Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 12, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Greinke (HOU)
- My Value Pick tonight is Suarez (LAA) at home vs. the Pirates
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Astros, Diamondbacks & Rockies
- Followers (**) There are 3 games with openers…
- Green (NYY) will open – follower unknown
- Ramirez (TOR)) will open – follower unknown
- Castillo (TBR) will open – follower unknown
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Blach (BAL)
- Keller (PIT)
DFS Pitchers – August 12, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Zack Greinke HOU | @ CHW | $10,800 | 114 | 39.87 | $10,700 | 117 | 22.39 |
| Jose Suarez LAA | vs PIT | $5,700 | 104 | 32.38 | $7,900 | 104 | 17.84 |
| Joey Lucchesi SDP | vs TBR | $7,600 | 104 | 29.90 | $10,000 | 103 | 15.57 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez BOS | @ CLE | $8,900 | 100 | 28.15 | $10,300 | 99 | 14.68 |
| Erick Fedde WSN | vs CIN | $6,200 | 101 | 27.97 | $6,200 | 101 | 14.63 |
| Ariel Jurado TEX | @ TOR | $6,300 | 101 | 25.84 | $6,800 | 103 | 14.36 |
| Zach Plesac CLE | vs BOS | $8,500 | 94 | 25.03 | $9,400 | 94 | 13.01 |
| Anthony DeSclafani CIN | @ WSN | $8,000 | 96 | 23.88 | $9,600 | 95 | 12.06 |
| Ty Blach BAL | @ NYY | $5,500 | 92 | 21.05 | $6,200 | 90 | 9.95 |
| Merrill Kelly ARI | @ COL | $5,800 | 88 | 19.68 | $7,400 | 87 | 9.13 |
| Peter Lambert COL | vs ARI | $5,500 | 85 | 17.93 | $5,700 | 84 | 8.26 |
| Dylan Cease CHW | vs HOU | $6,000 | 88 | 17.94 | $9,100 | 85 | 8.00 |
| Mitch Keller PIT | @ LAA | $6,800 | 91 | 17.01 | $8,400 | 90 | 7.84 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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