Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 28, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Civale (CLE)
- My Value Pick tonight is also Civale (CLE) taking on the Tigers in Detroit
- Righty SP facing the Tigers in Detroit have averaged
- Detroit vs. RHP at home have a:
- 0.281 wOBA (2nd worst in MLB)
- 0.135 ISO (3rd worst in MLB)
- 25.9 K% (4th worst in MLB)
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Twins, Astros & Angels
- Followers (**) Jurado (TEX) is following an opener and the Padres are going with a bullpen game tonight.
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Sandoval (LAA)
DFS Pitchers – August 28, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Aaron Civale CLE | @ DET | $8,200 | 116 | 40.35 | $7,000 | 119 | 22.46 |
| Max Scherzer WSN | vs BAL | $11,400 | 107 | 37.59 | $11,000 | 108 | 21.20 |
| Jake Odorizzi MIN | @ CHW | $8,500 | 113 | 36.52 | $9,400 | 115 | 20.32 |
| Anthony DeSclafani CIN | @ MIA | $7,600 | 115 | 35.47 | $7,800 | 117 | 19.65 |
| Gerrit Cole HOU | vs TBR | $12,000 | 103 | 33.71 | $12,200 | 103 | 18.36 |
| Patrick Sandoval LAA | vs TEX | $5,600 | 107 | 31.67 | $7,500 | 108 | 18.12 |
| Kenta Maeda LAD | @ SDP | $8,700 | 109 | 31.41 | $8,000 | 110 | 17.22 |
| Noah Syndergaard NYM | vs CHC | $9,500 | 104 | 31.86 | $10,400 | 104 | 16.99 |
| Sandy Alcantara MIA | vs CIN | $7,000 | 105 | 30.30 | $6,800 | 105 | 15.60 |
| Jacob Waguespack TOR | vs ATL | $7,400 | 102 | 28.91 | $7,200 | 102 | 15.04 |
| Kyle Hendricks CHC | @ NYM | $8,000 | 102 | 27.73 | $9,100 | 101 | 14.25 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ATL | @ TOR | $7,700 | 99 | 26.44 | $7,400 | 101 | 14.47 |
| Jakob Junis KCR | vs OAK | $7,800 | 97 | 26.44 | $7,300 | 97 | 13.49 |
| Tanner Roark OAK | @ KCR | $8,400 | 101 | 24.52 | $8,400 | 100 | 12.21 |
| Jordan Zimmermann DET | vs CLE | $5,900 | 97 | 24.29 | $5,400 | 97 | 12.22 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez BOS | @ COL | $7,100 | 90 | 23.44 | $8,200 | 89 | 11.50 |
| Asher Wojciechowski BAL | @ WSN | $6,200 | 91 | 21.05 | $6,300 | 90 | 10.13 |
| Ryan Yarbrough TBR | @ HOU | $7,300 | 92 | 19.51 | $8,600 | 89 | 9.42 |
| Peter Lambert COL | vs BOS | $5,500 | 86 | 18.94 | $4,200 | 85 | 9.07 |
| ** Ariel Jurado TEX | @ LAA | $6,000 | 91 | 16.93 | $4,000 | 90 | 7.84 |
| Ross Detwiler CHW | vs MIN | $5,700 | 88 | 15.14 | $4,800 | 86 | 6.27 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
Leave a Reply