Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 22, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Cole (HOU)
- My Value Pick tonight is Jurado (TEX) taking on the White Sox in Chicago
- Righty SP facing the White Sox in Chicago have averaged
- 33.9 FanDuel ppg (2nd highest in MLB – currently SP’s average 26.2 ppg)
- 18.6 DraftKings ppg (2nd highest in MLB – currently SP’s average 13.5 ppg)
- Chicago (AL) vs. RHP at home have a:
- 0.285 wOBA (3rd worst in MLB)
- 0.141 ISO (6th worst in MLB)
- 26.8 K% (2nd worst in MLB)
- Righty SP facing the White Sox in Chicago have averaged
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Dodgers, Astros & Yankees
- Followers (**) None tonight
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Civale (CLE)
DFS Pitchers – August 22, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Gerrit Cole HOU | vs DET | $12,200 | 117 | 44.80 | $12,000 | 120 | 25.97 |
| Mike Soroka ATL | vs MIA | $9,300 | 116 | 41.20 | $10,000 | 120 | 23.61 |
| Max Scherzer WSN | @ PIT | $12,000 | 104 | 34.29 | $11,400 | 103 | 18.47 |
| Noah Syndergaard NYM | vs CLE | $10,000 | 103 | 31.61 | $10,300 | 103 | 16.51 |
| Ariel Jurado TEX | @ CHW | $6,400 | 110 | 31.00 | $5,000 | 112 | 16.77 |
| German Marquez COL | @ STL | $8,800 | 105 | 30.82 | $10,600 | 105 | 16.39 |
| Miles Mikolas STL | vs COL | $6,800 | 105 | 29.38 | $7,200 | 105 | 15.59 |
| Kenta Maeda LAD | vs TOR | $7,800 | 105 | 26.46 | $8,100 | 106 | 14.42 |
| Ross Detwiler CHW | vs TEX | $5,500 | 100 | 25.01 | $4,600 | 101 | 13.89 |
| Aaron Civale CLE | @ NYM | $8,500 | 102 | 25.92 | $6,200 | 101 | 12.87 |
| Ryan Yarbrough TBR | @ BAL | $9,000 | 101 | 24.78 | $9,300 | 101 | 13.25 |
| Steven Brault PIT | vs WSN | $6,200 | 99 | 23.59 | $5,400 | 98 | 12.09 |
| Sandy Alcantara MIA | @ ATL | $6,600 | 97 | 23.91 | $6,600 | 96 | 11.48 |
| Masahiro Tanaka NYY | @ OAK | $7,700 | 95 | 23.01 | $7,500 | 94 | 11.54 |
| Tanner Roark OAK | vs NYY | $7,500 | 93 | 22.03 | $8,500 | 91 | 10.69 |
| Asher Wojciechowski BAL | vs TBR | $6,000 | 96 | 21.30 | $6,800 | 96 | 10.60 |
| Jacob Waguespack TOR | @ LAD | $7,000 | 92 | 19.83 | $7,000 | 90 | 9.39 |
| Jordan Zimmermann DET | @ HOU | $5,800 | 89 | 16.60 | $4,800 | 86 | 7.07 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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