Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 13, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Boyd (DET) stands tall but I think you should pivot with….
- My value pick tonight is Bailey (KCR)
- The Tigers on the road vs RHP have a 0.287 wOBA (4th worst MLB), 0.170 ISO (13th worst) and a 28.4 K% (MLB worst).
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Yankees, Red Sox & Rockies.
- Small sample size alert! None below 100 batters faced tonight. Ynoa (BAL) has lowest with only 144.
DFS Pitchers – June 13, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Matthew Boyd DET | @ KCR | $10,500 | 109 | 40.59 | $10,700 | 111 | 22.96 |
| David Price BOS | vs TEX | $9,800 | 106 | 35.16 | $9,700 | 106 | 20.32 |
| Homer Bailey KCR | vs DET | $6,700 | 112 | 34.57 | $5,200 | 115 | 19.11 |
| Jon Gray COL | vs SDP | $7,500 | 103 | 33.08 | $8,300 | 106 | 18.15 |
| Clayton Kershaw LAD | vs CHC | $10,400 | 100 | 33.36 | $10,100 | 99 | 17.56 |
| Jacob deGrom NYM | vs STL | $10,200 | 105 | 32.31 | $10,400 | 105 | 17.56 |
| Zack Greinke ARI | @ WSN | $9,500 | 101 | 31.20 | $9,300 | 101 | 16.41 |
| Tyler Skaggs LAA | @ TBR | $7,800 | 103 | 28.21 | $8,200 | 102 | 14.65 |
| Jon Lester CHC | @ LAD | $7,700 | 97 | 28.24 | $7,800 | 95 | 14.47 |
| J.A. Happ NYY | @ CHW | $8,800 | 104 | 27.95 | $8,700 | 105 | 14.52 |
| Jack Flaherty STL | @ NYM | $7,900 | 101 | 27.01 | $7,300 | 101 | 13.92 |
| Marcus Stroman TOR | @ BAL | $7,200 | 99 | 25.29 | $7,600 | 99 | 12.63 |
| Erick Fedde WSN | vs ARI | $6,000 | 97 | 23.15 | $6,400 | 97 | 11.85 |
| Matt Strahm SDP | @ COL | $9,900 | 92 | 23.14 | $9,200 | 91 | 11.27 |
| Gabriel Ynoa BAL | vs TOR | $5,600 | 104 | 21.70 | $5,400 | 106 | 11.61 |
| Ryan Yarbrough TBR | vs LAA | $6,900 | 94 | 21.37 | $6,800 | 92 | 10.61 |
| Adrian Sampson TEX | @ BOS | $8,000 | 91 | 19.96 | $7,100 | 90 | 10.04 |
| Ivan Nova CHW | vs NYY | $6,200 | 89 | 17.02 | $4,400 | 87 | 7.17 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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