Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 7, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Rodriguez (BOS)
- My Value Pick tonight is Gallen (ARI) at home facing the Phillies
- Righty SP at home facing Philadelphia have averaged
- 28.3 FanDuel ppg (12th Highest in MLB – average SP is 26.3 ppg)
- 14.7 DraftKings ppg (13th Highest in MLB – average SP is 13.6 ppg)
- Phillies vs. RHP on the road have a:
- 0.310 wOBA (11th worst in MLB)
- 0.149 ISO (4th worst in MLB)
- 22.7 K% (16th worst in MLB)
- Righty SP at home facing Philadelphia have averaged
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Red Sox & Yankees
- Followers (**) None tonight
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- None tonight
DFS Pitchers – August 7, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Eduardo Rodriguez BOS | vs KCR | $9,000 | 106 | 34.83 | $10,000 | 107 | 19.06 |
| Zac Gallen ARI | vs PHI | $8,400 | 105 | 30.09 | $9,200 | 105 | 15.83 |
| James Paxton NYY | @ BAL | $9,600 | 102 | 29.86 | $9,000 | 103 | 15.74 |
| Trevor Williams PIT | vs MIL | $6,900 | 102 | 28.90 | $7,600 | 103 | 14.97 |
| Joey Lucchesi SDP | @ SEA | $7,300 | 100 | 27.26 | $8,600 | 100 | 14.58 |
| Yusei Kikuchi SEA | vs SDP | $6,100 | 104 | 27.10 | $5,000 | 106 | 13.73 |
| John Means BAL | vs NYY | $6,500 | 94 | 22.50 | $6,700 | 93 | 11.63 |
| Drew Pomeranz MIL | @ PIT | $5,500 | 101 | 21.80 | $7,400 | 101 | 11.10 |
| Jason Vargas PHI | @ ARI | $7,600 | 93 | 21.43 | $8,000 | 92 | 10.98 |
| Glenn Sparkman KCR | @ BOS | $5,500 | 86 | 15.38 | $4,500 | 84 | 7.07 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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