Here are projected scores for tonight’s DFS pitchers – May 31, 2019 using FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.
- Washington’s Corbin tops the list but his price reflects it.
- Colorado’s Marquez pops out as a nice, cheap starter on FanDuel while the Mets Wheeler is my recommendation on DraftKings.
- Stackables (in order of my preference): Twins, Colorado and Houston.
- (Small sample size alert!) Diamondbacks Duplantier has only faced 50 betters this season and Blue Jays Jackson has only faced 64.
DFS Pitchers – May 31, 2019
| Starting Pitcher | Opp |  |  | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | Salary | Matchup Rating | Projected Score | ||
| Patrick Corbin WSN | @ CIN | $11,400 | 103 | 43.09 | $11,200 | 105 | 24.41 |
| Trevor Bauer CLE | @ CHW | $10,500 | 107 | 39.55 | $9,200 | 108 | 21.41 |
| Caleb Smith MIA | @ SDP | $9,800 | 109 | 36.50 | $9,700 | 111 | 21.33 |
| Jose Berrios MIN | @ TBR | $9,100 | 98 | 35.87 | $9,300 | 97 | 18.79 |
| German Marquez COL | vs TOR | $7,500 | 98 | 34.33 | $9,500 | 100 | 19.53 |
| Chris Sale BOS | @ NYY | $11,200 | 104 | 34.22 | $10,800 | 104 | 18.94 |
| Kenta Maeda LAD | vs PHI | $8,900 | 106 | 33.88 | $10,300 | 106 | 18.82 |
| Zack Wheeler NYM | @ ARI | $9,400 | 99 | 35.02 | $8,700 | 99 | 18.12 |
| Joey Lucchesi SDP | vs MIA | $7,600 | 115 | 32.71 | $8,800 | 118 | 18.76 |
| Spencer Turnbull DET | @ ATL | $7,700 | 103 | 31.37 | $8,100 | 102 | 16.53 |
| Tyler Mahle CIN | vs WSN | $7,200 | 103 | 29.32 | $6,200 | 102 | 15.73 |
| Brad Peacock HOU | @ OAK | $8,600 | 96 | 28.28 | $9,900 | 95 | 15.81 |
| Jake Arrieta PHI | @ LAD | $8,200 | 89 | 29.41 | $8,600 | 85 | 14.20 |
| Danny Duffy KCR | @ TEX | $7,400 | 92 | 27.95 | $7,200 | 91 | 13.80 |
| Tyler Skaggs LAA | @ SEA | $8,000 | 97 | 26.33 | $8,400 | 97 | 14.05 |
| Andrew Cashner BAL | vs SFG | $6,500 | 102 | 26.18 | $6,600 | 105 | 13.53 |
| Yu Darvish CHC | @ STL | $8,400 | 97 | 25.19 | $7,000 | 95 | 12.47 |
| Miles Mikolas STL | vs CHC | $7,800 | 95 | 23.57 | $6,500 | 94 | 11.58 |
| Mike Leake SEA | vs LAA | $7,000 | 91 | 23.11 | $5,900 | 89 | 10.49 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ATL | vs DET | $7,300 | 109 | 22.28 | $8,500 | 112 | 10.90 |
| Chris Archer PIT | vs MIL | $6,200 | 99 | 22.13 | $7,400 | 99 | 10.54 |
| Jhoulys Chacin MIL | @ PIT | $6,800 | 102 | 21.46 | $5,300 | 102 | 10.53 |
| J.A. Happ NYY | vs BOS | $8,200 | 94 | 20.87 | $7,400 | 94 | 10.65 |
| Mike Fiers OAK | vs HOU | $6,700 | 89 | 18.02 | $7,700 | 87 | 8.83 |
| Drew Pomeranz SFG | @ BAL | $6,100 | 100 | 18.31 | $6,000 | 101 | 8.42 |
| Jon Duplantier ARI | vs NYM | $5,500 | 107 | 14.74 | $7,900 | 108 | 8.34 |
| Ariel Jurado TEX | vs KCR | $5,800 | 98 | 9.93 | $4,900 | 98 | 5.41 |
| Dylan Covey CHW | vs CLE | $5,700 | 106 | 10.64 | $4,600 | 107 | 4.76 |
| Ryne Stanek TBR | vs MIN | $4,000 | 85 | 5.55 | $4,800 | 82 | 3.17 |
| Edwin Jackson TOR | @ COL | $5,500 | 86 | 6.89 | $5,200 | 85 | 1.28 |
** Indicates that the pitcher listed will follow an “Opener”
My Method
Matchup Rating is meant to show how the pitcher’s matchup relates to league average. A rating of 100 means that this matchup is neither good nor bad to the pitcher. A matchup over 100 favors the pitcher and conversely, a matchup up less than 100 favors the hitters. It takes into account:
- The pitcher’s wOBA, ISO and K%
- The opposing lineup’s wOBA, ISO and K% versus RHP/LHP
- Home/away splits
- Ballpark Factor
- Fantasy points allowed to starting pitchers by opposing lineup (link)
If you are looking for bats to stack take a look at the pitchers at the bottom of this list where the Matchup Rating is below 90. While not always the case, typically when a pitcher scores a low total (perhaps even negative) that means they are probably getting lit up by the opposing lineup.
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