Here are projected scores for today’s DFS pitchers – June 28, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Sanchez (WSN)
- My Value Pick today is Sanchez (WSN) on the road versus the Tigers.
- When facing RHP starters at home Detroit have allowed them to average
- 35.6 FanDuel ppg (Highest – MLB Average is 26.31 ppg)
- 19.5 DraftKings ppg (Highest – MLB Average is 13.56 ppg)
- Detroit vs. RHP at home have a:
- 0.275 wOBA (Tied for 2nd worst in MLB)
- 0.128 ISO (3rd worst in MLB)
- 24.8 K% (Tied for 7th worst in MLB).
- When facing RHP starters at home Detroit have allowed them to average
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Twins, Angels & Astros.
- Small sample size alert! Reid-Foley (TOR), Hernandez (MIA), Clevinger (CLE) and Fulmer (CHW) have each faced less than 100 batters this season.
DFS Pitchers – June 28, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Anibal Sanchez WSN | @ DET | $8,400 | 114 | 37.38 | $7,400 | 117 | 20.77 |
| Jacob deGrom NYM | vs ATL | $11,200 | 107 | 35.56 | $11,200 | 107 | 19.02 |
| Jose Berrios MIN | @ CHW | $10,500 | 107 | 34.92 | $10,800 | 108 | 18.92 |
| Vince Velasquez PHI | @ MIA | $7,300 | 115 | 33.43 | $7,000 | 117 | 18.63 |
| Cole Hamels CHC | @ CIN | $9,200 | 104 | 33.85 | $9,900 | 105 | 18.03 |
| Merrill Kelly ARI | @ SFG | $8,600 | 109 | 32.91 | $9,100 | 111 | 18.29 |
| Sean Reid-Foley TOR | vs KCR | $7,500 | 105 | 32.77 | $8,300 | 106 | 17.87 |
| Wade Miley HOU | vs SEA | $7,100 | 104 | 32.45 | $8,600 | 104 | 17.51 |
| Danny Duffy KCR | @ TOR | $6,800 | 106 | 31.12 | $7,200 | 108 | 17.00 |
| Lance Lynn TEX | @ TBR | $9,000 | 103 | 31.65 | $10,100 | 103 | 16.63 |
| Michael Wacha STL | @ SDP | $6,500 | 107 | 29.93 | $5,900 | 109 | 16.09 |
| Elieser Hernandez MIA | vs PHI | $7,200 | 106 | 30.05 | $6,500 | 106 | 15.98 |
| Mike Soroka ATL | @ NYM | $8,800 | 105 | 29.96 | $9,300 | 104 | 15.45 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD | @ COL | $8,500 | 91 | 29.00 | $8,900 | 89 | 15.14 |
| Yonny Chirinos TBR | vs TEX | $6,300 | 101 | 27.59 | $8,400 | 100 | 14.75 |
| Mike Clevinger CLE | @ BAL | $9,400 | 102 | 27.53 | $9,600 | 103 | 14.59 |
| Sonny Gray CIN | vs CHC | $7,400 | 99 | 26.22 | $7,700 | 99 | 13.79 |
| Eric Lauer SDP | vs STL | $7,700 | 102 | 26.23 | $6,200 | 102 | 13.63 |
| Shaun Anderson SFG | vs ARI | $7,000 | 98 | 24.62 | $6,400 | 97 | 12.31 |
| ** Felix Pena LAA | vs OAK | $6,700 | 97 | 23.93 | $6,700 | 96 | 12.65 |
| Daniel Norris DET | vs WSN | $6,600 | 98 | 24.15 | $5,700 | 97 | 12.38 |
| Chris Archer PIT | @ MIL | $8,100 | 97 | 24.39 | $7,100 | 97 | 12.14 |
| John Means BAL | vs CLE | $7,900 | 102 | 23.61 | $6,800 | 102 | 12.24 |
| Jhoulys Chacin MIL | vs PIT | $6,200 | 97 | 23.32 | $5,000 | 96 | 11.23 |
| ** Tommy Milone SEA | @ HOU | $6,700 | 89 | 19.28 | $7,600 | 86 | 9.56 |
| Mike Fiers OAK | @ LAA | $8,300 | 89 | 18.52 | $8,000 | 87 | 8.74 |
| Carson Fulmer CHW | vs MIN | $5,500 | 87 | 17.89 | $5,300 | 85 | 8.40 |
| Antonio Senzatela COL | vs LAD | $6,000 | 85 | 16.71 | $4,600 | 83 | 7.51 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
Leave a Reply