MLB Lineups to Stack / Avoid – Friday May 25

May 25, 2018 By kopasetic Leave a Comment

How to Read the Charts
The Cubs are facing a LHP at home and in that situation they are currently putting up 2.88 FanDuel and 2.16 DraftKings points per plate appearance or ppa. The pitcher they are facing is Derek Holland and he is currently allowing 116% more ppa in FanDuel and 113% more ppa in DraftKings than the current MLB average (2.17 on FanDuel and 1.66 on DraftKings). The modified ppa is simply 2.88 x 116% in FanDuel and 2.16 x 113% in DraftKings.

FANDUEL
MLB FanDuel average is 2.17 ppa through yesterday

Advice	Lineup	Situation	Situational ppa	Pitcher	Pitcher’s Effect	Modified ppa
Stack	CHC	LHP at home	2.88	Derek Holland SFG	116%	3.35
Stack	TEX	LHP at home	2.51	Eric Skoglund KCR	121%	3.04
Stack	BOS	RHP at home	2.76	Julio Teheran ATL	105%	2.91
Stack	CHW	RHP on road	2.18	Mike Fiers DET	118%	2.57
Stack	KCR	LHP on road	2.07	Mike Minor TEX	122%	2.54
–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Avoid	MIA	RHP at home	1.88	Max Scherzer WSN	72%	1.36
Avoid	SDP	RHP on road	2.01	Ross Stripling LAD	70%	1.4
Avoid	SEA	RHP at home	2.12	Fernando Romero MIN	69%	1.47

DRAFTKINGS
MLB DraftKings average is 1.66 ppa through yesterday

Advice	Lineup	Situation	Situational ppa	Pitcher	Pitcher’s Effect	Modified ppa
Stack	CHC	LHP at home	2.16	Derek Holland SFG	113%	2.44
Stack	TEX	LHP at home	2.88	Eric Skoglund KCR	120%	2.25
Stack	BOS	RHP at home	2.09	Julio Teheran ATL	104%	2.17
Stack	CHW	RHP on road	1.69	Mike Fiers DET	119%	2
Stack	KCR	LHP on road	1.59	Mike Minor TEX	122%	1.95
–	–	–	–	–	–	–
Avoid	MIA	RHP at home	1.47	Max Scherzer WSN	73%	1.08
Avoid	SEA	RHP at home	1.64	Fernando Romero MIN	70%	1.14
Avoid	SDP	RHP on road	1.55	Ross Stripling LAD	74%	1.15

My approach is to take the team’s current situation (home or away; vs. RHP or vs. LHP) DFS points/plate appearance (ppa) and multiply by the opposing pitcher’s DFS ppa divided by MLB average DFS ppa as a percentage.

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