Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – September 26, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Wheeler (NYM)
- My Value Pick tonight is Civale (CLE) taking on the White Sox in Chicago
- Righty SP facing the White Sox in Chicago have averaged
- 33.0 FanDuel ppg (2nd highest in MLB – currently SP’s average 25.8 ppg)
- 17.9 DraftKings ppg (2nd highest in MLB – currently SP’s average 13.3 ppg)
- Chicago White Sox vs. RHP at home have a:
- 0.293 wOBA (5th lowest in MLB)
- 0.147 ISO (5th lowest in MLB)
- 26.5 K% (2nd highest in MLB)
- Righty SP facing the White Sox in Chicago have averaged
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Astros & A’s
- Followers (**) No followers tonight
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Manaea (OAK)
DFS Pitchers – September 26, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Zack Wheeler NYM | vs MIA | $10,500 | 118 | 41.09 | $10,200 | 121 | 23.25 |
| Aaron Civale CLE | @ CHW | $8,700 | 112 | 37.12 | $9,600 | 114 | 20.43 |
| Sean Manaea OAK | @ SEA | $9,800 | 104 | 31.07 | $10,400 | 105 | 17.23 |
| Jose Quintana CHC | @ PIT | $6,700 | 103 | 27.63 | $7,400 | 102 | 14.00 |
| Joe Musgrove PIT | vs CHC | $7,900 | 100 | 26.99 | $7,700 | 100 | 14.09 |
| Dylan Cease CHW | vs CLE | $7,300 | 99 | 26.63 | $9,100 | 99 | 13.90 |
| Jordan Yamamoto MIA | @ NYM | $6,300 | 102 | 25.09 | $8,600 | 101 | 12.54 |
| Felix Hernandez SEA | vs OAK | $5,900 | 96 | 23.58 | $5,400 | 96 | 12.06 |
| Wade Miley HOU | @ LAA | $6,500 | 96 | 23.70 | $6,500 | 95 | 11.73 |
| Jaime Barria LAA | vs HOU | $5,500 | 88 | 17.22 | $4,600 | 85 | 7.86 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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