Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – August 1, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Kershaw (LAD)
- My Value Pick today is Lester (CHC) in St. Louis
- Cardinals at home vs. LHP have a:
- 0.287 wOBA (3rd worst in MLB)
- 0.147 ISO (7th worst in MLB)
- 20.1 K% (8th best in MLB)
- Cardinals at home vs. LHP have a:
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Astros & Red Sox
- Followers (**) None tonight
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- McKay (TBR)
- Salazar (CLE) – making 2019 debut
DFS Pitchers – August 1, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Clayton Kershaw LAD | vs SDP | $11,400 | 110 | 41.43 | $10,700 | 112 | 23.24 |
| Gerrit Cole HOU | @ CLE | $11,700 | 103 | 36.43 | $11,300 | 103 | 20.01 |
| Jon Lester CHC | @ STL | $8,900 | 102 | 29.45 | $8,200 | 102 | 15.73 |
| Jack Flaherty STL | vs CHC | $8,500 | 100 | 27.00 | $8,600 | 99 | 14.18 |
| Max Fried ATL | vs CIN | $7,500 | 102 | 26.59 | $5,800 | 103 | 13.55 |
| Joey Lucchesi SDP | @ LAD | $7,300 | 96 | 25.97 | $7,400 | 95 | 13.42 |
| Asher Wojciechowski BAL | vs TOR | $8,100 | 102 | 24.97 | $7,100 | 104 | 13.45 |
| Anthony DeSclafani CIN | @ ATL | $8,300 | 98 | 25.19 | $7,300 | 97 | 12.71 |
| Trent Thornton TOR | @ BAL | $6,300 | 99 | 23.50 | $6,800 | 99 | 11.76 |
| Andrew Cashner BOS | vs TBR | $7,200 | 96 | 23.07 | $5,400 | 96 | 11.29 |
| Brendan McKay TBR | @ BOS | $6,200 | 91 | 20.66 | $6,300 | 90 | 10.34 |
| Danny Salazar CLE | vs HOU | $6,500 | 91 | 18.38 | $7,600 | 89 | 8.19 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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