Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 9, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Teheran (ATL)
- My Value Pick tonight is Keller (KCR) facing the Tigers in Detroit
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Yankees, Red Sox & Astros
- Followers (**) None tonight (Beeks appears to be actually starting)
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Allard (TEX) – making 2019 debut
- Johnson (BOS)
- Reid-Foley (TOR)
DFS Pitchers – August 9, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Julio Teheran ATL | @ MIA | $9,000 | 116 | 36.60 | $8,800 | 119 | 20.12 |
| Brad Keller KCR | @ DET | $8,800 | 113 | 36.71 | $8,000 | 115 | 19.80 |
| Caleb Smith MIA | vs ATL | $9,500 | 106 | 34.58 | $10,000 | 105 | 18.94 |
| Stephen Strasburg WSN | vs NYM | $11,000 | 103 | 33.29 | $11,000 | 102 | 17.53 |
| Wade Miley HOU | @ BAL | $9,200 | 104 | 31.58 | $9,000 | 105 | 16.97 |
| Gio Gonzalez MIL | vs TEX | $7,100 | 104 | 29.90 | $7,300 | 105 | 17.12 |
| Robbie Ray ARI | @ LAD | $9,800 | 98 | 30.80 | $9,800 | 98 | 16.32 |
| Walker Buehler LAD | vs ARI | $11,400 | 101 | 30.70 | $11,500 | 100 | 16.36 |
| Trevor Bauer CIN | vs CHC | $10,500 | 98 | 30.47 | $10,200 | 97 | 16.04 |
| Cal Quantrill SDP | vs COL | $7,000 | 105 | 28.87 | $6,200 | 106 | 15.98 |
| Edwin Jackson DET | vs KCR | $5,600 | 101 | 28.54 | $4,400 | 102 | 15.07 |
| J.A. Happ NYY | @ TOR | $6,600 | 103 | 27.88 | $7,100 | 105 | 15.01 |
| Yu Darvish CHC | @ CIN | $9,400 | 101 | 27.95 | $9,200 | 101 | 14.75 |
| Chris Archer PIT | @ STL | $7,700 | 103 | 27.99 | $7,500 | 104 | 14.44 |
| Tyler Beede SFG | vs PHI | $6,500 | 104 | 28.09 | $5,300 | 105 | 14.38 |
| Marco Gonzales SEA | vs TBR | $7,300 | 103 | 28.48 | $7,400 | 103 | 14.02 |
| Drew Smyly PHI | @ SFG | $7,600 | 104 | 26.69 | $5,800 | 106 | 13.98 |
| Kolby Allard TEX | @ MIL | $5,500 | 101 | 26.43 | $6,800 | 101 | 13.96 |
| Shane Bieber CLE | @ MIN | $10,700 | 93 | 26.38 | $10,700 | 91 | 13.58 |
| Dakota Hudson STL | vs PIT | $7,200 | 101 | 26.37 | $6,400 | 100 | 13.05 |
| Marcus Stroman NYM | @ WSN | $8,400 | 98 | 25.95 | $8,700 | 97 | 12.91 |
| Devin Smeltzer MIN | vs CLE | $7,400 | 100 | 25.01 | $7,800 | 99 | 12.78 |
| Jalen Beeks TBR | @ SEA | $5,900 | 101 | 22.30 | $7,600 | 102 | 11.80 |
| Kyle Freeland COL | @ SDP | $6,300 | 105 | 21.61 | $4,800 | 106 | 10.19 |
| Brian Johnson BOS | vs LAA | $5,600 | 92 | 20.75 | $7,600 | 91 | 10.34 |
| Dylan Bundy BAL | vs HOU | $6,800 | 87 | 19.04 | $6,600 | 85 | 8.84 |
| Sean Reid-Foley TOR | vs NYY | $5,700 | 90 | 18.07 | $7,700 | 88 | 8.18 |
| Jaime Barria LAA | @ BOS | $6,100 | 86 | 16.70 | $6,000 | 85 | 7.93 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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