Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 6, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill
- For the early games Verlander is king on FanDuel but for some reason he’s not listed on DraftKings.
- For this evening’s main slate it is Corbin.
- My pick tonight is Happ (NYY)
- The Blue Jays at home vs. LHP have a 0.256 wOBA (worst in MLB, 0.136 ISO (7th worst) and strikeouts 26.8% of the time (5th worst).
- His last 3 home starts: 2.35 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 15 striekouts in 15.1 innings.
- Stackables (in order of my preference)
- Early: Astros, Cubs and Royals.
- Main: Yankees, Twins and Angels.
- Small sample size alert! Milone (SEA), Anderson (SFG), Weber (BOS) and Jackson (TOR) have each faced less than 100 batters this season and Lambert (COL) is making his season debut.
- NOTES:
- The 3:40pm ET Seattle @ Houston game is not available on DraftKings.
DFS Pitchers (Early) – June 6, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Justin Verlander HOU | @ SEA | $12,000 | 106 | 49.29 | – | 107 | 29.05 |
| Zack Wheeler NYM | vs SFG | $10,200 | 105 | 37.55 | $10,500 | 106 | 20.21 |
| Caleb Smith MIA | @ MIL | $9,500 | 97 | 32.66 | $9,400 | 97 | 18.77 |
| Jose Quintana CHC | vs COL | $7,400 | 106 | 30.31 | $7,500 | 106 | 15.60 |
| Tommy Milone SEA | vs HOU | $7,000 | 90 | 27.04 | – | 88 | 15.46 |
| Danny Duffy KCR | vs BOS | $7,200 | 98 | 27.81 | $7,900 | 98 | 13.73 |
| Chris Archer PIT | vs ATL | $6,400 | 103 | 24.60 | $7,700 | 104 | 12.33 |
| Shaun Anderson SFG | @ NYM | $6,600 | 104 | 22.14 | $6,900 | 104 | 10.99 |
| Dakota Hudson STL | vs CIN | $7,300 | 106 | 22.06 | $6,200 | 108 | 10.32 |
| Anthony DeSclafani CIN | @ STL | $6,000 | 97 | 21.08 | $6,800 | 95 | 10.73 |
| Freddy Peralta MIL | vs MIA | $6,800 | 109 | 20.44 | $7,000 | 112 | 10.57 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ATL | @ PIT | $7,300 | 98 | 20.55 | $8,500 | 97 | 9.94 |
| Daniel Norris DET | vs TBR | $6,000 | 102 | 19.50 | $5,800 | 101 | 9.64 |
| Ryan Weber BOS | @ KCR | $6,400 | 93 | 14.20 | $6,300 | 93 | 6.97 |
| Peter Lambert COL | @ CHC | $5,500 | 98 | 12.84 | $6,300 | 97 | 6.54 |
| Ryne Stanek TBR | @ DET | $4,000 | 115 | 7.62 | $4,300 | 117 | 4.54 |
DFS Pitchers (Main) – June 6, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp | | | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Patrick Corbin WSN | @ SDP | $10,900 | 108 | 41.02 | $10,300 | 111 | 22.82 |
| Jose Berrios MIN | @ CLE | $9,300 | 104 | 38.40 | $9,700 | 105 | 20.39 |
| Joey Lucchesi SDP | vs WSN | $8,200 | 106 | 31.23 | $9,000 | 106 | 17.60 |
| Trevor Bauer CLE | vs MIN | $10,400 | 84 | 31.45 | $9,400 | 81 | 16.10 |
| Tyler Skaggs LAA | vs OAK | $8,000 | 92 | 25.65 | $8,700 | 91 | 13.74 |
| J.A. Happ NYY | @ TOR | $8,600 | 107 | 24.58 | $7,800 | 110 | 13.21 |
| Mike Fiers OAK | @ LAA | $6,700 | 89 | 18.37 | $6,900 | 86 | 8.95 |
| Ariel Jurado TEX | vs BAL | $6,100 | 101 | 12.65 | $6,400 | 101 | 6.84 |
| David Hess BAL | @ TEX | $5,900 | 87 | 13.33 | $4,200 | 85 | 5.95 |
| Edwin Jackson TOR | vs NYY | $5,500 | 88 | 2.85 | $5,000 | 86 | -2.16 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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