Fantasy Football Overvalued, Undervalued – NFC East

The preseason marches on, and as we rocket towards real football being played, we’re already seeing values ebb and flow. Injuries are creeping in, teams are still signing significant contributors, and plans are solidifying. We even get a full slate of preseason games this weekend.

There’s no one right way to glean information out of the preseason, because every team and coach approaches it differently. So pay attention, but don’t read too much into them, either. 

With all that said, let’s dive into this week’s Over and Undervalued players!

Fantasy Football Overvalued

Chig Okonkwo, TE, Washington Commanders (TE17)

I’m cheating a little bit by listing Chig Okonkwo here, because I don’t even think the ink is dry from when the Washington Commanders signed Stefon Diggs last week. Okonkwo has been a popular sleeper TE throughout the off-season thanks in no small part to the lack of NFL-caliber WRs behind Terry McLaurin. As a result, the team was internally considering Okonkwo their WR2. Enter Stefon Diggs.

Despite Diggs’ advanced age of 32, he still showed his route-running expertise throughout 2025. He’s not the ~160 target-earning monster of yesteryear, but 100+ is certainly possible in the Washington offense. Which means these are targets Okonkwo won’t see himself.

Okonkwo is still worth a late-round flier, but we need to lower our expectations. He’ll probably have some high-end boom games thanks to his athleticism, but we can’t count on consistent production in 2026.

Jaxson Dart, QB, New York Giants (QB12)

I want to like the New York Giants’ offense; I really do. So I promise, this is less about Jaxson Dart and more about the setup around him. Yes, Greg Roman, the Giants’ offensive coordinator, has gotten better over the years. In fact, Justin Herbert had the 9th most passing attempts in the NFL in 2025 under Roman. But this is a new team, a different Harbaugh as the head coach, and everything about the situation feels like a punishing running game and hope you hit some chunk plays to Malik Nabers.

This doesn’t even touch on the injury/concussion concerns with Dart. It’s really tough for QBs to change their running style; just ask Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, or Lamar Jackson. And Dart’s… I’ll use the word “headstrong”… running style unfortunately lends him toward injury. So the odds of him missing time are fairly high. Too high for me to trust him as a QB1, even a low-end QB1

Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles (QB6)

Oh, the discourse. It seems like we have the same talking points every year, right? Is Jalen Hurts a great QB? Is he the worst starting QB in the NFL? And around and around we go.

To be very clear – you can do a lot worse than Jalen Hurts at QB. The whole thesis behind Hurts as an overrated player is that you can get a Brock Purdy or Baker Mayfield, two QBs I have essentially on par with Hurts this year, much later in your drafts. So you pass up a much worse player to get a lesser QB that’s ~80% of Hurts than you do when you take Hurts.

That’s it, that’s the whole thing. I promise, I’m only calling him overrated in fantasy this year, not on the football field. You can put your pitchforks and torches away.

Javonte Williams, RB, Dallas Cowboys (RB17)

I struggle a bit with what to do with Javonte Williams in 2026. On one hand, he’s the clear lead RB for a very good Dallas Cowboys offense, and they were happy to feed him in 2025. Additionally, the team made strides to improve their terrible defense, with the theory here that they will be able to run the ball more if they’re not constantly getting into boat races.

But I can’t get Williams’ relative collapse in ‘25 out of my head. Over the first eight games, Williams failed to reach the 16-point threshold only twice. That’s a rather arbitrary number, but it’s consistent with my studies for what makes a truly great RB season. The problem is that over the final nine games, Williams didn’t score 16+ points even once. In fact, he only reached 15+ twice.

Now luckily, end-of-season performance isn’t really tied to the following season performance, so we’ve got that going for us. But there are several RBs who go right around or a little later than Williams that should be ascending in performance, rather than falling back. Especially with Williams’ gnarly knee injury from a few years ago.

Fantasy Football Undervalued

Malik Nabers, WR, New York Giants (WR20)

Well, this is already looking prescient, since reports have had Malik Nabers practicing and Very Smart People^TM are predicting that he’s able to play starting in Week 1. Now, if you’re worried about a slow start from Nabers thanks to the ACL he tore last year, that’s valid. And…

He’s fortunate that he tore it early in the season, which means by the time Week 1 rolls around he’ll have had a full 11 months to recover. Based on my studies of ACL injuries and return-to-play, that’s plenty of time to expect a full recovery. What’s more, Jaxson Dart is by far the best QB Nabers will have had throwing the ball to him. Yes, even in a Greg Roman offense. After all, under Roman in 2025, the Chargers threw the ball over 600 times.

Anything outside of a top 10 WR price for Nabers is a considerable discount. While his ADP is climbing, I don’t see any way that he’s not one of the best values this draft season, even high up into the 2nd round.

Rachaad White, RB, Washington Commanders (RB37)

I will admit, Laremy Tunsil’s torn triceps puts a damper on my Rachaad White hype train. After all, there’s still the potential that we see some sort of gross one-third, one-third, one-third split between Washington RBs again this year as we saw in 2025. 

Alright, so that’s the support for his RB37 ranking. I just don’t see a way that an NFL-caliber RB – which, make no mistake, that’s what White is – finishes that low in an offense with a fully healthy Jayden Daniels and improved other weapons. Jacory Croskey-Merritt looked “fine” in ‘25, but much more like a complementary RB than a primary one. White is a ‘good enough’ runner between the tackles and an excellent receiving back. That alone should allow him to flirt with upper-end RB3 production over the course of the season.

Dontayvion Wicks, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (WR75)

I love talking about players like Dontayvion Wicks when it comes to drafting. WR75 is an absurdly low price for a guy who was the leading target earner for Green Bay in 2024. Yes, we’re now a season removed and on a new team, but there’s a massive hole in Philadelphia’s WR room thanks to their trade of A.J. Brown.

“But they just drafted Makai Lemon!” Yes, you’re absolutely right, and I like him too. However, both he and incumbent DeVonta Smith are best out of the slot so far. Wicks is a big body who has plenty of experience playing outside. So odds are he’s on the field a lot for the Eagles, and should see some opportunities as a result.

Will he likely be a startable player week-in and week-out? No. But that WR75 price tag means he’s absolutely free, and one of the more reasonable players to take a late-round stab on with the thought that his value will rise after the first couple of games.

Jake Ferguson, TE, Dallas Cowboys (TE12)

Jake Ferguson is the broccoli of fantasy football TEs. He’s never going to fool you into thinking that he’s a top option at TE. Other guys will always be more exciting. But without fail, Ferguson has the uncanny ability to finish as a top 10 TE every year. Yes, you’ll need to pick and choose which weeks to start him, but he’s shown time and again that he’s a trusted target for QB Dak Prescott.

It’s not my favorite strategy for TE in ‘26, but that’s broccoli for you. Not gonna be your favorite, but important for your health. That’s Ferguson this year. Take him after the hot TE names are gone, and load up on players actually playing well every week for you. Then get your broccoli, I mean Jake Ferguson.