Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 19, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Gibson (MIN)
- My Value Pick tonight is Gallen (ARI) taking on the Marlins in Arizona
- Righty SP at home facing the Marlins have averaged
- Miami vs. RHP on the road have a:
- 0.283 wOBA (2nd worst in MLB)
- 0.150 ISO (5th worst in MLB)
- 25.5 K% (5th worst in MLB)
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Astros, Twins & Rangers
- Followers (**) No openers tonight
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Allard (TEX)
DFS Pitchers – August 19, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Kyle Gibson MIN | vs CHW | $7,400 | 112 | 34.93 | $10,100 | 114 | 19.14 |
| Trevor Bauer CIN | vs SDP | $10,200 | 106 | 34.65 | $11,700 | 107 | 18.77 |
| Zac Gallen ARI | vs COL | $8,000 | 107 | 32.16 | $9,300 | 107 | 17.89 |
| Wade Miley HOU | vs DET | $9,000 | 113 | 32.59 | $11,200 | 115 | 17.44 |
| Marco Gonzales SEA | @ TBR | $8,700 | 106 | 31.11 | $10,600 | 106 | 16.09 |
| Brendan McKay TBR | vs SEA | $7,500 | 100 | 29.80 | $7,500 | 101 | 15.98 |
| Zach Davies MIL | @ STL | $6,000 | 103 | 26.76 | $4,200 | 104 | 13.63 |
| John Means BAL | vs KCR | $6,200 | 104 | 25.89 | $6,400 | 104 | 13.99 |
| Dakota Hudson STL | vs MIL | $6,700 | 101 | 26.74 | $8,600 | 101 | 13.41 |
| Trevor Williams PIT | vs WSN | $7,200 | 97 | 23.25 | $5,900 | 96 | 11.47 |
| Kolby Allard TEX | vs LAA | $7,000 | 94 | 22.57 | $9,600 | 93 | 11.42 |
| Chi Chi Gonzalez COL | @ ARI | $5,500 | 97 | 22.51 | $5,500 | 96 | 11.07 |
| Eric Lauer SDP | @ CIN | $6,300 | 99 | 22.22 | $7,900 | 99 | 10.94 |
| Joe Ross WSN | @ PIT | $7,300 | 99 | 21.11 | $6,900 | 99 | 10.43 |
| Dillon Peters LAA | @ TEX | $8,300 | 93 | 20.67 | $9,000 | 94 | 10.29 |
| Jorge Lopez KCR | @ BAL | $5,500 | 98 | 19.55 | $4,800 | 98 | 9.74 |
| Ivan Nova CHW | @ MIN | $7,700 | 89 | 19.67 | $8,300 | 87 | 9.07 |
| Edwin Jackson DET | @ HOU | $6,400 | 87 | 16.06 | $5,700 | 84 | 6.83 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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