I’m participating in another fantasy football dynasty mock draft, organized by the dudes over at Dynasty League Football. The key, huge difference in this one from last time however, is this is a start two quarterback draft.
Starting 2 QB really bumps up the value of that position, because although I generally agree to draft QB late-ish (or at least at the point of getting exceptional value), you can quickly be left out in the cold if you don’t get at least one reliable, quality QB. In a 2 QB league, if your quarterbacks are not good, you just can’t win. No two ways about it.
That said, you want to be careful and not reach too early for an average QB, passing over the studs at RB, WR and TE. Those positions still count. Once you get into the middle tiers of quarterbacks, the expected points can be pretty similar. Positions for this make believe league are 2 QB, 1 RB, 1 WR, 1 TE and 4 Flex RB/WR/TE for 9 total starters. Scoring is 1 point-per-reception.
Strategy-wise I want to get one top tier QB in the first two rounds. Drafting in the 8 spot, if I don’t get one at 8 or 17 overall, then I run the risk of very slim pickings in the third round or later. The interesting thing about a draft like this is owners can approach it a lot of different ways, and some top tier RB and WR will fall further than normal, making decisions tougher through the early stages as we build the foundation for our next great fantasy football dynasty.
Not surprisingly, five quarterbacks went in the first six picks, and all them with a good number of NFL service years in front of them with the exception of Drew Brees, who is 35. A.J. Green and Jamaal Charles were the only non-QB off the board before my pick. That leaves me with a decision between adding a top RB or WR, or taking the next best QB. Given we are already in the second tier of QB, I’d rather run the risk one comes back to me, like Russell Wilson, than reach here and miss out on a player like McCoy or Josh Gordon.
McCoy it is. I think my counterpart drafting seventh has the right idea taking one of the unquestioned top two RB off the board at this spot. I prefer McCoy to Charles by a hair. It is hard to believe this guy is only 25. As I said in the prior dynasty mock draft, “great player, great fit offense.” Not a lot of analysis needed here once I decided to pass on QB out of the gate.
Favourite Pick Round 1: 1.01 QB Aaron Rodgers, GB – Only one person can get this pick but Rodgers first overall is a no-brainer in this league, and gives this team a big advantage to start. I’m also partial to pick 1.06 QB Nick Foles, PHI.
Least Favourite Pick Round 1: 1.11 QB Peyton Manning, DEN – I love Peyton but he isn’t discounted enough for dynasty to justify taking him this high in the draft.
Russell Wilson did not make it back to me, as owner RazlDazles doubled up at QB on the end taking Matthew Stafford and Wilson. Overall the decision to pass on QB in the first round paid off as only two others were drafted, Manning and Matt Ryan, leaving me to decide between an established starter at QB in Rivers, or younger but with some red flags such as Colin Kaepernick or Robert Griffin III.
There are some great options available at other positions, namely Jimmy Graham, Demaryius Thomas and Alshon Jeffery, making it very tempting to pass on QB again, but ultimately QB is the way to go here. Rivers is the pick even with the age gap compared to the other choices. Rivers rebounded superbly last year from a down 2012 season, and I’m not expecting regression given his up and coming supporting cast of skill players to toss the ball to.
Favourite Pick Round 2: 2.11 WR Alshon Jeffery, CHI
Least Favourite Pick Round 2: 2.09 QB Robert Griffin III, WAS
Part of the thought process about being okay passing on a top WR in the prior round was not only to secure a really good QB, but because of hope to acquire this guy as my WR1. Allen had an exceptional rookie campaign. The Chargers eased him in the first three weeks last season. He still posted a 71-1,046-8 line on 104 targets, and the big stage in the NFL Playoffs didn’t phase him. Allen is the key cog in the up and coming supporting cast of skill players at Rivers’ disposal mentioned previously.
Favourite Pick Round 3: 3.12 WR Jordy Nelson, GB
Least Favourite Pick Round 3: 3.01 RB Doug Martin, TB
Thomas was a consideration last round based on his projected output, skills and youth. Although other owners will get a starting quality TE at really good value late in this draft, I still put a premium on acquiring a very top tier TE. For what Thomas brings to the table, this is a price I’m happy to pay. On the downside, Thomas can’t expect Peyton Manning to continue throwing him the ball the rest of his career. Although Manning was a huge factor in Thomas’ coming out party in 2013, I feel comfortable Thomas has the talent to stay amongst the top producing TE after Manning retires. Not to mention I’ll take top TE fantasy points from the Manning-to-Thomas connection for at least another season.
Favourite Pick Round 4: 4.04 C.J. Spiller, BUF
Least Favourite Pick Round 4: 4.01 Michael Crabtree, SF
Some really good wide receivers went ahead of this pick, including T.Y. Hilton, Larry Fitzgerald and DeSean Jackson, leaving me debating Floyd versus DeAndre Hopkins. Floyd won the debate due to him having a little more experience under his belt entering his third season, he’s a tad bigger than Hopkins, and mostly the offensive philosophy under head coach Bruce Arians. Arians is proving to be one of the top offensive minds in coaching in the NFL, the way he ramped up Andrew Luck in a very short timespan, and reincarnated Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals attack last season. Floyd will continue to be a big benefactor under Arians, and opposite Fitzgerald, and we’ll see if he can develop into an elite WR. The future looks bright. Hopkins was taken two picks later.
Favourite Pick Round 5: 5.02 T.Y. Hilton, IND
Least Favourite Pick Round 5: 5.09 QB Blake Bortles (Rookie)