Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 24, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Gray (COL).
- My Value Pick tonight is Gray (COL) on the road vs. the Giants.
- The Giants vs RHP at home have allowed right-handed starting pitchers to average
- 31.5 FanDuel ppg (4th Highest)
- 17.7 DraftKings ppg (3rd Highest)
- The Giants vs RHP at home have a:
- 0.260 wOBA (worst in MLB)
- 0.119 ISO (2nd worst in MLB)
- 26.0 K% (3rd worst in MLB).
- The Giants vs RHP at home have allowed right-handed starting pitchers to average
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Yankees, Phillies & Dodgers.
- Small sample size alert! None.
DFS Pitchers – June 24, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Jon Gray COL | @ SFG | $8,500 | 111 | 33.91 | $9,800 | 113 | 18.96 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez BOS | vs CHW | $8,400 | 108 | 33.99 | $8,700 | 109 | 18.53 |
| Clayton Kershaw LAD | @ ARI | $11,000 | 97 | 31.55 | $10,400 | 97 | 16.81 |
| Adam Plutko CLE | vs KCR | $8,200 | 101 | 30.74 | $6,900 | 102 | 16.44 |
| Drew Pomeranz SFG | vs COL | $6,800 | 106 | 30.82 | $6,300 | 106 | 16.31 |
| Zach Eflin PHI | vs NYM | $9,000 | 104 | 30.73 | $9,200 | 104 | 16.15 |
| Lucas Giolito CHW | @ BOS | $10,700 | 97 | 28.39 | $11,900 | 96 | 15.13 |
| CC Sabathia NYY | vs TOR | $6,500 | 103 | 28.12 | $7,100 | 106 | 15.14 |
| Jon Lester CHC | vs ATL | $7,400 | 100 | 28.63 | $7,600 | 99 | 14.59 |
| Brad Keller KCR | @ CLE | $7,900 | 102 | 27.25 | $6,000 | 102 | 13.45 |
| Zack Greinke ARI | vs LAD | $9,100 | 93 | 25.03 | $8,400 | 92 | 12.90 |
| Julio Teheran ATL | @ CHC | $8,300 | 99 | 24.70 | $8,100 | 98 | 12.29 |
| Steven Matz NYM | @ PHI | $7,700 | 96 | 24.48 | $6,700 | 96 | 12.21 |
| Aaron Sanchez TOR | @ NYY | $5,500 | 94 | 21.47 | $4,500 | 93 | 10.33 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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