Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 2, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Lynn (TEX)
- My Value Pick tonight is Vargas (PHI) at home facing the White Sox
- Lefty SP at home facing the White Sox have averaged
- 34.1 FanDuel ppg (5th Highest in MLB – average SP is 26.3 ppg)
- 19.1 DraftKings ppg (5th Highest in MLB – average SP is 13.6 ppg)
- White Sox vs. LHP on the road have a:
- 0.290 wOBA (6th worst in MLB)
- 0.143 ISO (3rd worst in MLB)
- 26.8 K% (5th worst in MLB)
- Lefty SP at home facing the White Sox have averaged
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Rockies, Twins & Astros
- Followers (**) None tonight
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- May (LAD) – making his 2019 debut
- Wood (CIN)
- Alexander (DET)
- Peters (LAA)
DFS Pitchers – August 2, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Lance Lynn TEX | vs DET | $10,500 | 111 | 39.08 | $11,700 | 114 | 22.04 |
| Robbie Ray ARI | vs WSN | $10,000 | 100 | 32.83 | $10,400 | 99 | 17.79 |
| Jason Vargas PHI | vs CHW | $7,400 | 112 | 32.05 | $7,400 | 114 | 17.83 |
| Dustin May LAD | vs SDP | $5,800 | 107 | 32.45 | $7,600 | 108 | 17.53 |
| Wade Miley HOU | vs SEA | $8,500 | 104 | 32.29 | $9,100 | 104 | 17.34 |
| Martin Perez MIN | vs KCR | $7,000 | 107 | 31.44 | $7,900 | 107 | 16.75 |
| Kevin Gausman ATL | vs CIN | $6,300 | 105 | 30.94 | $8,300 | 106 | 16.32 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez BOS | @ NYY | $8,000 | 98 | 30.02 | $9,300 | 96 | 15.73 |
| Jose Quintana CHC | vs MIL | $8,600 | 102 | 28.95 | – | 103 | 14.99 |
| Trevor Williams PIT | vs NYM | $6,800 | 102 | 28.40 | $7,200 | 101 | 14.40 |
| Steven Matz NYM | @ PIT | $7,800 | 101 | 25.98 | $7,700 | 100 | 13.22 |
| Mike Clevinger CLE | vs LAA | $10,700 | 96 | 24.91 | $11,100 | 95 | 13.07 |
| Alex Wood CIN | @ ATL | $7,200 | 96 | 25.42 | $8,000 | 96 | 12.73 |
| James Paxton NYY | vs BOS | $7,600 | 95 | 24.63 | $8,700 | 93 | 12.43 |
| Ivan Nova CHW | @ PHI | $6,600 | 98 | 24.01 | $7,000 | 99 | 11.92 |
| Zach Davies MIL | @ CHC | $6,000 | 97 | 22.65 | – | 96 | 10.89 |
| Eric Lauer SDP | @ LAD | $6,200 | 96 | 22.28 | $6,800 | 95 | 10.84 |
| Tyler Alexander DET | @ TEX | $6,400 | 94 | 21.64 | $6,400 | 94 | 10.71 |
| Aaron Brooks BAL | vs TOR | $5,600 | 100 | 20.47 | $4,800 | 101 | 10.63 |
| Dillon Peters LAA | @ CLE | $6,100 | 98 | 20.82 | $6,000 | 98 | 10.33 |
| Sam Gaviglio TOR | @ BAL | $5,500 | 98 | 20.04 | $5,900 | 98 | 10.30 |
| Joe Ross WSN | @ ARI | $5,900 | 97 | 20.59 | $5,700 | 96 | 9.95 |
| Peter Lambert COL | vs SFG | $5,700 | 89 | 19.45 | $5,200 | 90 | 9.75 |
| Shaun Anderson SFG | @ COL | $6,300 | 88 | 18.24 | $4,500 | 87 | 8.19 |
| Yusei Kikuchi SEA | @ HOU | $6,200 | 89 | 17.95 | $5,000 | 86 | 7.71 |
| Glenn Sparkman KCR | @ MIN | $5,500 | 85 | 14.56 | $5,500 | 82 | 6.34 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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