As I mentioned in my last article, be ready to improve your team at any moment, but don’t overreact to a slow start. After only seven games, David Ortiz is on pace for a .115/23/69 season. Don’t panic, he’ll get it straightened out and give you a good year. On the flip side, don’t sell the farm trying to get your hands on Joe Crede. The current ChiSox 3rd baseman is on a .393/46/231 pace. That won’t continue and the White Sox would love to trade him so they could bring up their 3B of the future: Josh Fields.
There is an owner in my money league who refuses to trade before May 15 each year. Usually I’d call this type all kinds of names referring to his unintelligence and the lack of branching of his family tree, but this guy has earned a PhD as well as having won three of the last eight championships in this league. He is very intelligent and knows fantasy baseball, but I believe that his unwillingness to trade early prevented other league titles. He finished third in the league last year and came on very strong at the end of the season. Since he started out so slowly, I argue that an early deal or two might have provided the points he needed to beat me out for the championship. But my early moves were ones he didn’t/wouldn’t make and he was left to trade for inferior talent. Before he made his first trade of the season, I made four trades acquiring Jeff Francoeur, Lance Berkman, Chone Figgins and Brandon Phillips. These pieces helped give me the offense I needed to win the title.
I understand that he wants to see how his team shakes out after the draft. He wants to give all of his players time to get straightened out before a knee-jerk overreaction and trading away a star that just takes a little while to warm up like Big Papi. But waiting too long gives other owners the chance to jump on the players having the breakout seasons or “relieving” the slow starting star from the owner who panics and wants some value for him before its too late.
Trading is all about timing. Be ready to move when opportunity strikes, always on the lookout for the player who might be undervalued. Following predetermined guidelines is a recipe for mediocrity.