Here are projected scores for today’s DFS pitchers – July 16, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Plesac (CLE)
- My Value Pick today is Plesac at home versus the Tigers
- Righty SP at home facing Detroit have averaged
- 33.3 FanDuel ppg (2nd Highest in MLB – average SP is 26.2 ppg)
- 18.3 DraftKings ppg (2nd Highest in MLB – average SP is 13.5 ppg)
- Detroit vs. RHP on the road have a:
- 0.292 wOBA (5th worst in MLB)
- 0.170 ISO (11th worst in MLB)
- 26.6 K% (2nd worst in MLB)
- Righty SP at home facing Detroit have averaged
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Rockies, Dodgers & Astros
- Followers Both Beeks (TBR) and Armenteros (HOU) will be following an opener.
- Small sample size alert! The following pitchers have each faced less than 100 batters this season:
- Allen (SDP)
- Mills (CHC) – 2019 debut!
- Agrazal (PIT)
- Voth (WSN)
- Wilson (ATL)
- Wojciechowski (BAL)
- Young (ARI)
- Cease (CHW)
- Waguespack (TOR)
- Armenteros (HOU)
DFS Pitchers – July 16, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Zach Plesac CLE | vs DET | $7,200 | 109 | 34.93 | $7,000 | 112 | 19.43 |
| Logan Allen SDP | @ MIA | $8,300 | 114 | 34.37 | $9,200 | 117 | 18.67 |
| Jordan Yamamoto MIA | vs SDP | $8,700 | 109 | 33.55 | $9,500 | 111 | 18.41 |
| Alec Mills CHC | vs CIN | $5,500 | 105 | 33.60 | $6,200 | 106 | 18.23 |
| Brandon Woodruff MIL | vs ATL | $9,600 | 105 | 33.87 | $8,700 | 105 | 18.08 |
| Lance Lynn TEX | vs ARI | $9,800 | 99 | 31.65 | $11,200 | 99 | 16.60 |
| Walker Buehler LAD | @ PHI | $10,000 | 103 | 31.06 | $10,200 | 103 | 16.87 |
| CC Sabathia NYY | vs TBR | $8,200 | 103 | 30.06 | $8,800 | 103 | 15.41 |
| Jack Flaherty STL | vs PIT | $7,700 | 102 | 28.36 | $7,400 | 102 | 14.60 |
| Glenn Sparkman KCR | vs CHW | $5,700 | 106 | 27.78 | $4,300 | 107 | 14.81 |
| Michael Pineda MIN | vs NYM | $8,500 | 101 | 27.50 | $9,200 | 100 | 14.09 |
| Peter Lambert COL | vs SFG | $5,500 | 94 | 25.49 | $4,900 | 97 | 14.44 |
| Andrew Cashner BOS | vs TOR | $8,000 | 101 | 25.55 | $8,300 | 103 | 13.54 |
| Dario Agrazal PIT | @ STL | $6,300 | 101 | 25.53 | $6,600 | 102 | 12.91 |
| Austin Voth WSN | @ BAL | $6,600 | 100 | 24.63 | $7,200 | 100 | 12.62 |
| Bryse Wilson ATL | @ MIL | $6,100 | 100 | 24.74 | $8,500 | 100 | 12.34 |
| Asher Wojciechowski BAL | vs WSN | $5,900 | 99 | 24.33 | $5,300 | 98 | 12.42 |
| Jalen Beeks TBR | @ NYY | $5,800 | 100 | 23.83 | $7,700 | 100 | 12.64 |
| Alex Young ARI | @ TEX | $6,200 | 96 | 22.68 | $7,600 | 96 | 11.51 |
| Anthony DeSclafani CIN | @ CHC | $7,000 | 96 | 22.71 | $8,900 | 95 | 11.01 |
| Ryan Carpenter DET | @ CLE | $5,800 | 100 | 21.92 | $4,700 | 100 | 10.57 |
| Andrew Heaney LAA | vs HOU | $6,800 | 89 | 20.80 | $9,300 | 86 | 10.31 |
| Daniel Mengden OAK | vs SEA | $7,100 | 95 | 20.44 | $7,800 | 95 | 10.47 |
| Marco Gonzales SEA | @ OAK | $7,500 | 89 | 21.17 | $8,100 | 87 | 9.98 |
| Dylan Cease CHW | @ KCR | $6,700 | 97 | 19.05 | $9,000 | 97 | 8.99 |
| Jacob Waguespack TOR | @ BOS | $6,400 | 89 | 18.01 | $6,800 | 88 | 8.65 |
| Steven Matz NYM | @ MIN | $6,200 | 85 | 18.18 | $6,000 | 83 | 8.39 |
| Rogelio Armenteros HOU | @ LAA | $5,500 | 91 | 16.88 | $8,100 | 89 | 7.91 |
| Vince Velasquez PHI | vs LAD | $6,500 | 91 | 16.10 | $5,900 | 89 | 7.74 |
| Drew Pomeranz SFG | @ COL | $5,500 | 86 | 16.56 | $4,500 | 85 | 7.16 |
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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