Yesterday, we looked at a couple of hitters who could really help your squad for the rest of the 2008 season. Today, let’s look at a couple of pitchers that could bring a good return for your team, probably more than they would earn you if they were still in your rotation.
Justin Duchscherer is having a great season. A guy with 10 wins, a 2.37 ERA and 0.94 WHIP is something every team would love to add. So why give him up? Duchscherer’s BABIP is .210, which means that Oakland is playing great defense behind him (unlikely, based on the Moneyball premise) or batted balls are being hit right at the defense. Since players regress to the norm (.300), it is unlikely that Duchscherer will continue to be so lucky and those numbers should go up.
Gavin Floyd of the White Sox is anther guy who has been pitching on the lucky side during the first half. At 10-6, 3.57 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP, he’s a quality guy. But two of his last three starts have been bad as he’s starting to regress back to the norm. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 1.6, which is playing with fire. Successful pitchers are usually 2.0 or better and giving that many free passes compared to few strikeouts is allowing hitters to put the ball in play with runners on base. The hits will eventually fall in and the walks will come back to haunt him.
Both pitchers are keeper considerations, but they are both at the height of their trade value. If you can get a fellow owner to pay full price, I’d make the move.