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MLB Daily Fantasy Lineups to Stack / Avoid Monday July 9

July 9, 2018 By Chris Spencer Leave a Comment

Stack #1
Indians
·
Stack #2
Dodgers
·
Stack #3
Red Sox

Stacking is a well-known DFS strategy. In an effort to identify stack worthy lineups I’ve been tinkering with the idea of looking at the opposing pitcher’s DFS points allowed. Similar to in fantasy football looking at the opposing defense’s fantasy points allowed to running backs to determine which one to start.

My approach is to look at a team’s DFS points per plate appearance and compare to the opposing pitcher’s DFS points per plate appearance. A “bad” pitcher could lead to an increase in production from the hitters and conversely, a “good” pitcher could lead to a decrease in production. It is important to note that due to the volatility of stolen bases, I do not include them when calculating ppa.

How to Read the Charts
The Cleveland Indians are facing a RHP at home and in that situation they are currently putting up 2.60 FanDuel and 1.95 DraftKings points per plate appearance or ppa. The opposing pitcher is RHP Anthony DeSclafani CIN who after facing 141 batters is currently allowing 120% more ppa in FanDuel and 120% more ppa in DraftKings than the current MLB average (2.103 on FanDuel and 1.604 on DraftKings). The modified ppa is simply 2.60 x 120% in FanDuel and 1.95 x 120% in DraftKings.

FANDUEL
MLB FanDuel average is 2.103 through yesterday

Advice Lineup Situation Situational ppa Pitcher Batters Faced Pitcher’s Effect Modified ppa Diff
Stack CLE RHP at home 2.60 Anthony DeSclafani CIN 141 120% 3.12 0.52
Stack LAD RHP on road 2.39 Luis Perdomo SDP 102 127% 3.04 0.65
Stack BOS LHP at home 2.71 Mike Minor TEX 381 111% 3.00 0.30
Stack PIT RHP at home 2.12 Jefry Rodriguez WSN 64 121% 2.56 0.44
Stack WSN RHP on road 2.15 Ivan Nova PIT 393 113% 2.44 0.28
— — — — — — — — —
Avoid CIN RHP on road 2.02 Mike Clevinger CLE 446 86% 1.73 -0.29
Avoid KCR RHP on road 1.82 Jose Berrios MIN 456 89% 1.62 -0.20
Avoid TEX LHP on road 1.73 Eduardo Rodriguez BOS 401 93% 1.60 -0.13

DRAFTKINGS
MLB DraftKings average is 1.604 through yesterday

Advice Lineup Situation Situational ppa Pitcher Batters Faced Pitcher’s Effect Modified ppa Diff
Stack CLE RHP at home 1.95 Anthony DeSclafani CIN 141 120% 2.34 0.39
Stack LAD RHP on road 1.80 Luis Perdomo SDP 102 125% 2.25 0.45
Stack BOS LHP at home 2.04 Mike Minor TEX 381 111% 2.25 0.22
Stack PIT RHP at home 1.62 Jefry Rodriguez WSN 64 117% 1.89 0.27
Stack WSN RHP on road 1.64 Ivan Nova PIT 393 114% 1.87 0.23
— — — — — — — — —
Avoid CIN RHP on road 1.55 Mike Clevinger CLE 446 87% 1.35 -0.20
Avoid KCR RHP on road 1.41 Jose Berrios MIN 456 89% 1.26 -0.15
Avoid TEX LHP on road 1.34 Eduardo Rodriguez BOS 401 94% 1.26 -0.08
Follow @Roto_Chris

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  • MLB Daily Fantasy Lineups to Stack / Avoid Sunday July 1
  • MLB Daily Fantasy Lineups to Stack / Avoid Sunday July 8

Filed Under: Daily Fantasy Baseball Tagged With: Anthony DeSclafani, boston red sox, cleveland indians, daily fantasy, dfs, draftkings, fanduel, los angeles dodgers, Luis Perdomo, mike minor, mlb daily fantasy

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