Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – June 10, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- King of the Hill – Ryu (LAD) but the Angels do alright against lefties at home so I’m staying away. Angels vs. LHP at home: 0.336 wOBA (11th best in MLB), 0.200 ISO (13th best) and 17.4 K% (2nd best).
- My value pick tonight is Sanchez (WSN)
- His last two starts (@ ATL and vs. CHW): 0.79 ERA, 0.62 WHIP and 14 strikeouts in 11.1 innings (35 K%).
- The White Sox at home vs RHP have a 0.311 wOBA (10th worst MLB), 0.155 ISO (5th worst) and a 25.6 K% (5th worst).
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Rockies, Phillies & Cardinals.
- Small sample size alert! Clarke (ARI) has faced less than 100 batters this season.
- NOTES
- Odrisamer Despaigne (CHW) is not available on either FanDuel or DraftKings.
- Tanner Anderson (OAK) is not available on FanDuel.
DFS Pitchers – June 10, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD | @ LAA | $10,700 | 95 | 40.35 | $10,400 | 92 | 22.97 |
| Charlie Morton TBR | vs OAK | $10,500 | 98 | 38.44 | $9,900 | 97 | 21.62 |
| Chris Sale BOS | vs TEX | $11,800 | 104 | 37.32 | $10,900 | 104 | 21.44 |
| Mike Minor TEX | @ BOS | $9,200 | 99 | 37.64 | $9,400 | 99 | 20.68 |
| German Marquez COL | vs CHC | $7,500 | 92 | 30.94 | $8,700 | 91 | 16.78 |
| Masahiro Tanaka NYY | vs NYM | $8,900 | 104 | 31.26 | $7,900 | 105 | 16.44 |
| Griffin Canning LAA | vs LAD | $7,800 | 94 | 29.02 | $8,400 | 92 | 16.30 |
| Jerad Eickhoff PHI | vs ARI | $7,400 | 97 | 25.50 | $7,100 | 97 | 13.78 |
| Anibal Sanchez WSN | @ CHW | $7,300 | 106 | 25.42 | $8,100 | 107 | 13.37 |
| Joe Musgrove PIT | @ ATL | $8,400 | 103 | 26.18 | $5,200 | 102 | 12.86 |
| Sandy Alcantara MIA | vs STL | $7,000 | 102 | 25.12 | $6,900 | 102 | 12.53 |
| Yu Darvish CHC | @ COL | $7,100 | 90 | 24.28 | $6,200 | 89 | 12.24 |
| Jason Vargas NYM | @ NYY | $6,800 | 101 | 21.61 | $7,600 | 101 | 11.47 |
| Michael Wacha STL | @ MIA | $6,300 | 113 | 22.01 | $6,000 | 115 | 10.17 |
| Kevin Gausman ATL | vs PIT | $6,000 | 103 | 21.40 | $6,400 | 103 | 10.01 |
| Taylor Clarke ARI | @ PHI | $6,100 | 99 | 17.89 | $6,300 | 100 | 8.18 |
| Tanner Anderson OAK | @ TBR | – | 100 | 13.20 | $4,000 | 99 | 6.76 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list and where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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