Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 19, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Hill (LAD).
- My value pick tonight is Williams (PIT) at home vs. the Tigers.
- The Tigers vs RHP on the road have allowed right-handed starting pitchers to average
- The Tigers vs RHP on the road have a 0.285 wOBA (3rd worst in MLB), 0.161 ISO (9th worst) and a 27.9 K% (MLB worst).
- Stackables (in order of my preference):
- Early Slate – A’s and Astros.
- Main Slate – Twins, Angels & Rangers.
- Small sample size alert! Rogers (BAL), Ponce de Leon (STL), Heaney (LAA), Palumbo (TEX) and Plutko (CLE) have each faced less than 100 batters this season.
- NOTES:
- The 6:40pm Kansas City & Seattle game isn’t available on DraftKings.
DFS Pitchers Early Slate – June 19, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Blake Snell TBR | @ NYY | $9,800 | 107 | 38.38 | $9,500 | 106 | 20.99 |
| Gerrit Cole HOU | @ CIN | $12,000 | 104 | 34.62 | $11,400 | 105 | 19.19 |
| Zach Davies MIL | @ SDP | $7,100 | 109 | 32.73 | $7,100 | 112 | 18.03 |
| Chris Bassitt OAK | vs BAL | $6,900 | 106 | 32.38 | $8,000 | 107 | 17.67 |
| Matt Strahm SDP | vs MIL | $7,600 | 104 | 31.72 | $6,900 | 104 | 16.70 |
| Brad Keller KCR | @ SEA | $8,100 | 106 | 29.70 | – | 107 | 15.27 |
| CC Sabathia NYY | vs TBR | $6,300 | 100 | 28.61 | $6,300 | 100 | 14.73 |
| Zach Eflin PHI | @ WSN | $8,800 | 99 | 28.28 | $9,100 | 99 | 14.69 |
| Marco Gonzales SEA | vs KCR | $7,300 | 105 | 27.85 | – | 106 | 14.19 |
| Erick Fedde WSN | vs PHI | $5,900 | 101 | 25.54 | $5,500 | 101 | 13.48 |
| Tyler Mahle CIN | vs HOU | $6,200 | 90 | 20.48 | $6,500 | 87 | 9.97 |
| Josh Rogers BAL | @ OAK | $5,500 | 84 | 14.04 | $4,300 | 82 | 5.84 |
DFS Pitchers Main Slate- June 19, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp | | | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Rich Hill LAD | vs SFG | $9,600 | 114 | 43.33 | $10,300 | 117 | 25.55 |
| Daniel Ponce de Leon STL | vs MIA | $6,500 | 115 | 39.39 | $7,800 | 118 | 22.70 |
| Andrew Heaney LAA | @ TOR | $8,600 | 112 | 37.86 | $8,500 | 115 | 22.46 |
| Trevor Williams PIT | vs DET | $7,700 | 115 | 38.76 | $7,300 | 118 | 21.75 |
| Max Scherzer WSN | vs PHI | $11,700 | 106 | 38.71 | $12,000 | 106 | 21.20 |
| Zack Greinke ARI | vs COL | $9,400 | 103 | 32.58 | $9,000 | 103 | 17.78 |
| Jon Lester CHC | vs CHW | $7,500 | 107 | 31.66 | $7,400 | 109 | 17.09 |
| Lucas Giolito CHW | @ CHC | $11,200 | 102 | 30.57 | $11,300 | 101 | 16.20 |
| Kyle Gibson MIN | vs BOS | $8,000 | 100 | 29.79 | $8,800 | 100 | 16.05 |
| Jon Gray COL | @ ARI | $8,200 | 101 | 29.64 | $8,000 | 101 | 15.63 |
| Max Fried ATL | vs NYM | $6,800 | 103 | 28.09 | $6,100 | 103 | 14.38 |
| Steven Matz NYM | @ ATL | $7,800 | 96 | 26.86 | $6,900 | 95 | 13.68 |
| Trevor Richards MIA | @ STL | $7,900 | 102 | 26.76 | $7,100 | 102 | 13.42 |
| Nick Pivetta PHI | @ WSN | $7,800 | 98 | 25.77 | $8,200 | 98 | 13.12 |
| Joseph Palumbo TEX | vs CLE | $6,000 | 98 | 23.74 | $5,500 | 98 | 11.92 |
| Eduardo Rodriguez BOS | @ MIN | $8,400 | 87 | 23.50 | $7,500 | 84 | 11.61 |
| Jordan Zimmermann DET | @ PIT | $5,900 | 98 | 22.78 | $7,000 | 97 | 10.89 |
| Drew Pomeranz SFG | @ LAD | $7,000 | 93 | 21.35 | $6,200 | 91 | 10.38 |
| Adam Plutko CLE | @ TEX | $8,300 | 90 | 19.96 | $5,900 | 88 | 9.21 |
| Aaron Sanchez TOR | vs LAA | $5,800 | 90 | 17.71 | $5,000 | 88 | 8.08 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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