My approach is to take the team’s current situational (home,away. vs RHP, vs LHP) DFS points/pa (ppa) and multiply by (the opposing pitcher’s DFS ppa divided by MLB average DFS ppa) in percentage.

For example if a team is currently scoring 2.00 FanDuel ppa at home vs. LHP and they are facing a pitcher that is allowing 2.72 FanDuel ppa I will first divide 2.72 by the current MLB average 2.19 FanDuel ppa and put into percentage to get 124%. The pitcher is allowing 124% of the MLB average in FanDuel ppa. I then multiply 124% by the team’s current average 2.00 to get a modified 2.48 ppa.

**Stats through Thursday’s games

FANDUEL

MLB FanDuel average is currently 2.19 ppa

Top 5 Lineups to Stack (based on modified ppa)

• 3.26 modified ppa – ATL    (2.10 ppa vs LHP at home) vs Wei-Yin Chen MIA (155%)
• 2.91 modified ppa – OAK    (2.08 ppa vs LHP on road vs Jaime Garcia TOR (140%)
• 2.65 modified ppa – TOR    (2.61 ppa vs RHP at home) vs Daniel Mengden OAK (102%)
• 2.61 modified ppa – SFG    (2.33 ppa vs LHP at home) vs Tyler Anderson COL (112%)
• 2.44 modified ppa – CIN    (1.92 ppa vs RHP at home) vs Yu Darvish (127%)

Lineups to avoid (based on modified ppa)

• 1.47 modified ppa – STL    (2.06 ppa vs RHP at home) vs Aaron Nola PHI (71%)
• 1.47 modified ppa – MIA    (1.50 ppa vs RHP on road) vs Julio Teheran ATL (98%)
• 1.54 modified ppa – SDP    (1.96 ppa vs RHP on road) vs Trevor Williams PIT (78%)

DRAFTKINGS

MLB DraftKings average is currently 1.67 ppa

Top 5 Lineups to Stack (based on modified ppa)

• 2.40 modified ppa – ATL    (1.59 ppa vs LHP at home) vs Wei-Yin Chen MIA (151%)
• 2.16 modified ppa – OAK    (1.58 ppa vs LHP on road vs Jaime Garcia TOR (137%)
• 2.02 modified ppa – TOR    (1.96 ppa vs RHP at home) vs Daniel Mengden OAK (103%)
• 1.98 modified ppa – SFG    (1.79 ppa vs LHP at home) vs Tyler Anderson COL (111%)
• 1.85 modified ppa – CIN    (1.48 ppa vs RHP at home) vs Yu Darvish (125%)

Lineups to avoid (based on modified ppa)

• 1.14 modified ppa – MIA    (1.17 ppa vs RHP on road) vs Julio Teheran ATL (97%)
• 1.18 modified ppa – STL    (1.57 ppa vs RHP at home) vs Aaron Nola PHI (75%)
• 1.20 modified ppa – SDP    (1.52 ppa vs RHP on road) vs Trevor Williams PIT (79%)