veteran savvy WR joins veteran QB in a not very talented receiving group. Joe Flacco may be a fantasy pariah, but he isn’t stupid, already stating out of OTAs, “(Crabtree’s) the guy.” Crabtree should have numerous 10+ target games, making him a quality WR3.

RB Marlon Mack, IND

Seven rounds, starter spots filled at RB, WR and TE, but not QB or the flex spot. With 8 non-QB starters, unless a top QB comes at really good value, I am happy to wait longer. In all likelihood, my flex starter will be a WR most of the time. However, a review of available players, running backs with projected decent touches are getting thinner than wide receivers with projected decent targets. Marlon Mack, come on down!

Mack is coming off a so-so rookie season and offseason shoulder surgery, but has a good opportunity with the departure of Frank Gore. He had positive runs and miserable negative yardage plays. Here is to his first year experience, and new HC Frank Reich, helping make Mack a more effective runner. Not counting on it at this point but the return of Andrew Luck (early reports are good) would be a huge boost for the whole offense.

WR Pierre Garcon, SF

Now I get my WR target I was keen for two rounds ago. I was slightly shocked to see 49ers Marquise Goodwin get drafted back in the early 7th round, and realize I might be somewhat lonely supporting the Haitian as I did this time a year ago. What it ultimately means is, he is going to be on a lot of my fantasy teams this year. Last year he got injured, but he returned good PPR value for his low draft cost – 40 catches for 500 yards in 8 games without Jimmy Garoppolo (or a team win for that matter). Kyle Shanahan is a positive influence for his WR1. Better QB. Returning from neck injury which is scary but all signs are good, and Garcon hadn’t missed a game prior to last season since 2012. As the 40th WR off the board (Goodwin was 32nd), we shall see who becomes the more consistent contributor. I like my chances with the taller, bigger, more experienced guy.

QB Jimmy Garoppolo, SF

At this point I would love to wait longer for my first QB. Note I said, “first”, not, “starter”. We are looking at a committee approach to QB for my team at this point which is ideal for a best ball league. Whomever fills the first and second QB spots we hope provide the right amount of volatility week-to-week to score one of the top collective starters at the position. Mine is the 10th different team to draft a QB and Garoppolo represents QB12 off the board (Dolfi/Walls already paired Drew Brees and Jared Goff). If I did wait longer, then I am risking not having much choice in who I select, since teams are grabbing their second. So, Jimmy G. …

Even though there are options available considered more likely to finish in the top 10-12 in season scoring (because they’ve done it before), like Philip Rivers, Big Ben, Matt Ryan, Alex Smith, drafting for top 12 is a zero-sum gain at this point. Why not draft a guy with upside who could surprise with a top 6 finish? All of his main skill players are already drafted so clearly fantasy players are high on the 49ers offense. We caught a glimpse what Garoppolo is capable of late last season. The prior four QB don’t excite me. This pick does.

QB Patrick Mahomes, KC

The writeup for this pick shouldn’t be vastly different from my prior pick, except Patrick Mahomes is clearly more risky, having made one career NFL start in a meaningless Week 17 game last season. Love the weapons on the Kansas City Chiefs. Would Andy Reid really be so careless as to hand the reigns of a competitive team over to someone with such little experience? I don’t think so. Mahomes is actually projected QB12 in this scoring by FF Today’s Mike Krueger. MK is from Kansas City and usually has a good read on the Chiefs. He clearly likes the upside of Mahomes and I do too. Happy to take the risk here over the group of QB still available – Blake Bortles, Dak Prescott, Marcus Mariota – who don’t have nearly the dynamic skill players that Mahomes does.

WR Kenny Golladay, DET

Clearly third in the pecking order on the Detroit Lions, Golladay isn’t exactly your ideal high projected target-reception guy to expect any degree of consistency from. However when veteran teammates say glowing things about a young player who flashed as a rookie last season, I take notice. From Golden Tate, “this guy can be dominant. He’s a WR1 kind of guy.” Plus, Eric Ebron is gone and there isn’t much receiving talent at TE.

RB James White, NE

“Mr. Playoffs” is still around in a very crowded backfield in New England. Dion Lewis is gone but rookie Sony Michel is aboard plus Jeremy Hill joining holdovers Rex Burkhead and Mike Gillislee. Michel should be involved – perhaps heavily – but I am okay betting against that given the rookie + Pats learning curve he has to overcome. Hill and Gillislee won’t both make the final roster, perhaps neither. White is a very good pass catcher and has the trust of the coaching staff and Tom Brady.

Final Rounds

The draft is 20 rounds but with the remaining used for kickers, defenses and depth, we will close here, but I will post my copy of Draft Buddy to the member download page so you can review all of the rosters, draft report and more. I find the positions tab particularly useful post-draft to review the rank each player was drafted at their position. For example, Jimmy Garoppolo was the 12th QB drafted in this draft, and Patrick Mahomes, QB17.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

FanEx FAD Experts League Fantasy Football Draft Recap

June 12, 2018 By Mike 2 Comments

DeAndre Hopkins, Houston Texans

Come on down, DeAndre Hopkins. You are my first pick in the 12-team, point-per-reception scoring, best-ball FanEx Fantasy Analysis Draft (FAD), at the 6th overall pick.

The FanEx Fantasy Experts League FAD – that stands for Fantasy Analysis Draft – is underway for the 2018 season. This is the first of my fantasy football experts leagues to get underway, and frankly, my first draft of the year with the exception of a couple of dynasty mocks. From the FanEx commissioner Chris Rito, “participants are expected to write a brief rationale for (their) pick.”

This is only my third year as a member of FanEx, but my first in the FAD. I always liked the concept of the FAD because I usually try in any draft – time permitting – to write draft pick comments in showcase league drafts, to provide my thought process behind the pick as opposed to simply the pick with no explanation as to why. The FAD seemed like a natural fit for me. This is a fantasy football draft recap of the FAD while it is ongoing.

League Format

FAD is structured as a draftmasters / best-ball league, meaning no trades, free agent pickups or even lineup submissions. Each week the optimal starting lineup is automatically started and scored. This is a 12-team league, starting lineup 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 K, 1 DEF, 1 RB/WR/TE and scoring standard performance plus 1 point-per-reception, 4 points per passing touchdown, -1 for interceptions. The team with the most total points at the end of the season is declared the FAD Champion. I was randomly assigned the 6th overall pick in the draft.

Round 1 (June 13)

The first pick was Todd Gurley by Team Chris Rito / Mike Nazarek. Team Chris Dolfi / Tom Walls followed that up with Le’Veon Bell. So, I need four players to decide between for my first pick. I am behind doing my projections and rankings (thanks World Cup), so I will for now defer to Draft Buddy with the FF Today projections to look at my top available options.

In doing that, I created a short Draft Buddy rules and scoring setup video for my FanEx draft.

I let the other picks before me play out – Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara and Antonio Brown – and I am up with 1.06. And the picks is…

1.06 WR DeAndre Hopkins, HOU

With all due respect to Tony Holm (drafting 5th) daring me to take RB David Johnson at this pick, I’ve been called worse than nuts before and will pass. Without panning Johnson too much, the Cardinals are undergoing a lot of changes that don’t give me a ton of confidence in the potential success of their workhorse running back.

On to DeAndre Hopkins, there are concerns about regression by his sophomore + small sample size quarterback, returning from a major knee injury, and an unsustainable target share by Nuk. Between these two top choices however I prefer the situation in Houston, and will put my faith in DeShaun Watson (early rehab reports are good), and Hopkins solidly in his prime at 26. I also echo Tony’s thoughts about WR versus RB value in this league format.

Rounds 2 to 5 (June 14-18)

The draft is going slow, which isn’t a surprise this time of year (World Cup!). At this point I will post the commentary I added to the draft report at MyFantasyLeague.com. Go there to read the commentary on picks by the other members of the league, and perhaps I will post again next week after we get through another 5-6 rounds, to assess how my team is shaping up.

2.07 WR Davante Adams, GB

Since I already drafted Hopkins in the first round, this was a bit of a tough call between Davante Adams and a running back, most likely Christian McCaffrey, as the next tier RB are getting thin-ish. One reason I typically prefer to draft near either end as opposed to the very middle of a draft is to be less restricted position-wise with every other turn a short turn around. Ultimately I chose Adams as BPA because of his situation – great QB, clear number one WR with Jordy Nelson departing – and trending performance – back-to-back double digit touchdown season entering year five at age 25. Adams is a safer pick at this point to be a major difference maker over a middling RB who could have trouble scoring.

3.06 RB Devonta Freeman, ATL

At my last pick I felt the current RB tier was getting thin, but thankfully my fellow drafters did not leave it completely bare. Enter Devonta Freeman, ranking 1st, 6th and 14th at the position 2015-2017. The slight drop off last season primarily due to the loss of OC Kyle Shanahan, an additional year to adjust to that change should help. Sign me up for the RB1 and primary pass catching RB on a team capable of being one of the top offenses in the league.

4.07 TE Evan Engram, NYG

I know I am reaching a bit here to add second year player Evan Engram, but I believe it is important to get a top tight end because of the advantage that player provides. There are not a lot of top TE to go around, and the points drop off somewhat significantly. As for Engram over Zach Ertz, it is a close call. I expect some regression from Ertz as he picks up some slack outside the passing game from the departure of Trey Burton. Engram performed well last season without Odell Beckham or Saquon Barkley. Does that open up more big play and scoring opportunities for Engram playing in what should be a much more dynamic offense? How much does he develop from his rookie season? Banking on Engram’s talent, I am positive-optimistic on those questions.

5.06 RB Derrick Henry, TEN

Derrick Henry is a tough one to peg. He’s impressed since his rookie season with 4.3 rushing yards per attempt, 11 touchdowns and shown to be a decent receiver when called upon. However, Henry played in the shadow of DeMarco Murray while fantasy players waited for something to happen to Murray so Henry could ascend to the workhorse back role and become the next Larry Johnson or Michael Turner. Yes, I’m dating myself.

Well now Murray is gone and the Tennessee Titans signed Dion Lewis to a 4-year deal. In today’s NFL, we as fantasy players almost don’t want a RB with no quality depth behind him, because the risk of overuse and injury is too great. So, Lewis’ presence provides some uncertainty to usage, but is not the worst thing in the world. Draft talent, talent usually rises to the top. Henry is a talented back reasonably priced at a mid-5th round pick.

Filed Under: Fantasy Football

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