As I mentioned last week, Tuffy Rhodes started 1994 with a bang. He hit three homers on Opening Day and only 10 more in his major league career. If you jumped on him because of his big day in 1994, you would have probably been rather disappointed with the rest of his season.
Like Rhodes, other players will have a hot Week 1 and their statistics will seem overblown. Though no one had a huge Opening Day anything close to Tuffy, there were some very surprising first weeks of the season that few people expected.
Jeff Francoeur (.429 BA, 81 HR, 243 RBI, 122 R, if he keeps up his current pace), Placido Polanco (.579 BA, 41 HR, 324 RBI, 284 R at this pace), and Vernon Wells (.500 BA, 162 HR, 284 RBI, 284 R at his current pace) all look like their expectations have been fulfilled and then some if they can keep playing the same way for the next 158 games. Though these players and other might be better than expected, they are much more likely to revert back to expectations rather than to keep putting up these over-bloated stats.
Now, here are the projected 2-start pitchers for this week. For those of you in leagues who require you to set your lineup at the beginning of the week, these are guys you should strongly consider:
Five best bets for double-start pitchers this week
1. Cole Hamels, PHI—The Phillies’ schedule just doesn’t get any harder, this time with home matchups against Washington and Florida. Hamels should dominate both.
2. Adam Wainwright, STL—One of the best pitchers in the game gets two weak opponents at home. What more can you ask for?
3. Bronson Arroyo, CIN—Arroyo is primed for a strong 2010. Over his last 13 starts (including 12 to finish 2009), he has pitched seven or more innings every time out while never allowing more than three runs and posting an ERA of 1.84. Matchups at Florida and Pittsburgh present good opportunities to continue the streak.
4. Gavin Floyd, CWS—Two easy opponents, but both are on the road. He struck out seven Indians last week and he might get seven more in the rematch.
5. Jair Jurrjens, ATL—Looks like the injury concerns are a thing of the past and a start at San Diego and home against Colorado look like a tasty treat.