Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 13, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Cole (HOU)
- My Value Pick tonight is May (LAD) on the road taking on the Marlins
- Righty SP facing the Marlins in Miami have averaged
- 34.1 FanDuel ppg (3rd highest in MLB – currently SP’s average 26.2 ppg)
- 18.7 DraftKings ppg (3rd highest in MLB – currently SP’s average 13.5 ppg)
- Miami vs. RHP at home have a:
- 0.284 wOBA (3rd worst in MLB)
- 0.114 ISO (Worst in MLB)
- 25.1 K% (5th worst in MLB)
- Righty SP facing the Marlins in Miami have averaged
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Astros, Twins & Rockies
- Followers (**) None tonight
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- May (LAD)
- Wood (CIN)
DFS Pitchers – August 13, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Gerrit Cole HOU | @ CHW | $12,400 | 116 | 46.00 | $12,700 | 118 | 26.38 |
| Dustin May LAD | @ MIA | $5,800 | 118 | 39.66 | $7,500 | 120 | 22.29 |
| Matthew Boyd DET | vs SEA | $10,400 | 103 | 35.22 | $10,300 | 103 | 19.38 |
| Lance Lynn TEX | @ TOR | $10,300 | 103 | 34.90 | $11,300 | 105 | 19.48 |
| Chris Sale BOS | @ CLE | $10,500 | 101 | 32.33 | $10,700 | 101 | 17.46 |
| Domingo German NYY | vs BAL | $9,600 | 105 | 30.53 | $10,000 | 106 | 16.99 |
| Mike Clevinger CLE | vs BOS | $10,700 | 99 | 29.48 | $10,900 | 99 | 15.83 |
| Max Fried ATL | vs NYM | $8,400 | 102 | 29.81 | $6,700 | 101 | 15.23 |
| Brendan McKay TBR | @ SDP | $8,000 | 106 | 29.00 | $8,100 | 107 | 15.43 |
| Zack Wheeler NYM | @ ATL | $10,100 | 100 | 29.33 | $9,400 | 100 | 14.88 |
| Joe Ross WSN | vs CIN | $7,100 | 103 | 28.76 | $5,500 | 103 | 15.13 |
| Madison Bumgarner SFG | vs OAK | $8,600 | 98 | 27.76 | $8,600 | 97 | 14.44 |
| Brett Anderson OAK | @ SFG | $6,700 | 104 | 27.66 | $6,400 | 106 | 14.03 |
| Griffin Canning LAA | vs PIT | $6,700 | 102 | 27.18 | $7,800 | 102 | 13.89 |
| Jason Vargas PHI | vs CHC | $6,800 | 102 | 26.93 | $6,900 | 102 | 14.00 |
| Martin Perez MIN | @ MIL | $6,200 | 101 | 26.65 | $5,600 | 102 | 13.86 |
| Jose Quintana CHC | @ PHI | $8,900 | 100 | 26.66 | $7,600 | 101 | 13.39 |
| Yusei Kikuchi SEA | @ DET | $6,900 | 108 | 26.37 | $5,300 | 111 | 13.45 |
| Eric Lauer SDP | vs TBR | $6,400 | 102 | 26.53 | $6,200 | 102 | 13.16 |
| Glenn Sparkman KCR | vs STL | $5,900 | 101 | 24.77 | $4,800 | 103 | 13.35 |
| Jon Gray COL | vs ARI | $6,500 | 92 | 25.50 | $7,300 | 91 | 12.93 |
| Jack Flaherty STL | @ KCR | $8,900 | 99 | 25.03 | $9,000 | 99 | 12.74 |
| Thomas Pannone TOR | vs TEX | $5,800 | 103 | 23.29 | $4,600 | 104 | 13.18 |
| Jordan Yamamoto MIA | vs LAD | $7,300 | 98 | 22.97 | $6,800 | 97 | 11.86 |
| John Means BAL | @ NYY | $6,100 | 93 | 21.70 | $5,900 | 91 | 10.90 |
| Chase Anderson MIL | vs MIN | $7,200 | 91 | 20.31 | $5,800 | 89 | 10.11 |
| Alex Wood CIN | @ WSN | $7,600 | 90 | 20.57 | $8,200 | 89 | 9.66 |
| Zac Gallen ARI | @ COL | $7,000 | 92 | 20.41 | $7,000 | 91 | 9.55 |
| Trevor Williams PIT | @ LAA | $7,500 | 91 | 19.29 | $6,000 | 90 | 9.06 |
| Ivan Nova CHW | vs HOU | $7,000 | 87 | 18.06 | $5,700 | 84 | 7.95 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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