Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 7, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Soroka (ATL)
- My value pick tonight is Eflin (PHI)
- The Reds on the road vs RHP have a 0.276 wOBA (Worst in MLB), 0.155 ISO (9th worst) and a 23.9 K% (14th worst).
- In his 4 home starts: 3 wins, 3 quality starts, a 2.24 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 20 strikeouts (18.2 K%).
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Yankees, Red Sox and Astros.
- Small sample size alert! Heaney (LAA), Plesac (CLE) and Davis (PIT) have each faced less than 100 batters this season.
DFS Pitchers – June 7, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Mike Soroka ATL | @ MIA | $10,800 | 118 | 47.49 | $11,600 | 120 | 26.98 |
| Gerrit Cole HOU | vs BAL | $11,200 | 107 | 44.78 | $12,200 | 107 | 25.61 |
| Andrew Heaney LAA | vs SEA | $9,400 | 107 | 40.68 | $9,200 | 108 | 24.75 |
| Clayton Kershaw LAD | @ SFG | $10,700 | 110 | 41.63 | $11,200 | 113 | 23.00 |
| Jacob deGrom NYM | vs COL | $10,300 | 104 | 37.08 | $9,400 | 104 | 20.26 |
| Brandon Woodruff MIL | vs PIT | $8,600 | 105 | 36.51 | $7,800 | 105 | 20.33 |
| Matthew Boyd DET | vs MIN | $10,100 | 91 | 36.02 | $10,400 | 88 | 19.41 |
| Domingo German NYY | @ CLE | $8,100 | 105 | 35.08 | $9,500 | 105 | 19.90 |
| Zach Eflin PHI | vs CIN | $8,300 | 108 | 33.11 | $8,700 | 109 | 18.07 |
| Lance Lynn TEX | vs OAK | $9,600 | 91 | 31.42 | $9,700 | 89 | 15.78 |
| Tyler Mahle CIN | @ PHI | $7,600 | 101 | 29.60 | $7,300 | 102 | 16.12 |
| Marcus Stroman TOR | vs ARI | $7,400 | 101 | 29.75 | $8,200 | 101 | 15.09 |
| Zach Plesac CLE | vs NYY | $7,000 | 89 | 27.72 | $7,000 | 88 | 15.68 |
| Merrill Kelly ARI | @ TOR | $7,200 | 104 | 27.46 | $8,400 | 107 | 14.07 |
| Jose Urena MIA | vs ATL | $7,300 | 105 | 28.19 | $7,500 | 106 | 13.42 |
| Michael Pineda MIN | @ DET | $7,500 | 111 | 26.77 | $6,400 | 113 | 13.77 |
| Yonny Chirinos TBR | @ BOS | $6,500 | 91 | 23.56 | $8,100 | 90 | 13.39 |
| Rick Porcello BOS | vs TBR | $7,500 | 92 | 24.01 | $7,100 | 90 | 11.34 |
| Homer Bailey KCR | vs CHW | $6,000 | 107 | 22.04 | $4,500 | 109 | 10.80 |
| Marco Gonzales SEA | @ LAA | $6,300 | 93 | 21.67 | $6,900 | 91 | 9.64 |
| Brett Anderson OAK | @ TEX | $6,200 | 92 | 20.71 | $6,000 | 91 | 9.59 |
| Antonio Senzatela COL | @ NYM | $6,400 | 100 | 20.50 | $6,500 | 100 | 8.68 |
| Nick Margevicius SDP | vs WSN | $5,900 | 99 | 17.38 | $6,300 | 99 | 8.25 |
| Erick Fedde WSN | @ SDP | $5,800 | 109 | 14.19 | $8,000 | 112 | 7.69 |
| Ivan Nova CHW | @ KCR | $6,800 | 91 | 16.90 | $5,000 | 90 | 6.12 |
| Drew Pomeranz SFG | vs LAD | $6,100 | 91 | 13.67 | $6,700 | 89 | 5.46 |
| Gabriel Ynoa BAL | @ HOU | $5,600 | 90 | 9.21 | $4,800 | 87 | 4.52 |
| Rookie Davis PIT | @ MIL | $5,500 | 100 | 7.97 | $5,700 | 99 | 4.13 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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