Fantasy Football Overvalued, Undervalued – AFC East

The calendar flipped to July which means NFL training camps are close. Early fantasy drafts are really close – like the Scott Fish Bowl – or at a minimum you should have your local league draft scheduled. I’m back at it now, publishing my fantasy football rankings and writing furiously to get us reason for draft season. Today, I’m taking a look at fantasy football overvalued and undervalued players in the AFC East. While not every team will have true overvalued and undervalued players, I will still do my best to help you identify who is most likely to meet those criteria in the 2026 season.

Fantasy Football Overvalued

De’Von Achane, RB, Miami Dolphins (RB7)

Is De’Von Achane the only part of the Miami offense worth prioritizing in your drafts? Absolutely. Just keep in mind: Miami is a team with a brand-new coaching staff. They have no veteran playmakers. I don’t count Malik Washington in the “playmaker” category. Their QB is a huge question mark despite good production in limited time. As the Miami losses rack up, which they likely will, we really don’t know how they’ll play out the season. Achane signed a 4-year, $64 million contract extension this offseason, and he got paid. Why run him into the ground on a team likely to pick in the top 5 of the 2027 NFL Draft?

James Cook, RB, Buffalo Bills (RB5)

In an offense as good as Buffalo’s, it’s very difficult to truly find someone overvalued, so James Cook is simply the most likely candidate. Scoring TDs is one of the least predictable events in the NFL. While Cook scored 18 and 14 TDs in 2024 and 2025, he’s simply more likely to step back to 10 or even fewer than he is to stay at his current level. And that’s if nothing else changed. For the first time in almost a decade, Buffalo has a new coaching staff, and with that new coaching staff comes a new offensive identity. An identity built around Josh Allen and what he brings to the offense.

James Cook, top 10 RB? Sure, I’ll buy that. But taking him as a top 5 RB is taking him at his ceiling for the third year in a row, which is simply very tough to count on.

A.J. Brown, WR, New England Patriots (WR9)

Quick, without looking, when was the last time A.J. Brown finished as WR9 or better in terms of points per game? If you said 2022, give yourself a gold star! Now, he typically doesn’t finish much outside of that, around WR11 or so, but the point remains – if you draft Brown as the WR9, you’re taking him above anything he’s done the past three seasons. Now add him going to a new team when WRs typically take a step back in production for a year, and he just turned 29 on the 30th (happy birthday to him). Add it all up, and you have a WR in Brown who’s good but likely to disappoint you in 2026.

Garrett Wilson, WR, New York Jets (WR18)

Ok, Garrett Wilson as “overvalued” isn’t really fair. Right in the middle of WR2 in a 12-team league is definitely fair if we think Geno Smith is even a marginal upgrade over whatever it was the Jets tried to do at QB in 2025. But what if Smith really is the guy we saw get the Raiders the 1st overall pick instead? And the truly scary part of this is that the first few games of the year could lie to us, as it often takes a bit of time for the wheels to fully come off.

Or perhaps even scarier, maybe Wilson really is the guy who scores in the 10-11.5 range in terms of points per game the way he has for the last three years now. That PPG works out to WR20 or lower.

Fantasy Football Undervalued

Some Miami Dolphins WR

The top Miami wide receiver is currently going at WR77 in fantasy drafts. So… maybe it’s rookie Chris Bell. Maybe it’s Caleb Douglas. It might even be Jalen Tolbert or Malik Washington, although I’m very skeptical about either of them. Someone on this Dolphins team is going to blow this out of the water, right? Of course, that doubt is what’s driving the rankings down, because it’s a new coaching staff and an almost entirely new group of skill position players. But even if the Dolphins are very bad in 2026, their QB position should still throw for ~3,500 yards or so, which means at least one of these guys should be a passable WR4 at worst.

Now, who that is might change week to week, especially as rookies Bell and Douglas get their feet under them. But keep this situation in mind when you’re mining for value in your drafts.

DJ Moore, WR, Buffalo Bills (WR28)

“Oh man, the Bills spread the ball around too much.” You’re right; they have… since Stefon Diggs left. DJ Moore is the first WR Buffalo has since Diggs who can actually earn targets. Yes, Moore only earned 85 targets in 2025. For one, that was the fewest he’d earned since he had 82 in his rookie year, and 33 fewer than his career low outside of those two seasons. For another, Khalil Shakir led Buffalo in 2025 with 95 targets. So even at his worst, Moore will be among Buffalo’s best. 

And to be clear, Buffalo doesn’t have anyone with the talent or skills of Rome Odunze or Luther Burden to out-earn Moore. 118 targets might just be his floor. Of all of 2026’s undervalued players, I believe Moore stands out the most.

Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, New England Patriots (RB30)

Look, I get it. TreVeyon Henderson is new; he’s exciting, and he absolutely set the world on fire for a bit last year. So why do I care so much about Rhamondre Stevenson? In short, he’s quietly the better RB right now. As much as people are excited about A.J. Brown coming to New England, this is still a Mike Vrabel team, he’s going to run the ball plenty. And we saw exactly how the team envisioned these two RBs sharing the load last year. I don’t know about you, but I love getting an RB2 at RB3 prices.

Adonai Mitchell, WR, New York Jets (WR62)

Yes, I’m dumpster diving here. I won’t lie to you and tell you to go out and prioritize Adonai Mitchell as a draft pick. However, when he’s outside of WR5 range, and he showed legitimate target-earning potential in the tire fire that was the Jets’ 2025, that’s also way too low. All reports out of Jets camps so far are that Mitchell is solidifying himself as the WR2 for the Jets. Considering the Jets spent a late 1st round pick on Omar Cooper, that’s relatively significant.

Mitchell will still need to earn targets while Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall are on the field, which is no small task. But if Mitchell is going to be on the field for 70%+ of the Jets’ offensive snaps, there’s almost no world in which he won’t outperform a WR62 ranking.