MLB Lineups to Stack / Avoid – Tuesday May 22

May 22, 2018 By kopasetic Leave a Comment

My approach is to take the team’s current situation (home or away; vs. RHP or vs. LHP) DFS points/plate appearance (ppa) and multiply by the opposing pitcher’s DFS ppa divided by MLB average DFS ppa as a percentage.

How to Read the Charts
The Pirates are facing a LHP on the road and in that situation they are currently putting up 2.98 FanDuel points per plate appearance or ppa (2.22 on DraftKings). The pitcher they are facing is Matt Harvey and he is currently allowing 126% more ppa in FanDuel (same in DraftKings) than the current MLB average (2.18 on FanDuel and 1.67 on DraftKings). The modified ppa is simply 2.98 x 126% in FanDuel (2.22 x 126% in DraftKings).

FANDUEL
MLB FanDuel average is 2.18 ppa through yesterday

Advice	Lineup	Situation	Situational ppa	Pitcher	Pitcher’s Effect	Modified ppa
Stack	Pirates	LHP on road	2.98	Matt Harvey CIN	126%	3.77
Stack	Nationals	LHP at home	2.05	Eric Lauer SDP	146%	2.99
Stack	Phillies	RHP at home	2.41	Brandon McCarthy ATL	117%	2.82
Stack	Red Sox	RHP on road	2.45	Jake Faria TBR	110%	2.68
Stack	Cardinals	RHP at home	2.21	Jason Hammel KCR	121%	2.67
-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Avoid	Giants	RHP on road	1.94	Gerrit Cole HOU	67%	1.29
Avoid	Padres	RHP on road	2.03	Jeremy Hellickson WSN	68%	1.38
Avoid	Rays	LHP at home	2.12	Chris Sale BOS	76%	1.60

DRAFTKINGS
MLB DraftKings average is 1.67 ppa through yesterday

Advice	Lineup	Situation	Situational ppa	Pitcher	Pitcher’s Effect	Modified ppa
Stack	Pirates	LHP on road	2.22	Matt Harvey CIN	126%	2.79
Stack	Nationals	LHP at home	1.57	Eric Lauer SDP	145%	2.28
Stack	Phillies	RHP at home	1.81	Brandon McCarthy ATL	118%	2.15
Stack	Cardinals	RHP on road	1.68	Jason Hammel KCR	120%	2.01
Stack	Red Sox	RHP on road	1.88	Jake Faria TBR	106%	2.00
-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Avoid	Giants	RHP on road	1.53	Gerrit Cole HOU	68%	1.04
Avoid	Padres	RHP on road	1.56	Jeremy Hellickson WSN	70%	1.10
Avoid	Indians	RHP on road	1.44	Tyler Chatwood CHC	85%	1.23

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